Bournemouth at Manchester City

Updated

Bournemouth

15.5%20.7%63.7%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.87Projected Goals 2.00
1Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Bournemouth
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+155
W 2-1 at Arsenal+425
T 1-1 vs Manchester United-115
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+167
W 0-1 vs Fulham+125
Manchester City
Money Line
T 0-0 at Southampton-585
W 0-1 vs Wolverhampton-280
W 1-2 vs Aston Villa-110
W 2-0 at Everton-110
W 2-5 vs Crystal Palace-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+440+744+700+740+754+755+755+784.5
Manchester City-185-290-300-287-315-290-290-255.6
Draw+370+462+440+475+458+475+475+494.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Bournemouth+450-+785+700+610+750+785+784.5
Manchester City-180--317-330-310-300-300-255.6
Draw+345-+475+425+400+450+475+494.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +742 to +720
Manchester City ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Bournemouth: 30.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Bournemouth: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Bournemouth ML moved from +770 to +740
Manchester City ML moved from -305 to -317

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-131o3¼+100o3¼+105o3¼+100o3¼+105o3¼+105o3¼+112
Underu3+100u3+112u3¼-120u3¼-121u3¼-122u3¼-121u3¼-120u3¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½+130o3½+130o3-135o3-140o3-135o3-135o3¼+112
Underu3+100u3½-150u3½-150u3+115u3+110u3+115u3½-150u3¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-120 to o3½+110
The Under moved from u3½-130 to u3+115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.27%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 041.90%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.85%
Exactly 34.60%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 013.52%
Exactly 127.06%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 318.05%
Exactly 49.03%
Exactly 53.61%
Exactly 61.20%
Exactly 70.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.47%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 50.91%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 066.85%
Exactly 126.92%
Exactly 25.42%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 039.60%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.99%
Exactly 35.25%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals4.83%
Wins by 3+ goals1.14%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals39.10%
Wins by 3+ goals19.57%
Wins by 4+ goals8.09%
Wins by 5+ goals2.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Bournemouth
Manchester City
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal10.66%
Wins by 2 goals3.69%
Wins by 3 goals0.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.18%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.52%
Wins by 2 goals19.53%
Wins by 3 goals11.49%
Wins by 4 goals5.31%
Wins by 5 goals2.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.63%
Wins by 7 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.07%21.93%
2.554.72%45.28%
3.532.38%67.62%
4.516.35%83.65%
5.57.14%92.86%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.10%41.90%
1.521.65%78.35%
2.55.80%94.20%
3.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.48%13.52%
1.559.42%40.58%
2.532.35%67.65%
3.514.30%85.70%
4.55.27%94.73%
5.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.53%26.47%
1.538.34%61.66%
2.514.96%85.04%
3.54.61%95.39%
4.51.16%98.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Bournemouth
Manchester City
Score012345
0
5.67%
11.34%
11.34%
7.56%
3.78%
1.51%
1
4.93%
9.86%
9.87%
6.58%
3.29%
1.32%
2
2.14%
4.29%
4.29%
2.86%
1.43%
0.57%
3
0.62%
1.24%
1.24%
0.83%
0.42%
0.17%
4
0.14%
0.27%
0.27%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Bournemouth
1-04.93%
2-02.14%
2-14.29%
3-00.62%
3-11.24%
3-21.24%
4-00.14%
4-10.27%
4-20.27%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.67%
1-19.86%
2-24.29%
3-30.83%
Manchester City
0-111.34%
0-211.34%
1-29.87%
0-37.56%
1-36.58%
2-32.86%
0-43.78%
1-43.29%
2-41.43%
3-40.42%
0-51.51%
1-51.32%
2-50.57%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Bournemouth
Manchester City
Score012345
0
26.47%
24.52%
11.36%
3.51%
0.81%
0.15%
1
10.66%
9.88%
4.57%
1.41%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.15%
1.99%
0.92%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.29%
0.27%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Bournemouth
1-010.66%
2-02.15%
2-11.99%
3-00.29%
3-10.27%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.47%
1-19.88%
2-20.92%
Manchester City
0-124.52%
0-211.36%
1-24.57%
0-33.51%
1-31.41%
2-30.28%
0-40.81%
1-40.33%
0-50.15%