Southampton at Brighton

Updated

Southampton

27.7%26.4%45.9%
Southampton WinDrawBrighton Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.45
2Final Score 2

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 0-2 at Burnley+172
W 0-1 vs Arsenal+301
L 6-0 vs Chelsea+288
T 1-1 at Leeds United+182
L 2-1 vs Watford-150
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
L 0-3 at Manchester City+1350
W 1-0 at Tottenham+580
W 2-1 at Arsenal+477
T 0-0 vs Norwich City-210
L 2-0 vs Tottenham+275

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+235+270+280+290+281+280+290+298.8
Brighton+125+105+112+115+109+112+115+116.7
Draw+220+240+235+232+214+235+240+247.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+200-+285-+200+275+285+298.8
Brighton+105-+104-+105+105+105+116.7
Draw+220-+230-+220+235+235+247.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +287 to +281
Brighton ML moved from +102 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 10.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +295 to +275
Brighton ML moved from +112 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2¼-118o2¼-114o2½+114-o2¼-114o2¼-114o2½+119
Underu2¼+105u2¼-102u2¼-102u2½-129-u2¼-102u2½-129u2½-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½+100o2½+105-o2½-105o2½+100o2½+105o2½+119
Underu2½-130u2½-120u2½-125-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-120u2½-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-118 to o2½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.9%
 
No50.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.17%
Exactly 225.63%
Exactly 413.40%
Exactly 62.80%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.47%
Exactly 321.40%
Exactly 56.71%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 41.82%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 023.57%
Exactly 134.06%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 311.86%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 51.24%
Exactly 60.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.36%
Exactly 221.08%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.15%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 061.24%
Exactly 130.03%
Exactly 27.36%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 051.21%
Exactly 134.27%
Exactly 211.47%
Exactly 32.56%
Exactly 40.43%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals10.40%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals22.40%
Wins by 3+ goals8.59%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.64%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal17.20%
Wins by 2 goals7.42%
Wins by 3 goals2.33%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal23.47%
Wins by 2 goals13.81%
Wins by 3 goals5.95%
Wins by 4 goals2.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.83%8.17%
1.571.36%28.64%
2.545.73%54.27%
3.524.34%75.66%
4.510.94%89.06%
5.54.23%95.77%
6.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.43%23.57%
1.542.37%57.63%
2.517.75%82.25%
3.55.90%94.10%
4.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.64%31.36%
1.532.27%67.73%
2.511.19%88.81%
3.53.04%96.96%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score012345
0
8.17%
11.81%
8.53%
4.11%
1.49%
0.43%
1
8.66%
12.51%
9.04%
4.35%
1.57%
0.45%
2
4.58%
6.63%
4.79%
2.31%
0.83%
0.24%
3
1.62%
2.34%
1.69%
0.81%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.43%
0.62%
0.45%
0.22%
0.08%
0.02%
Southampton
1-08.66%
2-04.58%
2-16.63%
3-01.62%
3-12.34%
3-21.69%
4-00.43%
4-10.62%
4-20.45%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-08.17%
1-112.51%
2-24.79%
3-30.81%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-111.81%
0-28.53%
1-29.04%
0-34.11%
1-34.35%
2-32.31%
0-41.49%
1-41.57%
2-40.83%
3-40.29%
0-50.43%
1-50.45%
2-50.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
31.36%
20.99%
7.02%
1.57%
0.26%
1
15.38%
10.29%
3.44%
0.77%
0.13%
2
3.77%
2.52%
0.84%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.62%
0.41%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Southampton
1-015.38%
2-03.77%
2-12.52%
3-00.62%
3-10.41%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-031.36%
1-110.29%
2-20.84%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-120.99%
0-27.02%
1-23.44%
0-31.57%
1-30.77%
2-30.19%
0-40.26%
1-40.13%