Burnley at Liverpool

Updated

Burnley

5.9%12.5%81.6%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.61Projected Goals 2.72
1Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Fulham+190
L 1-3 at Manchester City+2350
T 1-1 vs Luton Town+110
L 2-3 at Aston Villa+650
L 2-0 vs Liverpool+650
Liverpool
Money Line
L 1-3 at Arsenal+225
W 1-4 vs Chelsea-165
W 4-0 at Bournemouth-145
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-265
W 2-0 at Burnley-275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1300+1450+1400+1400+1407+1400+1450+1452.4
Liverpool-525-598-625-600-669-600-598-482.1
Draw+705+742+700+800+779+800+800+831.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1400-+1300--+1500+1500+1452.4
Liverpool-650--655---750-655-482.1
Draw+750-+780--+825+825+831.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1455 to +1397
Liverpool ML moved from -585 to -598

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Liverpool ML moved from -650 to -750

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-114o3½-125o3¾-105o3½-122o3¾+112o3½-122o3¾+112o3½-113
Underu3½-102u3½+107u3¾-115u3½+106u3¾-130u3½+106u3¾-115u3½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-125o3½-105o3½-125-o3½-130o3½-125o3½-105o3½-113
Underu3½+105u3½-115u3½+105-u3½+100u3½+105u3½+105u3½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.5%
 
No57.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.59%
Exactly 219.88%
Exactly 418.32%
Exactly 66.76%
Exactly 81.34%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 111.95%
Exactly 322.04%
Exactly 512.19%
Exactly 73.21%
Exactly 90.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 054.48%
Exactly 133.09%
Exactly 210.05%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 06.59%
Exactly 117.93%
Exactly 224.38%
Exactly 322.09%
Exactly 415.02%
Exactly 58.17%
Exactly 63.70%
Exactly 71.44%
Exactly 80.49%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.44%
Exactly 225.42%
Exactly 45.02%
Exactly 60.40%
 
Exactly 133.01%
Exactly 313.05%
Exactly 51.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 075.49%
Exactly 121.23%
Exactly 22.98%
Exactly 30.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 028.40%
Exactly 135.75%
Exactly 222.50%
Exactly 39.44%
Exactly 42.97%
Exactly 50.75%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals1.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.21%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals61.19%
Wins by 3+ goals38.91%
Wins by 4+ goals21.01%
Wins by 5+ goals9.73%
Wins by 6+ goals3.90%
Wins by 7+ goals1.35%
Wins by 8+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Liverpool
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal4.55%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.19%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal20.38%
Wins by 2 goals22.28%
Wins by 3 goals17.90%
Wins by 4 goals11.28%
Wins by 5 goals5.83%
Wins by 6 goals2.54%
Wins by 7 goals0.96%
Wins by 8 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.41%3.59%
1.584.46%15.54%
2.564.58%35.42%
3.542.55%57.45%
4.524.22%75.78%
5.512.03%87.97%
6.55.27%94.73%
7.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.52%54.48%
1.512.43%87.57%
2.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.41%6.59%
1.575.47%24.53%
2.551.10%48.90%
3.529.01%70.99%
4.513.99%86.01%
5.55.83%94.17%
6.52.13%97.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.56%21.44%
1.545.55%54.45%
2.520.13%79.87%
3.57.08%92.92%
4.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Liverpool
Score012345
0
3.59%
9.77%
13.28%
12.04%
8.18%
4.45%
1
2.18%
5.93%
8.07%
7.31%
4.97%
2.70%
2
0.66%
1.80%
2.45%
2.22%
1.51%
0.82%
3
0.13%
0.36%
0.50%
0.45%
0.31%
0.17%
Burnley
1-02.18%
2-00.66%
2-11.80%
3-00.13%
3-10.36%
3-20.50%
Draw
0-03.59%
1-15.93%
2-22.45%
3-30.45%
Liverpool
0-19.77%
0-213.28%
1-28.07%
0-312.04%
1-37.31%
2-32.22%
0-48.18%
1-44.97%
2-41.51%
3-40.31%
0-54.45%
1-52.70%
2-50.82%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
21.44%
26.99%
16.99%
7.13%
2.24%
0.56%
0.12%
1
6.03%
7.59%
4.78%
2.00%
0.63%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.85%
1.07%
0.67%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Burnley
1-06.03%
2-00.85%
2-11.07%
Draw
0-021.44%
1-17.59%
2-20.67%
Liverpool
0-126.99%
0-216.99%
1-24.78%
0-37.13%
1-32.00%
2-30.28%
0-42.24%
1-40.63%
0-50.56%
1-50.16%
0-60.12%