Chelsea at Manchester City

Updated

Chelsea

11.1%17.6%71.3%
WinDrawManchester City Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.27
1Final Score 1

Manchester City

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-1 at Crystal Palace-140
L 4-2 vs Wolverhampton-185
L 1-4 at Liverpool+400
W 0-1 vs Fulham-170
W 3-2 at Luton Town-175
Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Everton-520
W 3-1 at Brentford-280
W 1-3 vs Burnley-1120
W 3-2 at Newcastle United-152
W 0-2 vs Sheffield United-1400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+712+721+675+750+705+750+750+778.8
Manchester City-273-302-305-325-302-325-302-284.1
Draw+440+500+500+560+526+560+560+582.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea+750-+790-+640+700+790+778.8
Manchester City-300--368--360-315-315-284.1
Draw+450-+550-+380+500+550+582.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +775 to +750
Manchester City ML moved from -293 to -343

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 20.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 10.0%
Manchester City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from +725 to +700
Manchester City ML moved from -355 to -368

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3½-121o3½-118o3½-109o3½-111o3½-109o3½-109o3½-101
Underu3+110u3½+103u3½-102u3½-107u3½-103u3½-107u3½+103u3½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-135o3½-115o3½-115-o3½-110o3½-110o3½-110o3½-101
Underu3+115u3½-105u3½-105-u3½-120u3½-110u3½-105u3½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-110
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.81%
Exactly 222.14%
Exactly 417.00%
Exactly 65.22%
Exactly 80.86%
 
Exactly 114.59%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.32%
Exactly 72.26%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 046.37%
Exactly 135.64%
Exactly 213.69%
Exactly 33.51%
Exactly 40.67%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 010.37%
Exactly 123.50%
Exactly 226.63%
Exactly 320.12%
Exactly 411.40%
Exactly 55.17%
Exactly 61.95%
Exactly 70.63%
Exactly 80.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.53%
Exactly 224.22%
Exactly 43.99%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 311.35%
Exactly 51.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 070.06%
Exactly 124.93%
Exactly 24.43%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 035.01%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.28%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals3.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.65%
Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals47.65%
Wins by 3+ goals26.37%
Wins by 4+ goals12.20%
Wins by 5+ goals4.78%
Wins by 6+ goals1.60%
Wins by 7+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Manchester City
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal7.99%
Wins by 2 goals2.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal23.58%
Wins by 2 goals21.27%
Wins by 3 goals14.17%
Wins by 4 goals7.42%
Wins by 5 goals3.19%
Wins by 6 goals1.16%
Wins by 7 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.19%4.81%
1.580.60%19.40%
2.558.46%41.54%
3.536.07%63.93%
4.519.07%80.93%
5.58.75%91.25%
6.53.53%96.47%
7.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.63%46.37%
1.517.99%82.01%
2.54.30%95.70%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.63%10.37%
1.566.14%33.86%
2.539.51%60.49%
3.519.39%80.61%
4.57.99%92.01%
5.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.47%24.53%
1.541.00%59.00%
2.516.78%83.22%
3.55.43%94.57%
4.51.45%98.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
4.81%
10.89%
12.35%
9.33%
5.29%
2.40%
1
3.69%
8.37%
9.49%
7.17%
4.06%
1.84%
2
1.42%
3.22%
3.65%
2.75%
1.56%
0.71%
3
0.36%
0.82%
0.93%
0.71%
0.40%
0.18%
Chelsea
1-03.69%
2-01.42%
2-13.22%
3-00.36%
3-10.82%
3-20.93%
Draw
0-04.81%
1-18.37%
2-23.65%
3-30.71%
Manchester City
0-110.89%
0-212.35%
1-29.49%
0-39.33%
1-37.17%
2-32.75%
0-45.29%
1-44.06%
2-41.56%
3-40.40%
0-52.40%
1-51.84%
2-50.71%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Manchester City
Score012345
0
24.53%
25.74%
13.51%
4.73%
1.24%
0.26%
1
8.73%
9.16%
4.81%
1.68%
0.44%
0.09%
2
1.55%
1.63%
0.86%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.18%
0.19%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-08.73%
2-01.55%
2-11.63%
3-00.18%
3-10.19%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-024.53%
1-19.16%
2-20.86%
Manchester City
0-125.74%
0-213.51%
1-24.81%
0-34.73%
1-31.68%
2-30.30%
0-41.24%
1-40.44%
0-50.26%