Derby County at West Brom

Updated

Derby County

20.5%24.6%54.9%
Derby County WinDrawWest Brom Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.64
1Final Score 0

West Bromwich Albion

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 2-2 at Ipswich Town+640
T 1-1 vs Bristol City+205
L 5-3 vs Coventry City+205
L 1-3 at Stoke City+280
T 0-0 vs Stoke City+115
West Bromwich Albion
Money Line
W 1-0 at Stoke City+180
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth-135
W 3-2 at Wrexham+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn-115
W 3-5 vs Luton Town+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+350+411+395+370+403+370+411+409.4
West Brom-130-127-144-134-136-134-127-112.0
Draw+235+252+240+235+250+235+252+263.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+360---+370+400+400+409.4
West Brom-145----155-130-130-112.0
Draw+215---+230+250+250+263.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 10.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +409 to +396
West Brom ML moved from -125 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
West Brom: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
West Brom: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +380 to +370
West Brom ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-131o2¼+105o2¼+101o2¼+103o2¼+101o2-131o2¼+110
Underu2¼-115u2+111u2¼-125u2¼-121u2¼-125u2¼-121u2¼-121u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.95%
Exactly 225.49%
Exactly 413.61%
Exactly 62.91%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.14%
Exactly 321.51%
Exactly 56.89%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 019.45%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 314.23%
Exactly 45.82%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 60.52%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.97%
Exactly 221.27%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.30%
Exactly 38.31%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 066.10%
Exactly 127.37%
Exactly 25.67%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - West Bromwich Albion
Exactly 046.86%
Exactly 135.52%
Exactly 213.46%
Exactly 33.40%
Exactly 40.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals6.70%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 2+ goals29.67%
Wins by 3+ goals12.75%
Wins by 4+ goals4.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.30%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal13.76%
Wins by 2 goals5.04%
Wins by 3 goals1.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
West Bromwich Albion
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals16.91%
Wins by 3 goals8.29%
Wins by 4 goals3.17%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.05%7.95%
1.571.91%28.09%
2.546.42%53.58%
3.524.92%75.08%
4.511.31%88.69%
5.54.42%95.58%
6.51.51%98.49%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.11%40.89%
1.522.54%77.46%
2.56.19%93.81%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals West Bromwich Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.55%19.45%
1.548.70%51.30%
2.522.63%77.37%
3.58.40%91.60%
4.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.03%30.97%
1.532.73%67.27%
2.511.45%88.55%
3.53.14%96.86%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score012345
0
7.95%
13.02%
10.66%
5.82%
2.38%
0.78%
1
7.11%
11.65%
9.53%
5.20%
2.13%
0.70%
2
3.18%
5.21%
4.26%
2.33%
0.95%
0.31%
3
0.95%
1.55%
1.27%
0.69%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.21%
0.35%
0.28%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Derby County
1-07.11%
2-03.18%
2-15.21%
3-00.95%
3-11.55%
3-21.27%
4-00.21%
4-10.35%
4-20.28%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.95%
1-111.65%
2-24.26%
3-30.69%
West Bromwich Albion
0-113.02%
0-210.66%
1-29.53%
0-35.82%
1-35.20%
2-32.33%
0-42.38%
1-42.13%
2-40.95%
3-40.28%
0-50.78%
1-50.70%
2-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Score01234
0
30.97%
23.48%
8.90%
2.25%
0.43%
1
12.82%
9.72%
3.68%
0.93%
0.18%
2
2.65%
2.01%
0.76%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.37%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-012.82%
2-02.65%
2-12.01%
3-00.37%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.97%
1-19.72%
2-20.76%
West Bromwich Albion
0-123.48%
0-28.90%
1-23.68%
0-32.25%
1-30.93%
2-30.19%
0-40.43%
1-40.18%
Hull City at Swansea City
QPR at Wrexham