Newcastle Utd at Brighton

Updated

Newcastle United

28.6%27.0%44.4%
Newcastle Utd WinDrawBrighton Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Ipswich Town-600
L 1-4 at Aston Villa+170
W 0-5 vs Crystal Palace-150
W 1-4 vs Manchester United-165
W 3-0 at Leicester City-225
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 2-3 vs West Ham United-130
L 2-4 at Brentford+170
T 2-2 vs Leicester City-360
L 1-2 at Crystal Palace+185
L 3-0 vs Aston Villa+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+135+120+120+132+115+124+124+131.9
Brighton+180+212+205+193+210+207+212+217.8
Draw+275+276+280+280+274+280+280+293.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+130-+120+125+120+130+130+131.9
Brighton+185-+202+175+170+180+202+217.8
Draw+280-+275+270+275+285+285+293.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +129 to +123
Brighton ML moved from +192 to +186

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Brighton: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +130 to +120
Brighton ML moved from +180 to +170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-105o3-110o3-112o3-114o3-113o3-114o3-110o3-105
Underu3-115u3-107u3-108u3-102u3-107u3-102u3-102u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-130o3-113o3-125o3-130o3-125o3-113o3-105
Underu3-110u3+110u3-107u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+110u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.6%
 
No51.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.83%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 412.76%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.43%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 56.19%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 035.04%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 219.27%
Exactly 36.73%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 025.21%
Exactly 134.74%
Exactly 223.93%
Exactly 310.99%
Exactly 43.79%
Exactly 51.04%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.51%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 061.54%
Exactly 129.88%
Exactly 27.25%
Exactly 31.17%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 052.83%
Exactly 133.71%
Exactly 210.75%
Exactly 32.29%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals10.73%
Wins by 3+ goals3.07%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals20.99%
Wins by 3+ goals7.76%
Wins by 4+ goals2.29%
Wins by 5+ goals0.54%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal17.77%
Wins by 2 goals7.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.36%
Wins by 2 goals13.23%
Wins by 3 goals5.46%
Wins by 4 goals1.76%
Wins by 5 goals0.45%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.17%8.83%
1.569.73%30.27%
2.543.72%56.28%
3.522.69%77.31%
4.59.92%90.08%
5.53.73%96.27%
6.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.96%35.04%
1.528.21%71.79%
2.58.95%91.05%
3.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.79%25.21%
1.540.06%59.94%
2.516.12%83.88%
3.55.13%94.87%
4.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.49%32.51%
1.530.96%69.04%
2.510.44%89.56%
3.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
8.83%
12.17%
8.39%
3.85%
1.33%
0.37%
1
9.26%
12.76%
8.79%
4.04%
1.39%
0.38%
2
4.86%
6.69%
4.61%
2.12%
0.73%
0.20%
3
1.70%
2.34%
1.61%
0.74%
0.26%
0.07%
4
0.45%
0.61%
0.42%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Newcastle United
1-09.26%
2-04.86%
2-16.69%
3-01.70%
3-12.34%
3-21.61%
4-00.45%
4-10.61%
4-20.42%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.83%
1-112.76%
2-24.61%
3-30.74%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.17%
0-28.39%
1-28.79%
0-33.85%
1-34.04%
2-32.12%
0-41.33%
1-41.39%
2-40.73%
3-40.26%
0-50.37%
1-50.38%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
32.51%
20.74%
6.62%
1.41%
0.22%
1
15.79%
10.07%
3.21%
0.68%
0.11%
2
3.83%
2.44%
0.78%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.62%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-015.79%
2-03.83%
2-12.44%
3-00.62%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-032.51%
1-110.07%
2-20.78%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.74%
0-26.62%
1-23.21%
0-31.41%
1-30.68%
2-30.17%
0-40.22%
1-40.11%