Millwall at Watford

Updated

Millwall

23.5%26.9%49.5%
Millwall WinDrawWatford Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.43
2Final Score 0

Watford

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-105
L 0-3 at Sunderland+180
W 4-2 at Preston North End+205
T 0-0 vs Hull City-120
T 0-0 at Birmingham City+225
Watford
Money Line
W 2-0 at Huddersfield+120
T 0-0 vs Hull City-135
T 0-0 at Bristol City+120
W 0-2 vs Reading-115
L 1-0 vs Coventry City-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+270+243+235+199+257+199+257+269.2
Watford+110+130+125+129+127+129+130+134.7
Draw+215+219+220+225+219+225+225+229.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+290---+255+285+285+269.2
Watford+100----110+105+105+134.7
Draw+240---+210+230+230+229.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 10.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +259 to +253
Watford ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Watford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 60.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +255
Watford ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-138o2¼+102o2¼-101o2-133o2¼-101o2-133o2-124
Underu2¼-115u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-119u2+118u2¼-119u2¼-119u2+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-124
Under-----u2+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.79%
Exactly 226.43%
Exactly 411.89%
Exactly 62.14%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.75%
Exactly 320.47%
Exactly 55.53%
Exactly 70.71%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 040.91%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.34%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 023.94%
Exactly 134.22%
Exactly 224.47%
Exactly 311.66%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.10%
Exactly 219.73%
Exactly 41.90%
 
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 37.08%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 066.11%
Exactly 127.36%
Exactly 25.66%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 051.58%
Exactly 134.15%
Exactly 211.30%
Exactly 32.49%
Exactly 40.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals7.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals24.41%
Wins by 3+ goals9.40%
Wins by 4+ goals2.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.71%
Wins by 6+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal15.67%
Wins by 2 goals5.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.59%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals15.01%
Wins by 3 goals6.50%
Wins by 4 goals2.19%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.21%9.79%
1.567.46%32.54%
2.541.02%58.98%
3.520.55%79.45%
4.58.65%91.35%
5.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.09%40.91%
1.522.53%77.47%
2.56.18%93.82%
3.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.06%23.94%
1.541.84%58.16%
2.517.37%82.63%
3.55.71%94.29%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.90%34.10%
1.529.21%70.79%
2.59.48%90.52%
3.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Watford
Score012345
0
9.79%
14.00%
10.01%
4.77%
1.71%
0.49%
1
8.75%
12.51%
8.95%
4.26%
1.52%
0.44%
2
3.91%
5.59%
4.00%
1.91%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.17%
1.67%
1.19%
0.57%
0.20%
0.06%
4
0.26%
0.37%
0.27%
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-08.75%
2-03.91%
2-15.59%
3-01.17%
3-11.67%
3-21.19%
4-00.26%
4-10.37%
4-20.27%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-09.79%
1-112.51%
2-24.00%
3-30.57%
Watford
0-114.00%
0-210.01%
1-28.95%
0-34.77%
1-34.26%
2-31.91%
0-41.71%
1-41.52%
2-40.68%
3-40.20%
0-50.49%
1-50.44%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Watford
Score01234
0
34.10%
22.57%
7.47%
1.65%
0.27%
1
14.11%
9.34%
3.09%
0.68%
0.11%
2
2.92%
1.93%
0.64%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.40%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-014.11%
2-02.92%
2-11.93%
3-00.40%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-034.10%
1-19.34%
2-20.64%
Watford
0-122.57%
0-27.47%
1-23.09%
0-31.65%
1-30.68%
2-30.14%
0-40.27%
1-40.11%