Chelsea at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Chelsea

46.2%26.4%27.5%
Chelsea WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
1.45Projected Goals 1.05
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+175
L 1-4 at Brighton and Hove Albion+136
T 1-1 vs Manchester United+120
T 0-0 at Brentford-115
W 2-0 at Aston Villa+100
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-1 at Southampton-120
W 0-4 vs Aston Villa-125
W 2-1 at Tottenham+225
W 0-1 vs Everton-155
T 0-0 at Manchester United+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+185+249+250+260+265+260+265+272.2
Newcastle Utd+150+118+115+115+117+115+118+121.3
Draw+225+240+225+243+251+243+251+257.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+210-+245-+210+220+245+272.2
Newcastle Utd+130-+113-+100+125+125+121.3
Draw+240-+242-+225+240+242+257.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 50.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +250 to +241
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +128 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 50.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +214 to +205
Newcastle Utd ML moved from +120 to +113

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+104o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+109o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+116
Underu2½-105u2½-124u2¼+100u2¼+104u2½-124u2¼+104u2½-124u2½-116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½+100o2½+104-o2½-105o2½+105o2½+105o2½+116
Underu2½-105u2½-120u2½-124-u2½-125u2½-125u2½-120u2½-116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.8%
 
No50.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.20%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.37%
Exactly 62.79%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.51%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.69%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 023.50%
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 311.89%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 51.25%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 034.90%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.34%
Exactly 36.79%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.42%
Exactly 221.06%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.13%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 051.15%
Exactly 134.29%
Exactly 211.50%
Exactly 32.57%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.42%
Exactly 129.94%
Exactly 27.30%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals22.56%
Wins by 3+ goals8.66%
Wins by 4+ goals2.67%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals10.27%
Wins by 3+ goals2.93%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal23.55%
Wins by 2 goals13.89%
Wins by 3 goals5.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.55%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal17.12%
Wins by 2 goals7.34%
Wins by 3 goals2.30%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.80%8.20%
1.571.29%28.71%
2.545.64%54.36%
3.524.26%75.74%
4.510.89%89.11%
5.54.21%95.79%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.50%23.50%
1.542.46%57.54%
2.517.82%82.18%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.10%34.90%
1.528.36%71.64%
2.59.02%90.98%
3.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.58%31.42%
1.532.21%67.79%
2.511.15%88.85%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score01234
0
8.20%
8.63%
4.54%
1.59%
0.42%
1
11.88%
12.50%
6.58%
2.31%
0.61%
2
8.60%
9.05%
4.76%
1.67%
0.44%
3
4.15%
4.37%
2.30%
0.81%
0.21%
4
1.50%
1.58%
0.83%
0.29%
0.08%
5
0.44%
0.46%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
Chelsea
1-011.88%
2-08.60%
2-19.05%
3-04.15%
3-14.37%
3-22.30%
4-01.50%
4-11.58%
4-20.83%
4-30.29%
5-00.44%
5-10.46%
5-20.24%
Draw
0-08.20%
1-112.50%
2-24.76%
3-30.81%
Newcastle United
0-18.63%
0-24.54%
1-26.58%
0-31.59%
1-32.31%
2-31.67%
0-40.42%
1-40.61%
2-40.44%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
31.42%
15.31%
3.73%
0.61%
1
21.06%
10.27%
2.50%
0.41%
2
7.06%
3.44%
0.84%
0.14%
3
1.58%
0.77%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.26%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
Chelsea
1-021.06%
2-07.06%
2-13.44%
3-01.58%
3-10.77%
3-20.19%
4-00.26%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-031.42%
1-110.27%
2-20.84%
Newcastle United
0-115.31%
0-23.73%
1-22.50%
0-30.61%
1-30.41%
2-30.14%