Manchester City at Burnley

Updated

Manchester City

74.3%16.5%9.1%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.32Projected Goals 0.67
2Final Score 0

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-322
W 1-4 vs Manchester United-250
W 1-0 at Everton-425
L 3-2 vs Tottenham-400
W 4-0 at Norwich City-550
Burnley
Money Line
L 0-2 at Brentford+289
L 4-0 vs Chelsea+645
L 2-0 vs Leicester City+190
T 1-1 at Crystal Palace+370
W 0-1 vs Tottenham+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-503-500-465-461-478-465-461-387.8
Burnley+1278+1300+1450+1402+1254+1450+1450+1478.6
Draw+553+550+575+600+558+575+600+606.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-460--590---600-590-387.8
Burnley+1330-+1550--+1550+1550+1478.6
Draw+520-+630--+635+635+606.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -480 to -500
Burnley ML moved from +1300 to +1200

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -550 to -600
Burnley ML moved from +1370 to +1360

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108o3-115o3-110o3-111-o3-110o3-110o3-104
Underu3-108u3-105u3-106u3-104-u3-106u3-104u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-115o3-112-o3-120o3+100o3+100o3-104
Underu3-115u3-105u3-108-u3-110u3-120u3-105u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.08%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.98%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 122.89%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 70.70%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 051.04%
Exactly 134.33%
Exactly 211.54%
Exactly 32.59%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.10%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 034.27%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 41.88%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 073.24%
Exactly 122.81%
Exactly 23.55%
Exactly 30.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals50.80%
Wins by 3+ goals28.77%
Wins by 4+ goals13.62%
Wins by 5+ goals5.46%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals2.25%
Wins by 3+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals22.03%
Wins by 3 goals15.16%
Wins by 4 goals8.16%
Wins by 5 goals3.59%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal6.81%
Wins by 2 goals1.85%
Wins by 3 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.87%20.13%
2.557.35%42.65%
3.534.95%65.05%
4.518.23%81.77%
5.58.25%91.75%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.21%32.79%
2.540.74%59.26%
3.520.33%79.67%
4.58.53%91.47%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.96%51.04%
1.514.63%85.37%
2.53.09%96.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.90%25.10%
1.540.20%59.80%
2.516.22%83.78%
3.55.17%94.83%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Burnley
Score0123
0
5.05%
3.40%
1.14%
0.26%
1
11.68%
7.86%
2.64%
0.59%
2
13.51%
9.09%
3.06%
0.68%
3
10.42%
7.01%
2.36%
0.53%
4
6.02%
4.05%
1.36%
0.31%
5
2.79%
1.87%
0.63%
0.14%
Manchester City
1-011.68%
2-013.51%
2-19.09%
3-010.42%
3-17.01%
3-22.36%
4-06.02%
4-14.05%
4-21.36%
4-30.31%
5-02.79%
5-11.87%
5-20.63%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-05.05%
1-17.86%
2-23.06%
3-30.53%
Burnley
0-13.40%
0-21.14%
1-22.64%
0-30.26%
1-30.59%
2-30.68%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Burnley
Score0123
0
25.10%
7.82%
1.22%
0.13%
1
26.88%
8.37%
1.30%
0.14%
2
14.39%
4.48%
0.70%
0.07%
3
5.14%
1.60%
0.25%
0.03%
4
1.38%
0.43%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.29%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.88%
2-014.39%
2-14.48%
3-05.14%
3-11.60%
3-20.25%
4-01.38%
4-10.43%
5-00.29%
Draw
0-025.10%
1-18.37%
2-20.70%
Burnley
0-17.82%
0-21.22%
1-21.30%
0-30.13%
1-30.14%