Aston Villa at Nott'ham Forest

Updated

Aston Villa

35.6%28.3%36.0%
Aston Villa WinDrawNott'ham Forest Win
1.14Projected Goals 1.16
1Final Score 1

Nottingham Forest

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
W 0-2 vs West Ham United-125
L 1-3 at Manchester United+380
L 4-1 vs Chelsea+158
L 0-2 at Wolverhampton-125
T 1-1 vs Leeds United-120
Nottingham Forest
Money Line
W 3-0 at Tottenham+215
T 0-0 vs Fulham+131
T 2-2 at Manchester City+750
L 1-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+255
L 1-0 vs Liverpool+300

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+173+205+205+207+207+207+207+217.4
Nott'ham Forest+162+141+131+143+143+143+143+151.3
Draw+230+240+240+237+237+237+240+248.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+170-+184+160+155+205+205+217.4
Nott'ham Forest+170-+158+155+160+140+160+151.3
Draw+225-+231+210+220+230+231+248.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 30.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +180 to +170
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +160 to +154

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Nott'ham Forest: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +175 to +165
Nott'ham Forest ML moved from +155 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-122o2½-122o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-116o2½-107
Underu2½-105u2½+108u2½+102u2½+100u2½+100u2½+100u2½+108u2½+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½+100o2½-125o2½+100o2½-105o2½+100o2½+100o2½-107
Underu2½-115u2½-120u2½+105u2½-120u2½-125u2½-120u2½+105u2½+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.00%
Exactly 226.51%
Exactly 411.72%
Exactly 62.07%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 123.02%
Exactly 320.35%
Exactly 55.40%
Exactly 70.68%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 031.73%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 220.90%
Exactly 38.00%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 50.53%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 031.50%
Exactly 136.39%
Exactly 221.02%
Exactly 38.09%
Exactly 42.34%
Exactly 50.54%
Exactly 60.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 41.85%
 
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 058.78%
Exactly 131.24%
Exactly 28.30%
Exactly 31.47%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nottingham Forest
Exactly 058.58%
Exactly 131.33%
Exactly 28.38%
Exactly 31.49%
Exactly 40.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals14.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.64%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.23%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 2+ goals14.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.74%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal20.96%
Wins by 2 goals10.02%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.20%
Nottingham Forest
Wins by 1 goal21.09%
Wins by 2 goals10.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.54%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.00%10.00%
1.566.98%33.02%
2.540.47%59.53%
3.520.12%79.88%
4.58.41%91.59%
5.53.01%96.99%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.27%31.73%
1.531.84%68.16%
2.510.94%89.06%
3.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Nottingham Forest Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.50%31.50%
1.532.11%67.89%
2.511.09%88.91%
3.53.00%97.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.86%71.14%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Score012345
0
10.00%
11.55%
6.67%
2.57%
0.74%
0.17%
1
11.47%
13.25%
7.65%
2.95%
0.85%
0.20%
2
6.59%
7.61%
4.39%
1.69%
0.49%
0.11%
3
2.52%
2.91%
1.68%
0.65%
0.19%
0.04%
4
0.72%
0.84%
0.48%
0.19%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-011.47%
2-06.59%
2-17.61%
3-02.52%
3-12.91%
3-21.68%
4-00.72%
4-10.84%
4-20.48%
4-30.19%
5-00.17%
5-10.19%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-010.00%
1-113.25%
2-24.39%
3-30.65%
Nottingham Forest
0-111.55%
0-26.67%
1-27.65%
0-32.57%
1-32.95%
2-31.69%
0-40.74%
1-40.85%
2-40.49%
3-40.19%
0-50.17%
1-50.20%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Score01234
0
34.43%
18.41%
4.92%
0.88%
0.12%
1
18.30%
9.79%
2.62%
0.47%
0.06%
2
4.86%
2.60%
0.70%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.86%
0.46%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aston Villa
1-018.30%
2-04.86%
2-12.60%
3-00.86%
3-10.46%
3-20.12%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-034.43%
1-19.79%
2-20.70%
Nottingham Forest
0-118.41%
0-24.92%
1-22.62%
0-30.88%
1-30.47%
2-30.12%
0-40.12%