Cardiff City at Luton Town

Updated

Cardiff City

20.4%23.5%56.1%
Cardiff City WinDrawLuton Town Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.75
0Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Millwall+205
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic+100
L 0-1 at Blackburn+235
T 0-0 at Coventry City+305
T 0-0 vs Queens Park Rangers+135
Luton Town
Money Line
W 2-0 at Wigan Athletic+140
L 3-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+205
W 2-1 at Huddersfield+145
W 3-0 at Queens Park Rangers+230
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+310+275+260+270+305+270+305+316.6
Luton Town-105+114+115+112+111+112+115+117.0
Draw+215+227+205+225+225+225+227+234.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+330---+320+280+320+316.6
Luton Town-110----135+110+110+117.0
Draw+240---+215+220+220+234.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +277 to +270
Luton Town ML moved from +100 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +300 to +280
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-139o2¼+100o2¼+102o2-134o2¼+102o2-134o2-125
Underu2¼-115u2+117u2¼-120u2¼-122u2+119u2¼-122u2¼-120u2+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-125
Under-----u2+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.74%
Exactly 224.52%
Exactly 414.86%
Exactly 63.60%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.19%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 58.01%
Exactly 71.39%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 038.65%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.46%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.32%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 017.45%
Exactly 130.46%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 315.48%
Exactly 46.76%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 60.69%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.69%
Exactly 222.36%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.82%
Exactly 39.31%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 064.40%
Exactly 128.34%
Exactly 26.24%
Exactly 30.92%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 044.56%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.56%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals6.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals31.40%
Wins by 3+ goals14.11%
Wins by 4+ goals5.19%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Wins by 6+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Luton Town
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal13.42%
Wins by 2 goals5.12%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals17.28%
Wins by 3 goals8.92%
Wins by 4 goals3.61%
Wins by 5 goals1.19%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.26%6.74%
1.575.07%24.93%
2.550.55%49.45%
3.528.51%71.49%
4.513.66%86.34%
5.55.65%94.35%
6.52.04%97.96%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.35%38.65%
1.524.61%75.39%
2.57.14%92.86%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.55%17.45%
1.552.09%47.91%
2.525.49%74.51%
3.510.02%89.98%
4.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.31%28.69%
1.535.48%64.52%
2.513.12%86.88%
3.53.81%96.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score012345
0
6.74%
11.77%
10.28%
5.98%
2.61%
0.91%
1
6.41%
11.19%
9.77%
5.69%
2.48%
0.87%
2
3.05%
5.32%
4.64%
2.70%
1.18%
0.41%
3
0.97%
1.69%
1.47%
0.86%
0.37%
0.13%
4
0.23%
0.40%
0.35%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-06.41%
2-03.05%
2-15.32%
3-00.97%
3-11.69%
3-21.47%
4-00.23%
4-10.40%
4-20.35%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.74%
1-111.19%
2-24.64%
3-30.86%
Luton Town
0-111.77%
0-210.28%
1-29.77%
0-35.98%
1-35.69%
2-32.70%
0-42.61%
1-42.48%
2-41.18%
3-40.37%
0-50.91%
1-50.87%
2-50.41%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
28.69%
23.19%
9.37%
2.53%
0.51%
1
12.63%
10.21%
4.13%
1.11%
0.22%
2
2.78%
2.25%
0.91%
0.24%
0.05%
3
0.41%
0.33%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-012.63%
2-02.78%
2-12.25%
3-00.41%
3-10.33%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.69%
1-110.21%
2-20.91%
Luton Town
0-123.19%
0-29.37%
1-24.13%
0-32.53%
1-31.11%
2-30.24%
0-40.51%
1-40.22%