Watford at Aston Villa

Updated

Watford

19.4%23.5%57.1%
WinDrawAston Villa Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.74
1Final Score 0

Aston Villa

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+290
L 0-1 at West Ham United+588
T 0-0 at Burnley+265
L 3-0 vs Norwich City+100
T 1-1 at Newcastle United+340
Aston Villa
Money Line
L 0-1 at Newcastle United+158
T 3-3 vs Leeds United-102
W 1-0 at Everton+165
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+150
L 1-2 at Brentford+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+400+425+475+499+451+475+499+494.3
Aston Villa-155-160-155-150-168-155-150-142.0
Draw+310+300+295+291+297+295+300+308.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+460-+450-+400+450+450+494.3
Aston Villa-165--155--190-160-155-142.0
Draw+300-+273-+270+290+290+308.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +432 to +417
Aston Villa ML moved from -144 to -150

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 10.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Aston Villa: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +460 to +450
No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-120o2½-118--o2½-118o2½-118o2½-109
Underu2½-112u2½+100u2½+102--u2½+102u2½+102u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-110o2½-108-o2½-115o2½-115o2½-108o2½-109
Underu2½-110u2½-110u2½-112-u2½-115u2½-105u2½-105u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.1%
 
No50.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.11%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 414.47%
Exactly 63.37%
Exactly 80.42%
 
Exactly 118.80%
Exactly 321.89%
Exactly 57.65%
Exactly 71.27%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 040.48%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.55%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 017.57%
Exactly 130.55%
Exactly 226.57%
Exactly 315.40%
Exactly 46.69%
Exactly 52.33%
Exactly 60.67%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.41%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 38.98%
Exactly 50.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.79%
Exactly 127.55%
Exactly 25.77%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 044.70%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 214.49%
Exactly 33.89%
Exactly 40.78%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%
Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals32.03%
Wins by 3+ goals14.41%
Wins by 4+ goals5.30%
Wins by 5+ goals1.62%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Aston Villa
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.00%
Wins by 2 goals4.76%
Wins by 3 goals1.28%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal25.01%
Wins by 2 goals17.62%
Wins by 3 goals9.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.68%
Wins by 5 goals1.22%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.89%7.11%
1.574.09%25.91%
2.549.24%50.76%
3.527.34%72.66%
4.512.88%87.12%
5.55.23%94.77%
6.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.52%40.48%
1.522.91%77.09%
2.56.36%93.64%
3.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.43%17.57%
1.551.88%48.12%
2.525.31%74.69%
3.59.91%90.09%
4.53.22%96.78%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.59%29.41%
1.534.60%65.40%
2.512.57%87.43%
3.53.59%96.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Aston Villa
Score012345
0
7.11%
12.37%
10.75%
6.23%
2.71%
0.94%
1
6.43%
11.19%
9.73%
5.64%
2.45%
0.85%
2
2.91%
5.06%
4.40%
2.55%
1.11%
0.39%
3
0.88%
1.52%
1.33%
0.77%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.20%
0.34%
0.30%
0.17%
0.08%
0.03%
Watford
1-06.43%
2-02.91%
2-15.06%
3-00.88%
3-11.52%
3-21.33%
4-00.20%
4-10.34%
4-20.30%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-07.11%
1-111.19%
2-24.40%
3-30.77%
Aston Villa
0-112.37%
0-210.75%
1-29.73%
0-36.23%
1-35.64%
2-32.55%
0-42.71%
1-42.45%
2-41.11%
3-40.33%
0-50.94%
1-50.85%
2-50.39%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Aston Villa
Score01234
0
29.41%
23.68%
9.53%
2.56%
0.51%
1
12.31%
9.91%
3.99%
1.07%
0.22%
2
2.58%
2.08%
0.84%
0.22%
0.05%
3
0.36%
0.29%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-012.31%
2-02.58%
2-12.08%
3-00.36%
3-10.29%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-029.41%
1-19.91%
2-20.84%
Aston Villa
0-123.68%
0-29.53%
1-23.99%
0-32.56%
1-31.07%
2-30.22%
0-40.51%
1-40.22%