Derby County at Ipswich Town

Updated

Derby County

6.2%13.4%80.4%
WinDrawIpswich Town Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.58
2Final Score 2

Ipswich Town

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+205
L 5-3 vs Coventry City+205
L 1-3 at Stoke City+280
T 0-0 vs Stoke City+115
W 1-0 at Hull City+255
Ipswich Town
Money Line
L 0-1 at Preston North End+110
T 1-1 vs Southampton+105
T 1-1 at Birmingham City+180
W 0-2 vs Huddersfield-430
W 2-1 at Coventry City-130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+500+608+575+520+606+520+608+570.0
Ipswich Town-199-183-208-185-197-185-183-150.4
Draw+295+297+285+270+291+270+297+299.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+505---+480+640+640+570.0
Ipswich Town-175----220-205-205-150.4
Draw+300---+275+310+310+299.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Ipswich Town: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +520 to +510
Ipswich Town ML moved from -179 to -185

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Ipswich Town: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Ipswich Town: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 30.0%
Ipswich Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Ipswich Town ML moved from -190 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+124o2¼-105o2¼-108o2¼-107o2¼-108o2¼-105o2¼+102
Underu2½-112u2½-146u2¼-115u2¼-112u2¼-113u2¼-112u2½-146u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.26%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 417.61%
Exactly 65.84%
Exactly 81.04%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.45%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.11%
Exactly 72.63%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 056.12%
Exactly 132.42%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Ipswich Town
Exactly 07.59%
Exactly 119.57%
Exactly 225.23%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 413.97%
Exactly 57.20%
Exactly 63.10%
Exactly 71.14%
Exactly 80.37%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.20%
Exactly 224.76%
Exactly 44.40%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.90%
Exactly 312.06%
Exactly 51.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 076.53%
Exactly 120.47%
Exactly 22.74%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ipswich Town
Exactly 030.31%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 38.59%
Exactly 42.56%
Exactly 50.61%
Exactly 60.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals1.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Ipswich Town
Wins by 2+ goals58.92%
Wins by 3+ goals36.29%
Wins by 4+ goals18.86%
Wins by 5+ goals8.37%
Wins by 6+ goals3.21%
Wins by 7+ goals1.07%
Wins by 8+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Ipswich Town
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal4.81%
Wins by 2 goals1.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Ipswich Town
Wins by 1 goal21.47%
Wins by 2 goals22.63%
Wins by 3 goals17.43%
Wins by 4 goals10.49%
Wins by 5 goals5.16%
Wins by 6 goals2.14%
Wins by 7 goals0.77%
Wins by 8 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.74%4.26%
1.582.29%17.71%
2.561.08%38.92%
3.538.76%61.24%
4.521.15%78.85%
5.510.04%89.96%
6.54.20%95.80%
7.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.88%56.12%
1.511.46%88.54%
2.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Ipswich Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.41%7.59%
1.572.83%27.17%
2.547.60%52.40%
3.525.92%74.08%
4.511.95%88.05%
5.54.74%95.26%
6.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.80%23.20%
1.542.91%57.09%
2.518.14%81.86%
3.56.09%93.91%
4.51.68%98.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Ipswich Town
Score012345
0
4.26%
10.99%
14.16%
12.17%
7.84%
4.04%
1
2.46%
6.35%
8.18%
7.03%
4.53%
2.34%
2
0.71%
1.83%
2.36%
2.03%
1.31%
0.67%
3
0.14%
0.35%
0.45%
0.39%
0.25%
0.13%
Derby County
1-02.46%
2-00.71%
2-11.83%
3-00.14%
3-10.35%
3-20.45%
Draw
0-04.26%
1-16.35%
2-22.36%
3-30.39%
Ipswich Town
0-110.99%
0-214.16%
1-28.18%
0-312.17%
1-37.03%
2-32.03%
0-47.84%
1-44.53%
2-41.31%
3-40.25%
0-54.04%
1-52.34%
2-50.67%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Ipswich Town
Score012345
0
23.20%
27.69%
16.53%
6.57%
1.96%
0.47%
1
6.21%
7.41%
4.42%
1.76%
0.52%
0.13%
2
0.83%
0.99%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Derby County
1-06.21%
2-00.83%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-023.20%
1-17.41%
2-20.59%
Ipswich Town
0-127.69%
0-216.53%
1-24.42%
0-36.57%
1-31.76%
2-30.24%
0-41.96%
1-40.52%
0-50.47%
1-50.13%
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