Derby County at Birmingham City

Updated

Derby County

11.4%18.8%69.8%
WinDrawBirmingham City Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.12
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Portsmouth-100
W 3-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+110
T 1-1 vs Millwall+165
L 3-1 vs Leicester City+175
L 1-2 at Middlesbrough+325
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-3 at Sheffield United+210
T 1-1 vs Charlton Athletic-190
L 1-2 at Queens Park Rangers+140
L 1-3 at Southampton+195
W 1-2 vs Watford-125

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+340+320+305+280+280+280+320+314.2
Birmingham City-133-105-114-112-112-112-105+106.3
Draw+250+245+230+235+235+235+245+265.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+355----+335+335+314.2
Birmingham City-125-----115-115+106.3
Draw+260----+250+250+265.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +320 to +310
Birmingham City ML moved from -125 to -131

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 40.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +355 to +320
No Steam Moves On Birmingham City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2¼-109o2¼-112o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-110o2¼-109o2¼+100
Underu2¼-102u2¼-104u2¼-108u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-110u2¼-104u2¼+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+100
Under-----u2¼+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.90%
Exactly 223.63%
Exactly 415.78%
Exactly 64.21%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.69%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 58.93%
Exactly 71.70%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 048.90%
Exactly 134.98%
Exactly 212.51%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 012.06%
Exactly 125.51%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 319.02%
Exactly 410.06%
Exactly 54.26%
Exactly 61.50%
Exactly 70.45%
Exactly 80.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.96%
Exactly 223.16%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.34%
Exactly 310.12%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 071.80%
Exactly 123.78%
Exactly 23.94%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 037.55%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.01%
Exactly 35.88%
Exactly 41.44%
Exactly 50.28%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals2.97%
Wins by 3+ goals0.56%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals45.15%
Wins by 3+ goals23.91%
Wins by 4+ goals10.51%
Wins by 5+ goals3.90%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Birmingham City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal8.32%
Wins by 2 goals2.41%
Wins by 3 goals0.50%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal24.62%
Wins by 2 goals21.24%
Wins by 3 goals13.40%
Wins by 4 goals6.61%
Wins by 5 goals2.67%
Wins by 6 goals0.91%
Wins by 7 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.10%5.90%
1.577.41%22.59%
2.553.79%46.21%
3.531.49%68.51%
4.515.72%84.28%
5.56.78%93.22%
6.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.10%48.90%
1.516.12%83.88%
2.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.94%12.06%
1.562.43%37.57%
2.535.45%64.55%
3.516.43%83.57%
4.56.37%93.63%
5.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.04%26.96%
1.537.69%62.31%
2.514.53%85.47%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
5.90%
12.47%
13.19%
9.30%
4.92%
2.08%
1
4.22%
8.92%
9.44%
6.66%
3.52%
1.49%
2
1.51%
3.19%
3.38%
2.38%
1.26%
0.53%
3
0.36%
0.76%
0.81%
0.57%
0.30%
0.13%
Derby County
1-04.22%
2-01.51%
2-13.19%
3-00.36%
3-10.76%
3-20.81%
Draw
0-05.90%
1-18.92%
2-23.38%
3-30.57%
Birmingham City
0-112.47%
0-213.19%
1-29.44%
0-39.30%
1-36.66%
2-32.38%
0-44.92%
1-43.52%
2-41.26%
3-40.30%
0-52.08%
1-51.49%
2-50.53%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Birmingham City
Score012345
0
26.96%
26.41%
12.93%
4.22%
1.03%
0.20%
1
8.93%
8.75%
4.28%
1.40%
0.34%
0.07%
2
1.48%
1.45%
0.71%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Derby County
1-08.93%
2-01.48%
2-11.45%
3-00.16%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-026.96%
1-18.75%
2-20.71%
Birmingham City
0-126.41%
0-212.93%
1-24.28%
0-34.22%
1-31.40%
2-30.23%
0-41.03%
1-40.34%
0-50.20%
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