Brighton at Burnley

Updated

Brighton and Hove Albion

38.3%28.9%32.8%
Brighton WinDrawBurnley Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 1

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Arsenal+550
T 0-0 at Brentford+175
L 1-2 at Liverpool+800
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest-140
L 0-3 at Fulham+175
Burnley
Money Line
L 0-1 at Everton+365
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton+135
T 2-2 at Chelsea+975
W 1-2 vs Brentford+215
T 2-2 at West Ham United+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-101-105-110-104-114-104-104+103.0
Burnley+264+271+265+280+294+280+294+293.2
Draw+280+286+295+282+304+282+304+295.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Brighton-105--108+100-130-105+100+103.0
Burnley+265-+270+230+255+270+270+293.2
Draw+280-+280+260+260+275+280+295.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Burnley: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from +100 to -105
Burnley ML moved from +265 to +248

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Brighton: 0.0%
Burnley: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Brighton: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Brighton ML moved from -115 to -130
Burnley ML moved from +240 to +230

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-101o3-102o3-105o3-101o3-112o3-101o3-101o3+106
Underu3-117u3-116u3-115u3-115u3-102u3-115u3-102u3-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+100o3+100o3+100o3+100o3-110o3-105o3+100o3+106
Underu3-120u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-120u3-115u3-115u3-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-110 to o3+103
The Under moved from u3-141 to u2½-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.82%
Exactly 226.75%
Exactly 411.03%
Exactly 61.82%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.06%
Exactly 319.83%
Exactly 54.91%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 031.11%
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 221.21%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 034.77%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.40%
Exactly 36.83%
Exactly 41.80%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 41.67%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 058.24%
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 28.51%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 061.32%
Exactly 129.99%
Exactly 27.33%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals16.13%
Wins by 3+ goals5.21%
Wins by 4+ goals1.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.27%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals12.61%
Wins by 3+ goals3.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Brighton and Hove Albion
Burnley
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal22.20%
Wins by 2 goals10.91%
Wins by 3 goals3.87%
Wins by 4 goals1.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal20.08%
Wins by 2 goals8.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.18%10.82%
1.565.13%34.87%
2.538.37%61.63%
3.518.54%81.46%
4.57.51%92.49%
5.52.61%97.39%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.89%31.11%
1.532.57%67.43%
2.511.36%88.64%
3.53.10%96.90%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.23%34.77%
1.528.50%71.50%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Brighton
Burnley
Score012345
0
10.82%
11.43%
6.04%
2.13%
0.56%
0.12%
1
12.63%
13.34%
7.05%
2.48%
0.66%
0.14%
2
7.37%
7.79%
4.11%
1.45%
0.38%
0.08%
3
2.87%
3.03%
1.60%
0.56%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.84%
0.89%
0.47%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.21%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-012.63%
2-07.37%
2-17.79%
3-02.87%
3-13.03%
3-21.60%
4-00.84%
4-10.89%
4-20.47%
4-30.16%
5-00.20%
5-10.21%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.82%
1-113.34%
2-24.11%
3-30.56%
Burnley
0-111.43%
0-26.04%
1-27.05%
0-32.13%
1-32.48%
2-31.45%
0-40.56%
1-40.66%
2-40.38%
3-40.15%
0-50.12%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Brighton
Burnley
Score0123
0
35.71%
17.47%
4.27%
0.70%
1
19.31%
9.44%
2.31%
0.38%
2
5.22%
2.55%
0.62%
0.10%
3
0.94%
0.46%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Brighton and Hove Albion
1-019.31%
2-05.22%
2-12.55%
3-00.94%
3-10.46%
3-20.11%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-035.71%
1-19.44%
2-20.62%
Burnley
0-117.47%
0-24.27%
1-22.31%
0-30.70%
1-30.38%
2-30.10%