Watford at Oxford United

Updated

Watford

32.4%27.8%39.9%
Watford WinDrawOxford United Win
1.11Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 1

Oxford United

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Swansea City+125
L 2-1 vs Millwall+120
T 0-0 at Stoke City+185
W 0-2 vs Luton Town+145
W 1-0 at Middlesbrough+440
Oxford United
Money Line
L 1-2 at Hull City+390
T 1-1 at Norwich City+505
L 3-2 vs Coventry City+270
L 0-2 at West Bromwich Albion+435
L 2-0 vs Portsmouth+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+160+157+155+147+145+147+157+167.5
Oxford United+160+200+195+190+205+190+205+214.1
Draw+220+214+195+200+209+200+214+224.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+150---+130+140+140+167.5
Oxford United+150---+180+215+215+214.1
Draw+205---+200+215+215+224.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Oxford United: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Oxford United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +140 to +131
Oxford United ML moved from +206 to +200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Oxford United: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Oxford United: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Oxford United: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +145 to +130
No Steam Moves On Oxford United ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105o2-135o2¼+108o2¼+109o2¼+104o2¼+109o2-135o2¼+118
Underu2½-125u2+114u2¼-128u2¼-129u2¼-126u2¼-129u2¼-126u2¼-118
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+118
Under-----u2¼-118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.37%
Exactly 226.26%
Exactly 412.27%
Exactly 62.29%
Exactly 80.23%
 
Exactly 122.19%
Exactly 320.73%
Exactly 55.81%
Exactly 70.77%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 033.07%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.25%
Exactly 37.47%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Oxford United
Exactly 028.35%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.42%
Exactly 220.07%
Exactly 42.01%
 
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 37.33%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 059.91%
Exactly 130.69%
Exactly 27.86%
Exactly 31.34%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Oxford United
Exactly 055.78%
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 29.50%
Exactly 31.85%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals12.75%
Wins by 3+ goals3.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Oxford United
Wins by 2+ goals17.61%
Wins by 3+ goals6.04%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Oxford United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Watford
Wins by 1 goal19.50%
Wins by 2 goals8.92%
Wins by 3 goals2.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Oxford United
Wins by 1 goal22.22%
Wins by 2 goals11.58%
Wins by 3 goals4.39%
Wins by 4 goals1.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.63%9.37%
1.568.44%31.56%
2.542.17%57.83%
3.521.45%78.55%
4.59.18%90.82%
5.53.37%96.63%
6.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.93%33.07%
1.530.34%69.66%
2.510.09%89.91%
3.52.62%97.38%

Total Goals Oxford United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.65%28.35%
1.535.92%64.08%
2.513.39%86.61%
3.53.93%96.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.58%33.42%
1.529.95%70.05%
2.59.88%90.12%
3.52.55%97.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Oxford United
Score012345
0
9.37%
11.82%
7.45%
3.13%
0.99%
0.25%
1
10.37%
13.08%
8.24%
3.46%
1.09%
0.28%
2
5.74%
7.24%
4.56%
1.92%
0.60%
0.15%
3
2.12%
2.67%
1.68%
0.71%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.59%
0.74%
0.47%
0.20%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.13%
0.16%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-010.37%
2-05.74%
2-17.24%
3-02.12%
3-12.67%
3-21.68%
4-00.59%
4-10.74%
4-20.47%
4-30.20%
5-00.13%
5-10.16%
5-20.10%
Draw
0-09.37%
1-113.08%
2-24.56%
3-30.71%
Oxford United
0-111.82%
0-27.45%
1-28.24%
0-33.13%
1-33.46%
2-31.92%
0-40.99%
1-41.09%
2-40.60%
3-40.22%
0-50.25%
1-50.28%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Oxford United
Score01234
0
33.42%
19.51%
5.69%
1.11%
0.16%
1
17.12%
9.99%
2.92%
0.57%
0.08%
2
4.39%
2.56%
0.75%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.75%
0.44%
0.13%
0.02%
0.00%
Watford
1-017.12%
2-04.39%
2-12.56%
3-00.75%
3-10.44%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-033.42%
1-19.99%
2-20.75%
Oxford United
0-119.51%
0-25.69%
1-22.92%
0-31.11%
1-30.57%
2-30.15%
0-40.16%