Newcastle Utd at Manchester Utd

Updated

Newcastle United

20.2%23.1%56.7%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.79
2Final Score 0

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Aston Villa-105
W 4-0 at Ipswich Town-140
W 0-4 vs Leicester City-350
L 2-4 at Brentford+140
T 3-3 vs Liverpool+290
Manchester United
Money Line
L 0-2 at Wolverhampton-120
L 3-0 vs Bournemouth-115
W 2-1 at Manchester City+460
L 3-2 vs Nottingham Forest-140
L 0-2 at Arsenal+600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+200+157+150+157+152+157+157+165.9
Manchester Utd+125+170+175+172+170+172+175+181.4
Draw+270+256+250+260+254+260+260+272.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+142-+150+140+140+145+150+165.9
Manchester Utd+170-+170+155+160+180+180+181.4
Draw+264-+252+250+250+250+252+272.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +155 to +145
Manchester Utd ML moved from +176 to +170

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +156 to +140
Manchester Utd ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o3+106o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-121o2¾-120o2¾-120o2¾-111
Underu2¾-112u3-124u2¾+100u2¾+104u2¾-101u2¾+104u3-124u2¾+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+105o3+105o3+105o2½-145o3+110o2½-145o2¾-111
Underu3-120u3-125u3-125u3-125u2½+115u3-130u3-125u2¾+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-112 to o3-102
The Under moved from u3-114 to u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+110
The Under moved from u3-125 to u2½+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.32%
Exactly 224.10%
Exactly 415.31%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.45%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.46%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 037.94%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.82%
Exactly 35.76%
Exactly 41.40%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 016.66%
Exactly 129.86%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 315.98%
Exactly 47.16%
Exactly 52.57%
Exactly 60.77%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.84%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 39.70%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 063.84%
Exactly 128.65%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 043.61%
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 215.02%
Exactly 34.15%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals6.91%
Wins by 3+ goals1.81%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals32.20%
Wins by 3+ goals14.74%
Wins by 4+ goals5.54%
Wins by 5+ goals1.73%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Manchester United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal13.23%
Wins by 2 goals5.10%
Wins by 3 goals1.45%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals17.46%
Wins by 3 goals9.20%
Wins by 4 goals3.81%
Wins by 5 goals1.29%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.68%6.32%
1.576.23%23.77%
2.552.13%47.87%
3.529.95%70.05%
4.514.64%85.36%
5.56.18%93.82%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.06%37.94%
1.525.29%74.71%
2.57.47%92.53%
3.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.34%16.66%
1.553.49%46.51%
2.526.73%73.27%
3.510.75%89.25%
4.53.58%96.42%
5.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.16%27.84%
1.536.56%63.44%
2.513.80%86.20%
3.54.10%95.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Manchester United
Score012345
0
6.32%
11.33%
10.15%
6.06%
2.72%
0.97%
1
6.13%
10.98%
9.84%
5.88%
2.63%
0.94%
2
2.97%
5.32%
4.77%
2.85%
1.28%
0.46%
3
0.96%
1.72%
1.54%
0.92%
0.41%
0.15%
4
0.23%
0.42%
0.37%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Newcastle United
1-06.13%
2-02.97%
2-15.32%
3-00.96%
3-11.72%
3-21.54%
4-00.23%
4-10.42%
4-20.37%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.32%
1-110.98%
2-24.77%
3-30.92%
Manchester United
0-111.33%
0-210.15%
1-29.84%
0-36.06%
1-35.88%
2-32.85%
0-42.72%
1-42.63%
2-41.28%
3-40.41%
0-50.97%
1-50.94%
2-50.46%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Manchester United
Score01234
0
27.84%
23.10%
9.59%
2.65%
0.55%
1
12.49%
10.37%
4.30%
1.19%
0.25%
2
2.80%
2.33%
0.97%
0.27%
0.06%
3
0.42%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Newcastle United
1-012.49%
2-02.80%
2-12.33%
3-00.42%
3-10.35%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.84%
1-110.37%
2-20.97%
Manchester United
0-123.10%
0-29.59%
1-24.30%
0-32.65%
1-31.19%
2-30.27%
0-40.55%
1-40.25%