Arsenal at Southampton

Updated

Arsenal

74.3%15.8%10.0%
Arsenal WinDrawWin
2.50Projected Goals 0.80
2Final Score 1

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Arsenal
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Newcastle United-110
T 2-2 at Liverpool+215
L 2-1 vs Bournemouth+100
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-280
W 4-0 at Ipswich Town-255
Southampton
Money Line
L 0-2 at Everton+685
T 0-0 vs Manchester City+1375
L 0-2 at Leicester City+190
L 2-1 vs Fulham+447
T 1-1 at West Ham United+500

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-275-397-435-415-425-415-397-351.5
Southampton+650+1051+1000+1150+1070+1150+1150+1193.8
Draw+440+548+575+570+545+570+575+593.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arsenal-270--417-430-440-425-417-351.5
Southampton+715-+1050+850+850+1050+1050+1193.8
Draw+445-+550+475+490+550+550+593.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -420 to -435
Southampton ML moved from +1092 to +1070

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arsenal: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arsenal ML moved from -380 to -430
Southampton ML moved from +1150 to +1050

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3½+104o3¼-122o3½+104o3¼-122o3½+104o3¼-122o3½+111
Underu3-108u3½-122u3¼+102u3½-120u3¼+100u3½-120u3½-120u3½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½+105o3½+105o3½+100o3½+100o3½+100o3½+105o3½+111
Underu3-110u3½-125u3½-125u3½-120u3½-130u3½-120u3½-120u3½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-135 to o3½+100
The Under moved from u3½+115 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.71%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 418.21%
Exactly 66.59%
Exactly 81.28%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.21%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 512.00%
Exactly 73.10%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 08.27%
Exactly 120.62%
Exactly 225.69%
Exactly 321.34%
Exactly 413.30%
Exactly 56.63%
Exactly 62.75%
Exactly 70.98%
Exactly 80.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 044.80%
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 214.44%
Exactly 33.86%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.75%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 44.91%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.18%
Exactly 312.87%
Exactly 51.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 031.54%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.00%
Exactly 38.08%
Exactly 42.33%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 068.95%
Exactly 125.63%
Exactly 24.76%
Exactly 30.59%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals52.02%
Wins by 3+ goals30.63%
Wins by 4+ goals15.21%
Wins by 5+ goals6.43%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals2.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.61%

Exact Winning Margin

Arsenal
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal22.13%
Wins by 2 goals21.39%
Wins by 3 goals15.42%
Wins by 4 goals8.78%
Wins by 5 goals4.11%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal7.13%
Wins by 2 goals2.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.29%3.71%
1.584.08%15.92%
2.563.96%36.04%
3.541.86%58.14%
4.523.65%76.35%
5.511.65%88.35%
6.55.06%94.94%
7.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.73%8.27%
1.571.11%28.89%
2.545.42%54.58%
3.524.08%75.92%
4.510.78%89.22%
5.54.15%95.85%
6.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.20%44.80%
1.519.22%80.78%
2.54.78%95.22%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.25%21.75%
1.545.07%54.93%
2.519.76%80.24%
3.56.89%93.11%
4.51.98%98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arsenal
Southampton
Score0123
0
3.71%
2.98%
1.19%
0.32%
1
9.24%
7.42%
2.98%
0.80%
2
11.51%
9.24%
3.71%
0.99%
3
9.56%
7.68%
3.08%
0.82%
4
5.96%
4.78%
1.92%
0.51%
5
2.97%
2.38%
0.96%
0.26%
Arsenal
1-09.24%
2-011.51%
2-19.24%
3-09.56%
3-17.68%
3-23.08%
4-05.96%
4-14.78%
4-21.92%
4-30.51%
5-02.97%
5-12.38%
5-20.96%
5-30.26%
Draw
0-03.71%
1-17.42%
2-23.71%
3-30.82%
4-40.10%
Southampton
0-12.98%
0-21.19%
1-22.98%
0-30.32%
1-30.80%
2-30.99%

Correct Score - First Half

Arsenal
Southampton
Score0123
0
21.75%
8.08%
1.50%
0.19%
1
25.10%
9.33%
1.73%
0.21%
2
14.48%
5.38%
1.00%
0.12%
3
5.57%
2.07%
0.38%
0.05%
4
1.61%
0.60%
0.11%
0.01%
5
0.37%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Arsenal
1-025.10%
2-014.48%
2-15.38%
3-05.57%
3-12.07%
3-20.38%
4-01.61%
4-10.60%
4-20.11%
5-00.37%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-021.75%
1-19.33%
2-21.00%
Southampton
0-18.08%
0-21.50%
1-21.73%
0-30.19%
1-30.21%
2-30.12%