Leicester City at Aston Villa

Updated

Leicester City

18.7%21.3%60.0%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.99
4Final Score 2

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Leicester City
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+310
L 0-2 at Nottingham Forest+175
L 1-0 vs Fulham+140
L 1-2 at Liverpool+1130
L 3-0 vs Newcastle United+245
Aston Villa
Money Line
W 1-0 at Southampton+175
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-102
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton-105
W 2-0 at Tottenham+420
L 3-1 vs Liverpool+360

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+276+257+245+265+262+265+266+273.8
Aston Villa+102+111+110+112+117+112+117+121.6
Draw+265+251+250+245+250+245+251+255.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leicester City+270-+245-+260+280+280+273.8
Aston Villa+100-+110--125-105+110+121.6
Draw+255-+250-+240+260+260+255.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +270 to +262
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leicester City: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leicester City: 40.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leicester City ML moved from +260 to +245
Aston Villa ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-108o2½-105o2½+100o2½-102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+105
Underu2½-109u2½-110u2½-115u2½-116u2½-113u2½-116u2½-110u2½-105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-115o2½-104-o2½-115o2½-105o2½-104o2½+105
Underu2½-105u2½-105u2½-116-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-105u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.9%
 
No45.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.99%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 416.79%
Exactly 65.03%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.96%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.07%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 036.34%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.62%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 013.73%
Exactly 127.27%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 317.91%
Exactly 48.89%
Exactly 53.53%
Exactly 61.17%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.96%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 311.12%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 062.58%
Exactly 129.33%
Exactly 26.87%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 039.88%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.85%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.19%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals6.49%
Wins by 3+ goals1.73%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals36.04%
Wins by 3+ goals17.72%
Wins by 4+ goals7.21%
Wins by 5+ goals2.44%
Wins by 6+ goals0.67%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Leicester City
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal12.14%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.38%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal23.82%
Wins by 2 goals18.32%
Wins by 3 goals10.51%
Wins by 4 goals4.77%
Wins by 5 goals1.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.01%4.99%
1.580.05%19.95%
2.557.63%42.37%
3.535.22%64.78%
4.518.43%81.57%
5.58.37%91.63%
6.53.34%96.66%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.66%36.34%
1.526.88%73.12%
2.58.26%91.74%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.27%13.73%
1.559.00%41.00%
2.531.93%68.07%
3.514.02%85.98%
4.55.13%94.87%
5.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.04%24.96%
1.540.40%59.60%
2.516.36%83.64%
3.55.24%94.76%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
4.99%
9.91%
9.83%
6.51%
3.23%
1.28%
1
5.05%
10.03%
9.96%
6.59%
3.27%
1.30%
2
2.56%
5.08%
5.04%
3.33%
1.66%
0.66%
3
0.86%
1.71%
1.70%
1.13%
0.56%
0.22%
4
0.22%
0.43%
0.43%
0.28%
0.14%
0.06%
Leicester City
1-05.05%
2-02.56%
2-15.08%
3-00.86%
3-11.71%
3-21.70%
4-00.22%
4-10.43%
4-20.43%
4-30.28%
Draw
0-04.99%
1-110.03%
2-25.04%
3-31.13%
4-40.14%
Aston Villa
0-19.91%
0-29.83%
1-29.96%
0-36.51%
1-36.59%
2-33.33%
0-43.23%
1-43.27%
2-41.66%
3-40.56%
0-51.28%
1-51.30%
2-50.66%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Leicester City
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
24.96%
22.94%
10.54%
3.23%
0.74%
0.14%
1
11.70%
10.75%
4.94%
1.51%
0.35%
0.06%
2
2.74%
2.52%
1.16%
0.35%
0.08%
0.01%
3
0.43%
0.39%
0.18%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Leicester City
1-011.70%
2-02.74%
2-12.52%
3-00.43%
3-10.39%
3-20.18%
Draw
0-024.96%
1-110.75%
2-21.16%
Aston Villa
0-122.94%
0-210.54%
1-24.94%
0-33.23%
1-31.51%
2-30.35%
0-40.74%
1-40.35%
0-50.14%