Fulham at Aston Villa

Updated

Fulham

24.0%24.9%51.2%
Fulham WinDrawAston Villa Win
1.02Projected Goals 1.61
0Final Score 1

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Fulham
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton-165
L 2-1 vs Chelsea+205
L 0-1 at Bournemouth+225
W 2-3 vs Liverpool+330
L 1-2 at Arsenal+650
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 1-2 at Manchester City+280
W 1-4 vs Newcastle United+160
W 3-0 at Southampton-185
W 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest+110
W 3-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion+205

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+340+315+285+340+319+340+340+355.5
Aston Villa-135-114-115-117-120-117-114-108.7
Draw+300+276+285+272+270+272+285+285.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Fulham+340-+315+320+330+340+340+355.5
Aston Villa-130--120-135-145-130-120-108.7
Draw+290-+276+275+275+290+290+285.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +300 to +292
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Fulham: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Fulham: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Fulham ML moved from +333 to +320
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102o2½-140o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-112o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2¾-118u2½+119u2¾-105u2¾-104u2¾-108u2¾-104u2¾-104u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-135o3+115o2½-140o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o2¾-104
Underu2½+125u2½+115u3-135u2½+120u2½+110u2½+115u3-135u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-130 to o3+114
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.2%
 
No48.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.20%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 414.38%
Exactly 63.32%
Exactly 80.41%
 
Exactly 118.94%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 57.57%
Exactly 71.25%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Fulham
Exactly 036.07%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.75%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 019.95%
Exactly 132.16%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 313.93%
Exactly 45.61%
Exactly 51.81%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.57%
Exactly 221.95%
Exactly 42.72%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 38.92%
Exactly 50.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fulham
Exactly 062.37%
Exactly 129.45%
Exactly 26.95%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 047.41%
Exactly 135.38%
Exactly 213.20%
Exactly 33.28%
Exactly 40.61%

Alternate Props

Spread

Fulham
Wins by 2+ goals8.64%
Wins by 3+ goals2.38%
Wins by 4+ goals0.50%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals27.00%
Wins by 3+ goals11.36%
Wins by 4+ goals3.90%
Wins by 5+ goals1.11%
Wins by 6+ goals0.26%

Exact Winning Margin

Fulham
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Fulham
Wins by 1 goal15.27%
Wins by 2 goals6.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.43%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal24.13%
Wins by 2 goals15.65%
Wins by 3 goals7.46%
Wins by 4 goals2.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.85%
Wins by 6 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.80%7.20%
1.573.87%26.13%
2.548.95%51.05%
3.527.09%72.91%
4.512.71%87.29%
5.55.14%94.86%
6.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Fulham Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.93%36.07%
1.527.15%72.85%
2.58.40%91.60%
3.52.02%97.98%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.05%19.95%
1.547.89%52.11%
2.521.97%78.03%
3.58.05%91.95%
4.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.43%29.57%
1.534.40%65.60%
2.512.45%87.55%
3.53.54%96.46%

Score Props

Correct Score

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.20%
11.60%
9.35%
5.02%
2.02%
0.65%
1
7.34%
11.83%
9.53%
5.12%
2.06%
0.67%
2
3.74%
6.03%
4.86%
2.61%
1.05%
0.34%
3
1.27%
2.05%
1.65%
0.89%
0.36%
0.12%
4
0.32%
0.52%
0.42%
0.23%
0.09%
0.03%
Fulham
1-07.34%
2-03.74%
2-16.03%
3-01.27%
3-12.05%
3-21.65%
4-00.32%
4-10.52%
4-20.42%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.20%
1-111.83%
2-24.86%
3-30.89%
Aston Villa
0-111.60%
0-29.35%
1-29.53%
0-35.02%
1-35.12%
2-32.61%
0-42.02%
1-42.06%
2-41.05%
3-40.36%
0-50.65%
1-50.67%
2-50.34%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Fulham
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.57%
22.07%
8.23%
2.05%
0.38%
1
13.96%
10.42%
3.89%
0.97%
0.18%
2
3.30%
2.46%
0.92%
0.23%
0.04%
3
0.52%
0.39%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Fulham
1-013.96%
2-03.30%
2-12.46%
3-00.52%
3-10.39%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-029.57%
1-110.42%
2-20.92%
Aston Villa
0-122.07%
0-28.23%
1-23.89%
0-32.05%
1-30.97%
2-30.23%
0-40.38%
1-40.18%