Watford at Southampton

Updated

Watford

15.3%20.6%64.0%
WinDrawSouthampton Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.01
2Final Score 3

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Ipswich Town+525
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 2-2 at West Bromwich Albion+340
T 2-2 vs Leeds United+520
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+165
Southampton
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Coventry City-135
T 0-0 at Blackburn-105
L 2-3 at Ipswich Town+180
T 1-1 vs Middlesbrough-180
W 2-4 vs Sunderland-300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+600+609+575+560+591+560+609+612.1
Southampton-260-236-250-256-237-256-236-199.8
Draw+380+409+390+380+415+380+415+417.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+610---+525+600+600+612.1
Southampton-245----300-255-255-199.8
Draw+405---+360+420+420+417.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +570 to +560
Southampton ML moved from -256 to -263

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 20.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +610 to +580
Southampton ML moved from -245 to -255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-110o3-132o3¼+102o3¼-105o3¼-109o3¼-105o3¼+102o3¼+104
Underu3¼-110u3+112u3¼-122u3¼-115u3¼-109u3¼-115u3¼-109u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+112 to u3¼-142

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.63%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 416.07%
Exactly 64.43%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.21%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 59.24%
Exactly 71.82%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 042.06%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.78%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 013.40%
Exactly 126.93%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.14%
Exactly 49.11%
Exactly 53.66%
Exactly 61.23%
Exactly 70.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.40%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 310.39%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 066.96%
Exactly 126.85%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 039.43%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.08%
Exactly 35.30%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.20%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals39.41%
Wins by 3+ goals19.80%
Wins by 4+ goals8.21%
Wins by 5+ goals2.84%
Wins by 6+ goals0.79%
Wins by 7+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Southampton
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Watford
Wins by 1 goal10.56%
Wins by 2 goals3.64%
Wins by 3 goals0.92%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals19.61%
Wins by 3 goals11.58%
Wins by 4 goals5.38%
Wins by 5 goals2.04%
Wins by 6 goals0.64%
Wins by 7 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.37%5.63%
1.578.16%21.84%
2.554.85%45.15%
3.532.51%67.49%
4.516.44%83.56%
5.57.20%92.80%
6.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.94%42.06%
1.521.52%78.48%
2.55.74%94.26%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.60%13.40%
1.559.67%40.33%
2.532.61%67.39%
3.514.47%85.53%
4.55.36%94.64%
5.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.60%26.40%
1.538.44%61.56%
2.515.03%84.97%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Southampton
Score012345
0
5.63%
11.33%
11.38%
7.63%
3.83%
1.54%
1
4.88%
9.81%
9.86%
6.61%
3.32%
1.33%
2
2.11%
4.25%
4.27%
2.86%
1.44%
0.58%
3
0.61%
1.23%
1.23%
0.83%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.13%
0.27%
0.27%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Watford
1-04.88%
2-02.11%
2-14.25%
3-00.61%
3-11.23%
3-21.23%
4-00.13%
4-10.27%
4-20.27%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.63%
1-19.81%
2-24.27%
3-30.83%
Southampton
0-111.33%
0-211.38%
1-29.86%
0-37.63%
1-36.61%
2-32.86%
0-43.83%
1-43.32%
2-41.44%
3-40.42%
0-51.54%
1-51.33%
2-50.58%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Southampton
Score012345
0
26.40%
24.57%
11.43%
3.55%
0.83%
0.15%
1
10.59%
9.85%
4.59%
1.42%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.12%
1.98%
0.92%
0.29%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.28%
0.26%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-010.59%
2-02.12%
2-11.98%
3-00.28%
3-10.26%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.40%
1-19.85%
2-20.92%
Southampton
0-124.57%
0-211.43%
1-24.59%
0-33.55%
1-31.42%
2-30.29%
0-40.83%
1-40.33%
0-50.15%