Manchester Utd at Watford

Updated

Manchester United

55.1%21.8%23.1%
Manchester Utd WinDrawWatford Win
1.87Projected Goals 0.78
1Final Score 4

Watford

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Manchester City+373
W 3-0 at Tottenham+120
L 5-0 vs Liverpool+205
L 2-4 at Leicester City-105
T 1-1 vs Everton-190
Watford
Money Line
L 0-1 at Arsenal+650
L 1-0 vs Southampton+225
W 5-2 at Everton+380
L 5-0 vs Liverpool+736
L 0-1 at Leeds United+371

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd-185-190-200-191-226-200-191-186.7
Watford+450+475+525+536+572+525+572+582.9
Draw+350+350+360+374+360+360+374+394.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd-195--210--220-200-200-186.7
Watford+500-+540-+415+510+540+582.9
Draw+350-+355-+310+355+355+394.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -217 to -226
Watford ML moved from +540 to +525

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -200 to -210
Watford ML moved from +440 to +415

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3-105o3-109o3+102-o3-109o3+102o3+104
Underu3-122u3-115u3-111u3-117-u3-111u3-111u3-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3+105o3-105-o3+100o3+100o3+105o3+104
Underu3-125u3-125u3-115-u3-130u3-120u3-115u3-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.06%
Exactly 224.81%
Exactly 414.52%
Exactly 63.40%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.72%
Exactly 321.91%
Exactly 57.70%
Exactly 71.29%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 015.45%
Exactly 128.85%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 316.77%
Exactly 47.83%
Exactly 52.93%
Exactly 60.91%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 045.73%
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 214.00%
Exactly 33.65%
Exactly 40.71%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.32%
Exactly 222.07%
Exactly 42.77%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.97%
Exactly 39.03%
Exactly 50.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 042.12%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.75%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 069.61%
Exactly 125.22%
Exactly 24.57%
Exactly 30.55%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals37.53%
Wins by 3+ goals17.99%
Wins by 4+ goals7.08%
Wins by 5+ goals2.31%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals4.39%
Wins by 3+ goals0.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Watford
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal25.49%
Wins by 2 goals19.53%
Wins by 3 goals10.92%
Wins by 4 goals4.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.70%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal10.68%
Wins by 2 goals3.43%
Wins by 3 goals0.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.94%7.06%
1.574.22%25.78%
2.549.41%50.59%
3.527.50%72.50%
4.512.98%87.02%
5.55.28%94.72%
6.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.55%15.45%
1.555.70%44.30%
2.528.76%71.24%
3.511.98%88.02%
4.54.15%95.85%
5.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.27%45.73%
1.518.49%81.51%
2.54.49%95.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.68%29.32%
1.534.71%65.29%
2.512.64%87.36%
3.53.62%96.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Watford
Score01234
0
7.06%
5.53%
2.16%
0.56%
0.11%
1
13.19%
10.32%
4.04%
1.05%
0.21%
2
12.32%
9.64%
3.77%
0.98%
0.19%
3
7.67%
6.00%
2.35%
0.61%
0.12%
4
3.58%
2.80%
1.10%
0.29%
0.06%
5
1.34%
1.05%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
Manchester United
1-013.19%
2-012.32%
2-19.64%
3-07.67%
3-16.00%
3-22.35%
4-03.58%
4-12.80%
4-21.10%
4-30.29%
5-01.34%
5-11.05%
5-20.41%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.06%
1-110.32%
2-23.77%
3-30.61%
Watford
0-15.53%
0-22.16%
1-24.04%
0-30.56%
1-31.05%
2-30.98%
0-40.11%
1-40.21%
2-40.19%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Watford
Score0123
0
29.32%
10.62%
1.92%
0.23%
1
25.35%
9.18%
1.66%
0.20%
2
10.96%
3.97%
0.72%
0.09%
3
3.16%
1.14%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.68%
0.25%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-025.35%
2-010.96%
2-13.97%
3-03.16%
3-11.14%
3-20.21%
4-00.68%
4-10.25%
5-00.12%
Draw
0-029.32%
1-19.18%
2-20.72%
Watford
0-110.62%
0-21.92%
1-21.66%
0-30.23%
1-30.20%