Bournemouth at Stoke City

Updated

Bournemouth

39.2%28.1%32.7%
Bournemouth WinDrawStoke City Win
1.26Projected Goals 1.05
1Final Score 0

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Bournemouth
Money Line
W 2-0 at Bristol City-110
W 1-2 vs Sheffield United+120
T 0-0 at Peterborough United-150
W 1-2 vs Luton Town-155
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+145
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sheffield United+245
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+260
T 1-1 at Preston North End+190
W 0-2 vs Hull City-130
L 1-2 at Derby County+115

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+145+170+172+183+161+172+183+190.8
Stoke City+180+165+171+170+166+171+171+177.5
Draw+225+215+220+229+233+220+233+238.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+165---+135+175+175+190.8
Stoke City+180---+175+165+175+177.5
Draw+215---+195+225+225+238.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +167 to +161
Stoke City ML moved from +181 to +172

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 20.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +190 to +170
Stoke City ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2½+111o2¼-121o2¼-121-o2¼-121o2¼-121o2¼-113
Underu2½-140u2½-132u2¼+101u2¼+107-u2¼+101u2½-132u2¼+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-113
Under-----u2¼+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.95%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 411.76%
Exactly 62.09%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.96%
Exactly 320.38%
Exactly 55.43%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 035.02%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.74%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.35%
Exactly 219.61%
Exactly 41.87%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 055.83%
Exactly 132.54%
Exactly 29.48%
Exactly 31.84%
Exactly 40.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 061.52%
Exactly 129.89%
Exactly 27.26%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals18.25%
Wins by 3+ goals6.27%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals11.69%
Wins by 3+ goals3.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Bournemouth
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal22.82%
Wins by 2 goals11.97%
Wins by 3 goals4.55%
Wins by 4 goals1.35%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal19.02%
Wins by 2 goals8.32%
Wins by 3 goals2.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.05%9.95%
1.567.10%32.90%
2.540.61%59.39%
3.520.23%79.77%
4.58.47%91.53%
5.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.60%28.40%
1.535.85%64.15%
2.513.35%86.65%
3.53.91%96.09%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.98%35.02%
1.528.24%71.76%
2.58.96%91.04%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.65%34.35%
1.528.95%71.05%
2.59.33%90.67%
3.52.35%97.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bournemouth
Stoke City
Score012345
0
9.95%
10.44%
5.48%
1.91%
0.50%
0.11%
1
12.52%
13.14%
6.89%
2.41%
0.63%
0.13%
2
7.88%
8.27%
4.34%
1.52%
0.40%
0.08%
3
3.31%
3.47%
1.82%
0.64%
0.17%
0.04%
4
1.04%
1.09%
0.57%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.26%
0.27%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Bournemouth
1-012.52%
2-07.88%
2-18.27%
3-03.31%
3-13.47%
3-21.82%
4-01.04%
4-11.09%
4-20.57%
4-30.20%
5-00.26%
5-10.27%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-09.95%
1-113.14%
2-24.34%
3-30.64%
Stoke City
0-110.44%
0-25.48%
1-26.89%
0-31.91%
1-32.41%
2-31.52%
0-40.50%
1-40.63%
2-40.40%
3-40.17%
0-50.11%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Bournemouth
Stoke City
Score0123
0
34.35%
16.69%
4.05%
0.66%
1
20.02%
9.72%
2.36%
0.38%
2
5.83%
2.83%
0.69%
0.11%
3
1.13%
0.55%
0.13%
0.02%
4
0.17%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Bournemouth
1-020.02%
2-05.83%
2-12.83%
3-01.13%
3-10.55%
3-20.13%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-034.35%
1-19.72%
2-20.69%
Stoke City
0-116.69%
0-24.05%
1-22.36%
0-30.66%
1-30.38%
2-30.11%