England Championship Predictions

Updated 2 days ago

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Completed Games

Time	Teams	Win	Draw	Best ML	Final Goals	Sportsbook Log Loss	DRatings Log Loss
04/20/2024 02:00 PM	Birmingham City Rotherham United	26.5% 46.5%	27.0%	-146 +426 -155 +430	0 0	-1.40409-1.42221	-1.30856
04/20/2024 02:00 PM	Plymouth Argyle Stoke City	15.3% 64.0%	20.7%	+380 -130 +375 -130	0 3	-0.60860-0.61906	-0.44599
04/20/2024 02:00 PM	Hull City Watford	18.4% 58.4%	23.2%	+152 +190 +140 +190	0 0	-1.28388-1.28844	-1.46300
04/20/2024 02:00 PM	Bristol City Norwich City	22.8% 52.1%	25.1%	+392 -140 +415 -160	1 1	-1.41840-1.47238	-1.38234
04/20/2024 02:00 PM	Millwall Sunderland	35.2% 35.2%	29.6%	+258 +121 +265 +115	1 0	-1.31230-1.34504	-1.04378
04/20/2024 11:30 AM	West Bromwich Albion Leicester City	21.3% 55.3%	23.4%	+534 -178 +520 -190	1 2	-0.48521-0.47332	-0.59247
04/16/2024 07:00 PM	Preston North End Southampton	9.7% 74.2%	16.1%	+880 -304 +900 -340	0 3	-0.31633-0.30341	-0.29822
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Watford Southampton	15.3% 64.0%	20.6%	+609 -236 +600 -255	2 3	-0.39019-0.38296	-0.44607
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Rotherham United Swansea City	18.0% 59.2%	22.8%	+782 -277 +775 -295	0 1	-0.34752-0.34222	-0.52494
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Sunderland West Bromwich Albion	11.2% 70.5%	18.3%	+314 -105 +320 -105	1 0	-1.45098-1.47854	-2.19015
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Coventry City Birmingham City	34.4% 36.4%	29.2%	+125 +242 +115 +230	0 3	-1.23457-1.24258	-1.01005
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Stoke City Sheffield Wednesday	36.7% 34.4%	28.9%	+177 +168 +170 +170	1 1	-1.22397-1.21503	-1.24147
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Cardiff City Millwall	20.9% 54.4%	24.7%	+362 -102 +355 -110	1 3	-0.70924-0.69663	-0.60916
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Queens Park Rangers Hull City	24.9% 50.0%	25.1%	+264 +115 +255 +110	0 3	-0.79392-0.79264	-0.69355
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Huddersfield Bristol City	24.1% 50.6%	25.3%	+234 +132 +220 +130	1 1	-1.22469-1.24299	-1.37476
04/13/2024 02:00 PM	Middlesbrough Ipswich Town	32.1% 39.6%	28.2%	+325 -120 +315 -125	1 1	-1.41276-1.41256	-1.26514

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Season Prediction Results

Time Period

	Games	Record (Pct)	No Pick	Log Loss Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model. More on Log Loss	+/-
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
Sportsbooks	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0
DRatings	0	0-0-0 (0.000)	0

Season Simulation

*Through all games played on or before 04/28/24

#	Team	W	L	T	Pts	Win League	Promotion	Promotion Playoff	Relegation
1	Leicester City (30-10-4, 94 pts)	31.1	10.4	4.5	97.7	97.6%	100.0%	0.0%	0.0%
2	Leeds United (27-9-9, 90 pts)	27.3	9.4	9.3	91.3	0.0%	29.3%	70.7%	0.0%
3	Ipswich Town (26-6-12, 90 pts)	26.8	6.6	12.6	93.0	2.4%	70.7%	29.3%	0.0%
4	Southampton (25-11-9, 84 pts)	25.4	11.3	9.3	85.4	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
5	Norwich City (21-14-10, 73 pts)	21.5	14.2	10.3	74.8	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%	0.0%
6	West Bromwich Albion (20-13-12, 72 pts)	20.4	13.3	12.3	73.6	0.0%	0.0%	87.8%	0.0%
7	Hull City (19-13-13, 70 pts)	19.4	13.3	13.3	71.6	0.0%	0.0%	12.2%	0.0%
8	Middlesbrough (19-17-9, 66 pts)	19.4	17.4	9.3	67.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
9	Coventry City (17-14-13, 64 pts)	17.6	14.8	13.6	66.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
10	Preston North End (18-17-9, 63 pts)	18.4	18.1	9.5	64.8	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
11	Bristol City (17-17-11, 62 pts)	17.4	17.3	11.3	63.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
12	Cardiff City (19-21-5, 62 pts)	19.4	21.3	5.3	63.6	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
13	Swansea City (15-18-12, 57 pts)	15.3	18.4	12.3	58.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
14	Watford (13-15-17, 56 pts)	13.4	15.4	17.3	57.4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
15	Sunderland (16-21-8, 56 pts)	16.3	21.4	8.3	57.2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
16	Millwall (15-19-11, 56 pts)	15.4	19.3	11.3	57.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
17	Queens Park Rangers (14-20-11, 53 pts)	14.3	20.4	11.3	54.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
18	Stoke City (14-20-11, 53 pts)	14.3	20.4	11.3	54.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
19	Blackburn (13-21-11, 50 pts)	13.3	21.4	11.3	51.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%
20	Sheffield Wednesday (14-23-8, 50 pts)	14.4	23.3	8.3	51.5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	1.8%
21	Plymouth Argyle (12-21-12, 48 pts)	12.3	21.4	12.3	49.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	16.2%
22	Birmingham City (12-22-11, 47 pts)	12.2	22.5	11.3	48.0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	80.2%
23	Huddersfield (9-18-18, 45 pts)	9.3	18.4	18.3	46.3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%
24	Rotherham United (4-29-12, 24 pts)	4.3	29.4	12.3	25.1	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	100.0%

Predictions Methodology

The Championship is England's second division soccer league. The league consists of 24 teams that each play a total of 46 games in their league's season. The top two teams get promoted to the Premier League. The 3rd through 6th places teams play a tournament to see who gets the third promotion spot in the Premier League. The three teams who finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to League One.