Newcastle Utd at Chelsea

Updated

Newcastle United

7.2%13.7%79.0%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.68Projected Goals 2.63
0Final Score 1

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Newcastle United
Money Line
W 2-1 at Southampton+320
W 1-2 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+175
W 2-0 at Brentford+237
T 1-1 at West Ham United+420
W 0-1 vs Aston Villa+176
Chelsea
Money Line
W 3-1 at Norwich City-301
W 4-0 at Burnley-205
W 1-0 at Crystal Palace-146
W 0-2 vs Tottenham-140
T 1-1 at Brighton and Hove Albion-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+775+675+700+742+712+700+742+765.6
Chelsea-295-240-240-241-268-240-240-218.1
Draw+400+360+390+391+379+390+391+402.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Newcastle Utd+775-+700-+620+720+720+765.6
Chelsea-375--250--280-245-245-218.1
Draw+350-+367-+300+360+367+402.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +754 to +742
Chelsea ML moved from -234 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Newcastle Utd: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Newcastle Utd ML moved from +716 to +700
No Steam Moves On Chelsea ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-122o2¾-105o2¾+100o2½-121-o2¾+100o2½-121o2½-119
Underu2¾+102u2¾-115u2¾-116u2½+106-u2¾-116u2¾-115u2½+119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-140o2½-135o2½-130-o2½-130o2½-130o2½-130o2½-119
Underu2½+110u2½+115u2½+110-u2½+100u2½+110u2½+115u2½+119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.67%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 418.25%
Exactly 66.64%
Exactly 81.30%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.13%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 512.06%
Exactly 73.14%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.90%
Exactly 134.37%
Exactly 211.60%
Exactly 32.61%
Exactly 40.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 07.21%
Exactly 118.95%
Exactly 224.93%
Exactly 321.85%
Exactly 414.37%
Exactly 57.56%
Exactly 63.31%
Exactly 71.24%
Exactly 80.41%
Exactly 90.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.65%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 312.93%
Exactly 51.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 073.15%
Exactly 122.87%
Exactly 23.57%
Exactly 30.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 029.59%
Exactly 136.03%
Exactly 221.94%
Exactly 38.91%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.74%
Wins by 3+ goals0.30%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals57.85%
Wins by 3+ goals35.77%
Wins by 4+ goals18.74%
Wins by 5+ goals8.41%
Wins by 6+ goals3.26%
Wins by 7+ goals1.10%
Wins by 8+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Newcastle United
Chelsea
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal5.42%
Wins by 2 goals1.44%
Wins by 3 goals0.27%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal21.16%
Wins by 2 goals22.08%
Wins by 3 goals17.03%
Wins by 4 goals10.33%
Wins by 5 goals5.14%
Wins by 6 goals2.17%
Wins by 7 goals0.79%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.33%3.67%
1.584.21%15.79%
2.564.17%35.83%
3.542.08%57.92%
4.523.84%76.16%
5.511.78%88.22%
6.55.13%94.87%
7.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.10%50.90%
1.514.72%85.28%
2.53.12%96.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.79%7.21%
1.573.84%26.16%
2.548.91%51.09%
3.527.06%72.94%
4.512.69%87.31%
5.55.13%94.87%
6.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.35%21.65%
1.545.23%54.77%
2.519.88%80.12%
3.56.95%93.05%
4.52.00%98.00%

Score Props

Correct Score

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score012345
0
3.67%
9.65%
12.69%
11.12%
7.31%
3.85%
1
2.48%
6.52%
8.57%
7.51%
4.94%
2.60%
2
0.84%
2.20%
2.89%
2.54%
1.67%
0.88%
3
0.19%
0.50%
0.65%
0.57%
0.38%
0.20%
Newcastle United
1-02.48%
2-00.84%
2-12.20%
3-00.19%
3-10.50%
3-20.65%
Draw
0-03.67%
1-16.52%
2-22.89%
3-30.57%
Chelsea
0-19.65%
0-212.69%
1-28.57%
0-311.12%
1-37.51%
2-32.54%
0-47.31%
1-44.94%
2-41.67%
3-40.38%
0-53.85%
1-52.60%
2-50.88%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Newcastle Utd
Chelsea
Score012345
0
21.65%
26.36%
16.05%
6.51%
1.98%
0.48%
1
6.77%
8.24%
5.02%
2.04%
0.62%
0.15%
2
1.06%
1.29%
0.78%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
3
0.11%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Newcastle United
1-06.77%
2-01.06%
2-11.29%
3-00.11%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-021.65%
1-18.24%
2-20.78%
Chelsea
0-126.36%
0-216.05%
1-25.02%
0-36.51%
1-32.04%
2-30.32%
0-41.98%
1-40.62%
0-50.48%
1-50.15%