Aston Villa at Arsenal

Updated

Aston Villa

11.5%17.3%71.1%
WinDrawArsenal Win
0.82Projected Goals 2.33
2Final Score 2

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Everton+130
W 1-2 vs Leicester City-325
T 2-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion-116
L 0-3 at Newcastle United+280
W 1-2 vs Manchester City+230
Arsenal
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Tottenham-285
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-125
W 3-1 at Brentford-190
W 0-1 vs Ipswich Town-700
W 5-1 at Crystal Palace-215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+588+508+475+510+502+510+510+531.1
Arsenal-212-170-180-170-185-170-170-155.5
Draw+364+308+330+315+317+315+330+329.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+400-+510+475+470+490+510+531.1
Arsenal-230--190-180-225-175-175-155.5
Draw+345-+330+280+315+310+330+329.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +513 to +502
Arsenal ML moved from -170 to -177

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arsenal: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +550 to +510
Arsenal ML moved from -185 to -192

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-133o2¾-108o2¾-104o2¾-108o2¾-104o2½-133o2¾+104
Underu2½+119u2½+113u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110o2½-135o2½-135o2½-125o2½-120o2½-125o2½-120o2¾+104
Underu3-140u2½+115u2½+115u2½+105u2½-110u2½+105u2½+115u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-113 to u2½-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2½-125
The Under moved from u3-145 to u2½-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.28%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 417.58%
Exactly 65.82%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.49%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.08%
Exactly 72.62%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 043.96%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 214.85%
Exactly 34.07%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 09.74%
Exactly 122.68%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.94%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.25%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 44.39%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 068.35%
Exactly 126.01%
Exactly 24.95%
Exactly 30.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 034.01%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals3.37%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%
Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals47.96%
Wins by 3+ goals26.92%
Wins by 4+ goals12.67%
Wins by 5+ goals5.06%
Wins by 6+ goals1.72%
Wins by 7+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Arsenal
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal8.15%
Wins by 2 goals2.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.62%
Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal23.09%
Wins by 2 goals21.04%
Wins by 3 goals14.25%
Wins by 4 goals7.61%
Wins by 5 goals3.34%
Wins by 6 goals1.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.72%4.28%
1.582.23%17.77%
2.560.98%39.02%
3.538.66%61.34%
4.521.07%78.93%
5.59.99%90.01%
6.54.17%95.83%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.04%43.96%
1.519.91%80.09%
2.55.06%94.94%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.26%9.74%
1.567.58%32.42%
2.541.17%58.83%
3.520.66%79.34%
4.58.72%91.28%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.75%23.25%
1.542.83%57.17%
2.518.09%81.91%
3.56.06%93.94%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Score012345
0
4.28%
9.97%
11.61%
9.01%
5.25%
2.45%
1
3.52%
8.19%
9.54%
7.41%
4.31%
2.01%
2
1.45%
3.37%
3.92%
3.05%
1.77%
0.83%
3
0.40%
0.92%
1.07%
0.83%
0.49%
0.23%
Aston Villa
1-03.52%
2-01.45%
2-13.37%
3-00.40%
3-10.92%
3-21.07%
Draw
0-04.28%
1-18.19%
2-23.92%
3-30.83%
Arsenal
0-19.97%
0-211.61%
1-29.54%
0-39.01%
1-37.41%
2-33.05%
0-45.25%
1-44.31%
2-41.77%
3-40.49%
0-52.45%
1-52.01%
2-50.83%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Score012345
0
23.25%
25.07%
13.52%
4.86%
1.31%
0.28%
1
8.85%
9.54%
5.14%
1.85%
0.50%
0.11%
2
1.68%
1.82%
0.98%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.23%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-08.85%
2-01.68%
2-11.82%
3-00.21%
3-10.23%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.25%
1-19.54%
2-20.98%
Arsenal
0-125.07%
0-213.52%
1-25.14%
0-34.86%
1-31.85%
2-30.35%
0-41.31%
1-40.50%
0-50.28%
1-50.11%