Aston Villa at Leicester City

Updated

Aston Villa

29.7%25.4%44.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawLeicester City Win
1.19Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 0

Leicester City

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 4-0 vs Tottenham+235
L 1-2 at Wolverhampton+160
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+200
L 1-2 at West Ham United+190
W 3-0 at Leeds United+147
Leicester City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Everton+190
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+280
W 1-2 vs Crystal Palace+155
T 1-1 at Manchester United+480
W 1-2 vs Brentford+116

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+160+145+145+154+143+145+154+156.2
Leicester City+175+195+195+204+206+195+204+208.5
Draw+225+220+250+237+213+250+250+250.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+140-+144-+140+140+144+156.2
Leicester City+155-+195-+155+195+195+208.5
Draw+210-+229-+210+235+235+250.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +150 to +144
Leicester City ML moved from +190 to +180

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leicester City: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Leicester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +151 to +144
No Steam Moves On Leicester City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-108o2½-106o2½-109-o2½-106o2½-106o2½+100
Underu2½-105u2½-112u2½-110u2½-106-u2½-110u2½-106u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½-115o2½-112-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-112o2½+100
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-108-u2½-110u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.3%
 
No45.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.66%
Exactly 224.44%
Exactly 414.95%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.04%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.10%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 030.45%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 221.53%
Exactly 38.53%
Exactly 42.54%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Leicester City
Exactly 021.86%
Exactly 133.24%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 312.81%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 222.44%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 057.66%
Exactly 131.75%
Exactly 28.74%
Exactly 31.60%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leicester City
Exactly 049.46%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.26%
Exactly 32.88%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals12.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.20%
Leicester City
Wins by 2+ goals22.33%
Wins by 3+ goals8.81%
Wins by 4+ goals2.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.70%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Leicester City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal17.58%
Wins by 2 goals8.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.17%
Leicester City
Wins by 1 goal22.48%
Wins by 2 goals13.51%
Wins by 3 goals6.01%
Wins by 4 goals2.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.59%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.34%6.66%
1.575.31%24.69%
2.550.87%49.13%
3.528.80%71.20%
4.513.85%86.15%
5.55.75%94.25%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.55%30.45%
1.533.34%66.66%
2.511.82%88.18%
3.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals Leicester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.14%21.86%
1.544.90%55.10%
2.519.63%80.37%
3.56.82%93.18%
4.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.70%64.30%
2.513.25%86.75%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Leicester City
Score012345
0
6.66%
10.12%
7.69%
3.90%
1.48%
0.45%
1
7.92%
12.04%
9.15%
4.64%
1.76%
0.54%
2
4.71%
7.16%
5.44%
2.76%
1.05%
0.32%
3
1.87%
2.84%
2.16%
1.09%
0.42%
0.13%
4
0.55%
0.84%
0.64%
0.32%
0.12%
0.04%
5
0.13%
0.20%
0.15%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-07.92%
2-04.71%
2-17.16%
3-01.87%
3-12.84%
3-22.16%
4-00.55%
4-10.84%
4-20.64%
4-30.32%
5-00.13%
5-10.20%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-06.66%
1-112.04%
2-25.44%
3-31.09%
4-40.12%
Leicester City
0-110.12%
0-27.69%
1-29.15%
0-33.90%
1-34.64%
2-32.76%
0-41.48%
1-41.76%
2-41.05%
3-40.42%
0-50.45%
1-50.54%
2-50.32%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Leicester City
Score01234
0
28.52%
20.08%
7.07%
1.66%
0.29%
1
15.70%
11.05%
3.89%
0.91%
0.16%
2
4.32%
3.04%
1.07%
0.25%
0.04%
3
0.79%
0.56%
0.20%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.11%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-015.70%
2-04.32%
2-13.04%
3-00.79%
3-10.56%
3-20.20%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-028.52%
1-111.05%
2-21.07%
Leicester City
0-120.08%
0-27.07%
1-23.89%
0-31.66%
1-30.91%
2-30.25%
0-40.29%
1-40.16%