Liverpool at Chelsea

Updated

Liverpool

38.7%27.7%33.6%
Liverpool WinDrawChelsea Win
1.25Projected Goals 1.14
0Final Score 0

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Liverpool
Money Line
L 1-4 at Manchester City+425
L 0-1 at Bournemouth-245
W 0-7 vs Manchester United+140
W 0-2 vs Wolverhampton-195
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace-145
Chelsea
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Aston Villa-165
T 2-2 vs Everton-210
W 3-1 at Leicester City-114
W 0-1 vs Leeds United-165
L 0-2 at Tottenham+155

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+160+247+245+247+251+247+251+259.3
Chelsea+165+114+110+114+122+114+122+121.6
Draw+245+252+255+257+251+257+257+269.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Liverpool+175-+216-+225+250+250+259.3
Chelsea+145-+122--110+110+110+121.6
Draw+260-+250-+235+245+250+269.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +255 to +247
Chelsea ML moved from +117 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Liverpool: 40.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Liverpool: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Liverpool ML moved from +230 to +220
Chelsea ML moved from +105 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-118o2½-110o2½-108o2½-107o2½-108o2½-107o2½+100
Underu2½+102u2½+100u2½-110u2½-108u2½-108u2½-108u2½+100u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125o2½-120o2½-115-o2½-130o2½-120o2½-115o2½+100
Underu2½+105u2½+100u2½-105-u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.17%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.45%
Exactly 62.37%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.92%
Exactly 320.84%
Exactly 55.95%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 028.73%
Exactly 135.83%
Exactly 222.35%
Exactly 39.29%
Exactly 42.90%
Exactly 50.72%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 031.93%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.80%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.09%
Exactly 220.24%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.46%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 056.13%
Exactly 132.41%
Exactly 29.36%
Exactly 31.80%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 058.95%
Exactly 131.15%
Exactly 28.23%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals16.92%
Wins by 3+ goals5.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.55%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals13.55%
Wins by 3+ goals4.18%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Liverpool
Chelsea
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal21.77%
Wins by 2 goals11.19%
Wins by 3 goals4.19%
Wins by 4 goals1.22%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal19.92%
Wins by 2 goals9.37%
Wins by 3 goals3.20%
Wins by 4 goals0.83%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.83%9.17%
1.568.91%31.09%
2.542.73%57.27%
3.521.89%78.11%
4.59.45%90.55%
5.53.50%96.50%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.27%28.73%
1.535.44%64.56%
2.513.09%86.91%
3.53.80%96.20%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.07%31.93%
1.531.61%68.39%
2.510.81%89.19%
3.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.91%33.09%
1.530.32%69.68%
2.510.08%89.92%
3.52.62%97.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Liverpool
Chelsea
Score012345
0
9.17%
10.47%
5.98%
2.27%
0.65%
0.15%
1
11.44%
13.06%
7.45%
2.84%
0.81%
0.18%
2
7.14%
8.15%
4.65%
1.77%
0.50%
0.12%
3
2.97%
3.39%
1.93%
0.74%
0.21%
0.05%
4
0.93%
1.06%
0.60%
0.23%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.23%
0.26%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-011.44%
2-07.14%
2-18.15%
3-02.97%
3-13.39%
3-21.93%
4-00.93%
4-11.06%
4-20.60%
4-30.23%
5-00.23%
5-10.26%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-09.17%
1-113.06%
2-24.65%
3-30.74%
Chelsea
0-110.47%
0-25.98%
1-27.45%
0-32.27%
1-32.84%
2-31.77%
0-40.65%
1-40.81%
2-40.50%
3-40.21%
0-50.15%
1-50.18%
2-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Liverpool
Chelsea
Score01234
0
33.09%
17.49%
4.62%
0.81%
0.11%
1
19.11%
10.10%
2.67%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.52%
2.92%
0.77%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.06%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.15%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Liverpool
1-019.11%
2-05.52%
2-12.92%
3-01.06%
3-10.56%
3-20.15%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-033.09%
1-110.10%
2-20.77%
Chelsea
0-117.49%
0-24.62%
1-22.67%
0-30.81%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.11%