Manchester City at Liverpool

Updated

Manchester City

42.3%26.5%31.2%
Manchester City WinDrawLiverpool Win
1.43Projected Goals 1.06
2Final Score 2

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chelsea+180
T 0-0 vs Southampton-590
W 1-0 at Leicester City-165
W 0-5 vs Arsenal-310
W 0-5 vs Norwich City-900
Liverpool
Money Line
T 3-3 at Brentford-250
W 0-3 vs Crystal Palace-375
W 3-0 at Leeds United-150
T 1-1 vs Chelsea+140
W 0-2 vs Burnley-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.3%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+145+135+132+137+130+132+137+142.2
Liverpool+180+200+207+209+202+207+209+215.7
Draw+250+250+260+262+240+260+262+269.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+135-+130-+115+135+135+142.2
Liverpool+195-+201-+175+195+201+215.7
Draw+250-+250-+235+250+250+269.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +145 to +130
Liverpool ML moved from +213 to +207

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +136 to +130
Liverpool ML moved from +189 to +180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-103-o2¾-108o2¾-103o2¾+102
Underu2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-107-u2¾-112u2¾-107u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-145o2½-130-o2½-150o2½-140o2½-130o2¾+102
Underu2½+125u2½+125u2½+110-u2½+120u2½+120u2½+125u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-145
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2½+125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.6%
 
No50.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.72%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.73%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.68%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 023.91%
Exactly 134.21%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 311.67%
Exactly 44.17%
Exactly 51.19%
Exactly 60.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 034.76%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.41%
Exactly 36.84%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.61%
Exactly 220.96%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 051.56%
Exactly 134.15%
Exactly 211.31%
Exactly 32.50%
Exactly 40.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 061.31%
Exactly 130.00%
Exactly 27.34%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals22.10%
Wins by 3+ goals8.41%
Wins by 4+ goals2.56%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals10.47%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Liverpool
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals13.69%
Wins by 3 goals5.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal17.32%
Wins by 2 goals7.47%
Wins by 3 goals2.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.01%28.99%
2.545.30%54.70%
3.523.97%76.03%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.09%23.91%
1.541.87%58.13%
2.517.40%82.60%
3.55.73%94.27%
4.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.24%34.76%
1.528.51%71.49%
2.59.10%90.90%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.39%31.61%
1.531.98%68.02%
2.511.02%88.98%
3.52.97%97.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score01234
0
8.31%
8.78%
4.64%
1.63%
0.43%
1
11.89%
12.57%
6.64%
2.34%
0.62%
2
8.51%
8.99%
4.75%
1.67%
0.44%
3
4.06%
4.29%
2.27%
0.80%
0.21%
4
1.45%
1.53%
0.81%
0.29%
0.08%
5
0.42%
0.44%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Manchester City
1-011.89%
2-08.51%
2-18.99%
3-04.06%
3-14.29%
3-22.27%
4-01.45%
4-11.53%
4-20.81%
4-30.29%
5-00.42%
5-10.44%
5-20.23%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-112.57%
2-24.75%
3-30.80%
Liverpool
0-18.78%
0-24.64%
1-26.64%
0-31.63%
1-32.34%
2-31.67%
0-40.43%
1-40.62%
2-40.44%
3-40.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Liverpool
Score0123
0
31.61%
15.47%
3.78%
0.62%
1
20.94%
10.24%
2.51%
0.41%
2
6.94%
3.39%
0.83%
0.14%
3
1.53%
0.75%
0.18%
0.03%
4
0.25%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-020.94%
2-06.94%
2-13.39%
3-01.53%
3-10.75%
3-20.18%
4-00.25%
4-10.12%
Draw
0-031.61%
1-110.24%
2-20.83%
Liverpool
0-115.47%
0-23.78%
1-22.51%
0-30.62%
1-30.41%
2-30.14%