Southampton at Manchester Utd

Updated

Southampton

18.8%14.8%66.4%
WinDrawManchester Utd Win
0.72Projected Goals 2.53
1Final Score 1

Manchester United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
W 3-2 at Tottenham+440
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+1025
L 1-3 at Wolverhampton+230
W 1-4 vs Brentford+119
T 1-1 vs Tottenham+267
Manchester United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Burnley-195
W 0-1 vs West Ham United+115
W 3-1 at Brentford-132
T 2-2 at Aston Villa+185
L 1-0 vs Wolverhampton-150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+475+425+515+497+514+515+515+506.9
Manchester Utd-190-185-190-176-207-190-176-161.8
Draw+330+360+360+357+349+360+360+360.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+390-+448-+390+440+448+506.9
Manchester Utd-190--180--190-165-165-161.8
Draw+270-+340-+270+315+340+360.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 30.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +450 to +425
Manchester Utd ML moved from -191 to -207

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Manchester Utd: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Manchester Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +460 to +440
Manchester Utd ML moved from -170 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3-112o3-112o3-109-o3-112o3-109o3-104
Underu2¾-105u3-108u3-104u3-106-u3-104u3-104u3+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-150o3-110-o3-110o3+105o2½-150o3-104
Underu2½+110u2½+130u3-110-u3-120u3-125u3-115u3+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-110 to o3+102
The Under moved from u2½+125 to u2½-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.87%
Exactly 220.47%
Exactly 418.03%
Exactly 66.35%
Exactly 81.20%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.59%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 511.72%
Exactly 72.95%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 048.83%
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 212.54%
Exactly 33.00%
Exactly 40.54%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester United
Exactly 07.93%
Exactly 120.10%
Exactly 225.47%
Exactly 321.52%
Exactly 413.64%
Exactly 56.91%
Exactly 62.92%
Exactly 71.06%
Exactly 80.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.19%
Exactly 225.15%
Exactly 44.75%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.41%
Exactly 312.62%
Exactly 51.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 071.76%
Exactly 123.81%
Exactly 23.95%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester United
Exactly 030.93%
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 221.30%
Exactly 38.33%
Exactly 42.44%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals2.12%
Wins by 3+ goals0.39%
Manchester United
Wins by 2+ goals54.80%
Wins by 3+ goals32.89%
Wins by 4+ goals16.65%
Wins by 5+ goals7.17%
Wins by 6+ goals2.63%
Wins by 7+ goals0.80%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Manchester United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal6.18%
Wins by 2 goals1.73%
Wins by 3 goals0.35%
Manchester United
Wins by 1 goal21.87%
Wins by 2 goals21.90%
Wins by 3 goals16.24%
Wins by 4 goals9.48%
Wins by 5 goals4.54%
Wins by 6 goals1.84%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.13%3.87%
1.583.54%16.46%
2.563.07%36.93%
3.540.89%59.11%
4.522.86%77.14%
5.511.13%88.87%
6.54.78%95.22%
7.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.17%48.83%
1.516.17%83.83%
2.53.62%96.38%

Total Goals Manchester United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.07%7.93%
1.571.97%28.03%
2.546.50%53.50%
3.524.98%75.02%
4.511.35%88.65%
5.54.44%95.56%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.81%22.19%
1.544.40%55.60%
2.519.25%80.75%
3.56.63%93.37%
4.51.88%98.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Manchester United
Score012345
0
3.87%
9.81%
12.44%
10.51%
6.66%
3.38%
1
2.78%
7.03%
8.92%
7.53%
4.77%
2.42%
2
0.99%
2.52%
3.20%
2.70%
1.71%
0.87%
3
0.24%
0.60%
0.76%
0.64%
0.41%
0.21%
Southampton
1-02.78%
2-00.99%
2-12.52%
3-00.24%
3-10.60%
3-20.76%
Draw
0-03.87%
1-17.03%
2-23.20%
3-30.64%
Manchester United
0-19.81%
0-212.44%
1-28.92%
0-310.51%
1-37.53%
2-32.70%
0-46.66%
1-44.77%
2-41.71%
3-40.41%
0-53.38%
1-52.42%
2-50.87%
3-50.21%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Manchester United
Score012345
0
22.19%
26.04%
15.28%
5.98%
1.75%
0.41%
1
7.37%
8.64%
5.07%
1.98%
0.58%
0.14%
2
1.22%
1.43%
0.84%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.14%
0.16%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-07.37%
2-01.22%
2-11.43%
3-00.14%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-022.19%
1-18.64%
2-20.84%
Manchester United
0-126.04%
0-215.28%
1-25.07%
0-35.98%
1-31.98%
2-30.33%
0-41.75%
1-40.58%
0-50.41%
1-50.14%