Watford at Liverpool

Updated

Watford

3.1%8.3%88.7%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.49Projected Goals 3.21
0Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton+435
L 0-4 at Wolverhampton+380
L 3-2 vs Arsenal+600
T 0-0 at Manchester United+750
L 4-1 vs Crystal Palace+210
Liverpool
Money Line
W 2-0 at Arsenal+102
W 2-0 at Brighton and Hove Albion-200
W 0-1 vs West Ham United-410
W 0-6 vs Leeds United-590
W 1-3 vs Norwich City-765

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+2200+1600+1700+1790+1640+1700+1790+1747.6
Liverpool-901-625-625-588-729-625-588-490.2
Draw+975+700+750+744+722+750+750+767.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+2000-+1600--+2000+2000+1747.6
Liverpool-800--660---850-660-490.2
Draw+780-+700--+800+800+767.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1764 to +1738
Liverpool ML moved from -669 to -729

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 0.0%
Liverpool: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 30.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +1770 to +1600
Liverpool ML moved from -800 to -850

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¾+103o3½-105o3½-108o3½-101-o3½-108o3½-101o3½+104
Underu3¾-119u3½-115u3½-108u3½-114-u3½-108u3½-108u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-120o3½+110o3½-102-o3½-105o3½+110o3½+110o3½+104
Underu3½+100u3½-130u3½-118-u3½-125u3½-130u3½-118u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-120 to o3½-108
The Under moved from u3½-108 to u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.5%
 
No62.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.47%
Exactly 216.91%
Exactly 419.31%
Exactly 68.82%
Exactly 82.16%
Exactly 100.33%
 
Exactly 19.14%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 514.29%
Exactly 74.66%
Exactly 90.89%
Exactly 110.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 060.93%
Exactly 130.19%
Exactly 27.48%
Exactly 31.24%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 04.05%
Exactly 112.99%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 417.84%
Exactly 511.44%
Exactly 66.11%
Exactly 72.80%
Exactly 81.12%
Exactly 90.40%
Exactly 100.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.02%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 60.63%
 
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 315.12%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 079.50%
Exactly 118.24%
Exactly 22.09%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 022.67%
Exactly 133.64%
Exactly 224.97%
Exactly 312.35%
Exactly 44.58%
Exactly 51.36%
Exactly 60.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals0.57%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals72.52%
Wins by 3+ goals51.63%
Wins by 4+ goals31.75%
Wins by 5+ goals16.94%
Wins by 6+ goals7.90%
Wins by 7+ goals3.25%
Wins by 8+ goals1.17%
Wins by 9+ goals0.36%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Watford
Wins by 1 goal2.49%
Wins by 2 goals0.50%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal16.10%
Wins by 2 goals20.89%
Wins by 3 goals19.88%
Wins by 4 goals14.81%
Wins by 5 goals9.04%
Wins by 6 goals4.66%
Wins by 7 goals2.07%
Wins by 8 goals0.81%
Wins by 9 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.53%2.47%
1.588.39%11.61%
2.571.48%28.52%
3.550.61%49.39%
4.531.30%68.70%
5.517.01%82.99%
6.58.19%91.81%
7.53.53%96.47%
8.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.07%60.93%
1.58.88%91.12%
2.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.95%4.05%
1.582.96%17.04%
2.562.13%37.87%
3.539.88%60.12%
4.522.04%77.96%
5.510.61%89.39%
6.54.50%95.50%
7.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.98%18.02%
1.551.10%48.90%
2.524.64%75.36%
3.59.53%90.47%
4.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.47%
7.92%
12.69%
13.56%
10.87%
6.97%
1
1.22%
3.92%
6.29%
6.72%
5.38%
3.45%
2
0.30%
0.97%
1.56%
1.66%
1.33%
0.86%
Watford
1-01.22%
2-00.30%
2-10.97%
Draw
0-02.47%
1-13.92%
2-21.56%
3-30.27%
Liverpool
0-17.92%
0-212.69%
1-26.29%
0-313.56%
1-36.72%
2-31.66%
0-410.87%
1-45.38%
2-41.33%
3-40.22%
0-56.97%
1-53.45%
2-50.86%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
18.02%
26.75%
19.85%
9.82%
3.64%
1.08%
0.27%
1
4.13%
6.14%
4.55%
2.25%
0.84%
0.25%
0.06%
2
0.47%
0.70%
0.52%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-04.13%
2-00.47%
2-10.70%
Draw
0-018.02%
1-16.14%
2-20.52%
Liverpool
0-126.75%
0-219.85%
1-24.55%
0-39.82%
1-32.25%
2-30.26%
0-43.64%
1-40.84%
0-51.08%
1-50.25%
0-60.27%