Leeds United at Manchester City

Updated

Leeds United

7.3%13.1%79.6%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.76
2Final Score 3

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Leeds United
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Aston Villa+248
L 1-3 at Nottingham Forest+232
L 0-3 at Brighton and Hove Albion+285
W 1-2 vs West Ham United-128
L 0-2 at Burnley+125
Manchester City
Money Line
L 1-2 at Newcastle United-110
W 0-3 vs Liverpool-110
W 1-3 vs Bournemouth-205
L 0-1 at Aston Villa-120
W 0-2 vs Everton-235

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+850-+1100+1200+1200+1200+1200+1245.5
Manchester City-375--510-450-450-450-450-377.4
Draw+525-+625+615+615+615+625+640.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Leeds United+915-+1050+850-+1100+1100+1245.5
Manchester City-400--440-425--460-425-377.4
Draw+550-+590+500-+580+590+640.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Manchester City ML moved from -470 to -510

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Leeds United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Leeds United: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Leeds United ML moved from +1000 to +950
Manchester City ML moved from -440 to -460

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112-o3¼-118o3¼-116o3¼-107o3¼-116o3¼-107o3¼-107
Underu3-108-u3¼-102u3¼+100u3¼-109u3¼+100u3¼+100u3¼+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3½+115o3½+112o3-120o3-125o3-130o3-120o3¼-107
Underu3+100u3½-135u3½-132u3+100u3-105u3+110u3½-132u3¼+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 40.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.04%
Exactly 218.54%
Exactly 418.87%
Exactly 67.68%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.61%
Exactly 321.59%
Exactly 513.19%
Exactly 73.84%
Exactly 90.65%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 048.04%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 212.91%
Exactly 33.15%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 06.32%
Exactly 117.45%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 415.31%
Exactly 58.46%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 71.54%
Exactly 80.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.83%
Exactly 225.96%
Exactly 45.66%
Exactly 60.49%
 
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 314.00%
Exactly 51.83%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 071.22%
Exactly 124.17%
Exactly 24.10%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 027.84%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 39.70%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals1.84%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals59.29%
Wins by 3+ goals37.64%
Wins by 4+ goals20.36%
Wins by 5+ goals9.47%
Wins by 6+ goals3.82%
Wins by 7+ goals1.34%
Wins by 8+ goals0.39%

Exact Winning Margin

Leeds United
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal5.37%
Wins by 2 goals1.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal20.26%
Wins by 2 goals21.65%
Wins by 3 goals17.27%
Wins by 4 goals10.89%
Wins by 5 goals5.65%
Wins by 6 goals2.49%
Wins by 7 goals0.95%
Wins by 8 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.96%3.04%
1.586.36%13.64%
2.567.82%32.18%
3.546.23%53.77%
4.527.36%72.64%
5.514.17%85.83%
6.56.49%93.51%
7.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.96%48.04%
1.516.74%83.26%
2.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.68%6.32%
1.576.23%23.77%
2.552.14%47.86%
3.529.96%70.04%
4.514.64%85.36%
5.56.18%93.82%
6.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.17%19.83%
1.548.09%51.91%
2.522.13%77.87%
3.58.13%91.87%
4.52.47%97.53%

Score Props

Correct Score

Leeds United
Manchester City
Score012345
0
3.04%
8.38%
11.58%
10.66%
7.36%
4.06%
1
2.23%
6.15%
8.49%
7.81%
5.39%
2.98%
2
0.82%
2.25%
3.11%
2.86%
1.98%
1.09%
3
0.20%
0.55%
0.76%
0.70%
0.48%
0.27%
Leeds United
1-02.23%
2-00.82%
2-12.25%
3-00.20%
3-10.55%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-03.04%
1-16.15%
2-23.11%
3-30.70%
Manchester City
0-18.38%
0-211.58%
1-28.49%
0-310.66%
1-37.81%
2-32.86%
0-47.36%
1-45.39%
2-41.98%
3-40.48%
0-54.06%
1-52.98%
2-51.09%
3-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Leeds United
Manchester City
Score0123456
0
19.83%
25.35%
16.21%
6.91%
2.21%
0.56%
0.12%
1
6.73%
8.61%
5.50%
2.35%
0.75%
0.19%
0.04%
2
1.14%
1.46%
0.93%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
3
0.13%
0.17%
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
0.00%
Leeds United
1-06.73%
2-01.14%
2-11.46%
3-00.13%
3-10.17%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-019.83%
1-18.61%
2-20.93%
Manchester City
0-125.35%
0-216.21%
1-25.50%
0-36.91%
1-32.35%
2-30.40%
0-42.21%
1-40.75%
2-40.13%
0-50.56%
1-50.19%
0-60.12%