Manchester Utd at Luton Town

Updated

Manchester United

69.2%18.6%12.2%
Manchester Utd WinDrawWin
2.18Projected Goals 0.78
2Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Manchester United
Money Line
W 2-1 at Aston Villa+220
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-180
W 4-3 at Wolverhampton+142
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+104
L 1-2 at Nottingham Forest+117
Luton Town
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sheffield United-145
T 4-4 at Newcastle United+480
W 0-4 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+320
T 1-1 at Burnley+260
L 3-2 vs Chelsea+480

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd+100-121-130-130-121-130-121-120.3
Luton Town+275+311+310+338+315+338+338+353.4
Draw+266+300+320+314+307+314+320+328.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester Utd-125--125--155-130-125-120.3
Luton Town+300-+305-+290+315+315+353.4
Draw+310-+300-+285+310+310+328.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Luton Town: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -121 to -130
Luton Town ML moved from +310 to +300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester Utd: 40.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester Utd: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester Utd ML moved from -128 to -140
Luton Town ML moved from +317 to +290

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3-130o3¼+102o3-118o3-121o3-118o3-118o3-109
Underu3-124u3+110u3¼-122u3+102u3+105u3+102u3¼-122u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3-115o3-120-o3-115o3-115o3-115o3-109
Underu3-110u3-105u3+100-u3-115u3-105u3+100u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.2%
 
No51.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.19%
Exactly 222.71%
Exactly 416.57%
Exactly 64.84%
Exactly 80.76%
 
Exactly 115.34%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.81%
Exactly 72.05%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 011.36%
Exactly 124.71%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 319.48%
Exactly 410.59%
Exactly 54.61%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 70.52%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 045.63%
Exactly 135.80%
Exactly 214.05%
Exactly 33.67%
Exactly 40.72%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.41%
Exactly 223.85%
Exactly 43.73%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.81%
Exactly 310.89%
Exactly 51.02%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 036.54%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.52%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 069.54%
Exactly 125.26%
Exactly 24.59%
Exactly 30.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals45.13%
Wins by 3+ goals24.22%
Wins by 4+ goals10.83%
Wins by 5+ goals4.10%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals3.47%
Wins by 3+ goals0.75%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester United
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal24.06%
Wins by 2 goals20.90%
Wins by 3 goals13.39%
Wins by 4 goals6.74%
Wins by 5 goals2.78%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal8.68%
Wins by 2 goals2.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.63%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.81%5.19%
1.579.47%20.53%
2.556.76%43.24%
3.534.37%65.63%
4.517.80%82.20%
5.57.99%92.01%
6.53.15%96.85%
7.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.64%11.36%
1.563.92%36.08%
2.537.05%62.95%
3.517.57%82.43%
4.56.98%93.02%
5.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.37%45.63%
1.518.57%81.43%
2.54.52%95.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.59%25.41%
1.539.78%60.22%
2.515.93%84.07%
3.55.04%94.96%
4.51.31%98.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester Utd
Luton Town
Score0123
0
5.19%
4.07%
1.60%
0.42%
1
11.28%
8.85%
3.47%
0.91%
2
12.26%
9.62%
3.77%
0.99%
3
8.89%
6.97%
2.74%
0.72%
4
4.83%
3.79%
1.49%
0.39%
5
2.10%
1.65%
0.65%
0.17%
Manchester United
1-011.28%
2-012.26%
2-19.62%
3-08.89%
3-16.97%
3-22.74%
4-04.83%
4-13.79%
4-21.49%
4-30.39%
5-02.10%
5-11.65%
5-20.65%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.19%
1-18.85%
2-23.77%
3-30.72%
Luton Town
0-14.07%
0-21.60%
1-23.47%
0-30.42%
1-30.91%
2-30.99%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester Utd
Luton Town
Score0123
0
25.41%
9.23%
1.68%
0.20%
1
25.58%
9.29%
1.69%
0.20%
2
12.88%
4.68%
0.85%
0.10%
3
4.32%
1.57%
0.29%
0.03%
4
1.09%
0.40%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Manchester United
1-025.58%
2-012.88%
2-14.68%
3-04.32%
3-11.57%
3-20.29%
4-01.09%
4-10.40%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-025.41%
1-19.29%
2-20.85%
Luton Town
0-19.23%
0-21.68%
1-21.69%
0-30.20%
1-30.20%
2-30.10%