Stoke City at Swansea City

Updated

Stoke City

23.5%25.6%50.9%
Stoke City WinDrawSwansea City Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.54
3Final Score 1

Swansea City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Blackpool+135
W 0-3 vs Huddersfield-120
T 0-0 vs Hull City+120
L 0-1 at Luton Town+240
W 0-4 vs Reading-110
Swansea City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Blackburn+150
W 1-2 vs Blackpool-160
L 0-3 at Sheffield United+360
L 4-3 vs Birmingham City-120
T 1-1 at Queens Park Rangers+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+215+239+230+249+251+249+251+266.0
Swansea City+125+126+120+120+124+120+126+130.7
Draw+220+230+230+225+223+225+230+240.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+245---+235+240+240+266.0
Swansea City+120----100+120+120+130.7
Draw+225---+205+230+230+240.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +247 to +239
Swansea City ML moved from +110 to +104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Swansea City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +260 to +230
No Steam Moves On Swansea City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½+115o2¼-110o2¼-115o2½+124o2¼-115o2¼-110o2¼-104
Underu2¼-105u2½-135u2¼-110u2¼-105u2½-139u2¼-105u2½-135u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.17%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.40%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.46%
Exactly 321.40%
Exactly 56.71%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 038.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.65%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 021.35%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 225.45%
Exactly 313.10%
Exactly 45.06%
Exactly 51.56%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.36%
Exactly 221.09%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 064.10%
Exactly 128.51%
Exactly 26.34%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 048.92%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals8.16%
Wins by 3+ goals2.15%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals26.19%
Wins by 3+ goals10.65%
Wins by 4+ goals3.48%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Swansea City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal15.30%
Wins by 2 goals6.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.59%
Wins by 2 goals15.54%
Wins by 3 goals7.17%
Wins by 4 goals2.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.83%8.17%
1.571.37%28.63%
2.545.74%54.26%
3.524.34%75.66%
4.510.95%89.05%
5.54.23%95.77%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.73%38.27%
1.524.97%75.03%
2.57.32%92.68%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.65%21.35%
1.545.68%54.32%
2.520.23%79.77%
3.57.13%92.87%
4.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.64%31.36%
1.532.28%67.72%
2.511.19%88.81%
3.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score012345
0
8.17%
12.62%
9.74%
5.01%
1.94%
0.60%
1
7.85%
12.12%
9.36%
4.82%
1.86%
0.57%
2
3.77%
5.82%
4.49%
2.31%
0.89%
0.28%
3
1.21%
1.86%
1.44%
0.74%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.29%
0.45%
0.35%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-07.85%
2-03.77%
2-15.82%
3-01.21%
3-11.86%
3-21.44%
4-00.29%
4-10.45%
4-20.35%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.17%
1-112.12%
2-24.49%
3-30.74%
Swansea City
0-112.62%
0-29.74%
1-29.36%
0-35.01%
1-34.82%
2-32.31%
0-41.94%
1-41.86%
2-40.89%
3-40.29%
0-50.60%
1-50.57%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Swansea City
Score01234
0
31.36%
22.42%
8.01%
1.91%
0.34%
1
13.95%
9.97%
3.56%
0.85%
0.15%
2
3.10%
2.22%
0.79%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.46%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-013.95%
2-03.10%
2-12.22%
3-00.46%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.36%
1-19.97%
2-20.79%
Swansea City
0-122.42%
0-28.01%
1-23.56%
0-31.91%
1-30.85%
2-30.19%
0-40.34%
1-40.15%
West Brom at Watford
Sunderland at Rotherham Utd