Everton at Aston Villa

Updated

Everton

16.8%22.1%61.2%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.86Projected Goals 1.87
1Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Everton
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wolverhampton-117
L 4-2 vs Brentford+150
W 2-0 at Nottingham Forest+337
T 0-0 at Burnley+115
L 1-0 vs Arsenal+575
Aston Villa
Money Line
T 0-0 at Crystal Palace+135
W 1-3 vs Nottingham Forest-115
L 1-4 at Arsenal+725
W 2-1 at Chelsea+325
W 1-2 vs Manchester United+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+410+540+500+535+535+535+540+557.6
Aston Villa-152-172-172-172-172-172-172-156.8
Draw+295+300+295+307+307+307+307+321.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Everton+425-+450+450+425+475+475+557.6
Aston Villa-155--162-185-175-165-162-156.8
Draw+295-+305+280+280+295+305+321.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 30.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +500 to +490
Aston Villa ML moved from -159 to -167

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Everton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Everton: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Everton ML moved from +500 to +450
Aston Villa ML moved from -175 to -185

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-115o2½-120o2½-122o2½-122o2½-122o2½-115o2½-113
Underu2½-110u2½+104u2½+100u2½+106u2½+106u2½+106u2½+106u2½+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-125o2½-125o2½-125o2½-130o2½-120o2½-120o2½-113
Underu2½-110u2½+105u2½+105u2½+105u2½+100u2½+100u2½+105u2½+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-108 to o2¾+105
The Under moved from u2¾-111 to u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+100 to o2½-125
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.52%
Exactly 224.30%
Exactly 415.10%
Exactly 63.75%
Exactly 80.50%
 
Exactly 117.79%
Exactly 322.12%
Exactly 58.25%
Exactly 71.46%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Everton
Exactly 042.30%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 215.66%
Exactly 34.49%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 015.40%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 316.80%
Exactly 47.86%
Exactly 52.94%
Exactly 60.92%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.24%
Exactly 222.57%
Exactly 43.01%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.71%
Exactly 39.51%
Exactly 50.76%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Everton
Exactly 067.14%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 25.33%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 042.06%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.77%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Everton
Wins by 2+ goals5.23%
Wins by 3+ goals1.24%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals36.10%
Wins by 3+ goals17.22%
Wins by 4+ goals6.74%
Wins by 5+ goals2.20%
Wins by 6+ goals0.58%
Wins by 7+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Everton
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Everton
Wins by 1 goal11.50%
Wins by 2 goals3.99%
Wins by 3 goals1.01%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal25.01%
Wins by 2 goals18.89%
Wins by 3 goals10.47%
Wins by 4 goals4.55%
Wins by 5 goals1.62%
Wins by 6 goals0.48%
Wins by 7 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.48%6.52%
1.575.69%24.31%
2.551.39%48.61%
3.529.27%70.73%
4.514.17%85.83%
5.55.92%94.08%
6.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Everton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.70%42.30%
1.521.30%78.70%
2.55.65%94.35%
3.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.60%15.40%
1.555.78%44.22%
2.528.83%71.17%
3.512.03%87.97%
4.54.17%95.83%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.76%28.24%
1.536.05%63.95%
2.513.48%86.52%
3.53.96%96.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Everton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
6.52%
12.19%
11.40%
7.11%
3.32%
1.24%
1
5.61%
10.49%
9.81%
6.12%
2.86%
1.07%
2
2.41%
4.51%
4.22%
2.63%
1.23%
0.46%
3
0.69%
1.29%
1.21%
0.75%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.15%
0.28%
0.26%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
Everton
1-05.61%
2-02.41%
2-14.51%
3-00.69%
3-11.29%
3-21.21%
4-00.15%
4-10.28%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.52%
1-110.49%
2-24.22%
3-30.75%
Aston Villa
0-112.19%
0-211.40%
1-29.81%
0-37.11%
1-36.12%
2-32.63%
0-43.32%
1-42.86%
2-41.23%
3-40.35%
0-51.24%
1-51.07%
2-50.46%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Everton
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
28.24%
24.46%
10.59%
3.06%
0.66%
0.11%
1
11.25%
9.74%
4.22%
1.22%
0.26%
0.05%
2
2.24%
1.94%
0.84%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.30%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Everton
1-011.25%
2-02.24%
2-11.94%
3-00.30%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-028.24%
1-19.74%
2-20.84%
Aston Villa
0-124.46%
0-210.59%
1-24.22%
0-33.06%
1-31.22%
2-30.24%
0-40.66%
1-40.26%
0-50.11%