Birmingham City at Burnley

Updated

Birmingham City

10.2%17.9%71.8%
WinDrawBurnley Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.18
0Final Score 3

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Reading+105
T 0-0 at Blackpool+155
L 2-1 vs Sunderland+125
T 2-2 vs Swansea City+175
W 2-1 at Stoke City+285
Burnley
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Middlesbrough+100
W 3-0 at Queens Park Rangers+125
W 0-3 vs Blackburn-130
L 2-5 at Sheffield United+190
W 2-3 vs Rotherham United-255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+475+554+500+450+557+450+557+577.2
Burnley-170-173-175-175-171-175-171-157.9
Draw+290+295+290+285+304+285+304+316.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Birmingham City+485---+400+550+550+577.2
Burnley-165----180-175-175-157.9
Draw+290---+250+285+285+316.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +571 to +557
Burnley ML moved from -169 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Burnley: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Birmingham City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Birmingham City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Birmingham City ML moved from +465 to +455
No Steam Moves On Burnley ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102o2½+105o2¼-122o2½+100o2½+109o2½+100o2¼-122o2½+116
Underu2½-118u2½-125u2¼+102u2½-120u2½-124u2½-120u2½-120u2½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+116
Under-----u2½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-115 to o2½+100
The Under moved from u2½-121 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 415.98%
Exactly 64.36%
Exactly 80.64%
 
Exactly 116.36%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 71.78%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 050.59%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.75%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 011.30%
Exactly 124.63%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.52%
Exactly 410.64%
Exactly 54.64%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.58%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 43.41%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 072.94%
Exactly 123.01%
Exactly 23.63%
Exactly 30.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 036.43%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.57%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals2.57%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals47.47%
Wins by 3+ goals25.77%
Wins by 4+ goals11.63%
Wins by 5+ goals4.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.44%
Wins by 7+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Birmingham City
Burnley
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal7.59%
Wins by 2 goals2.11%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.32%
Wins by 2 goals21.70%
Wins by 3 goals14.14%
Wins by 4 goals7.20%
Wins by 5 goals3.00%
Wins by 6 goals1.05%
Wins by 7 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.93%22.07%
2.554.52%45.48%
3.532.19%67.81%
4.516.21%83.79%
5.57.07%92.93%
6.52.70%97.30%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.41%50.59%
1.514.94%85.06%
2.53.19%96.81%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.70%11.30%
1.564.07%35.93%
2.537.21%62.79%
3.517.69%82.31%
4.57.04%92.96%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.42%26.58%
1.538.21%61.79%
2.514.87%85.13%
3.54.57%95.43%
4.51.15%98.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Birmingham City
Burnley
Score012345
0
5.71%
12.46%
13.59%
9.88%
5.38%
2.35%
1
3.89%
8.49%
9.26%
6.73%
3.67%
1.60%
2
1.33%
2.89%
3.16%
2.29%
1.25%
0.55%
3
0.30%
0.66%
0.72%
0.52%
0.28%
0.12%
Birmingham City
1-03.89%
2-01.33%
2-12.89%
3-00.30%
3-10.66%
3-20.72%
Draw
0-05.71%
1-18.49%
2-23.16%
3-30.52%
Burnley
0-112.46%
0-213.59%
1-29.26%
0-39.88%
1-36.73%
2-32.29%
0-45.38%
1-43.67%
2-41.25%
3-40.28%
0-52.35%
1-51.60%
2-50.55%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Birmingham City
Burnley
Score012345
0
26.58%
26.83%
13.55%
4.56%
1.15%
0.23%
1
8.39%
8.47%
4.27%
1.44%
0.36%
0.07%
2
1.32%
1.34%
0.67%
0.23%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.14%
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Birmingham City
1-08.39%
2-01.32%
2-11.34%
3-00.14%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-026.58%
1-18.47%
2-20.67%
Burnley
0-126.83%
0-213.55%
1-24.27%
0-34.56%
1-31.44%
2-30.23%
0-41.15%
1-40.36%
0-50.23%
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