Aston Villa at Chelsea

Updated

Aston Villa

20.0%23.3%56.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 3

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Crystal Palace-135
L 0-2 at Liverpool+600
L 1-4 at Tottenham+260
T 1-1 vs Bournemouth-115
W 3-1 at Fulham+180
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-1 at Leicester City-225
T 1-1 vs Arsenal+205
T 1-1 at Manchester United+150
W 1-2 vs Newcastle United-130
L 1-2 at Liverpool+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+311+370+350+373+353+373+373+389.9
Chelsea-125-141-145-140-143-140-140-128.9
Draw+314+313+320+315+308+315+320+329.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa+325-+335+325+335+350+350+389.9
Chelsea-135--142-145-160-145-142-128.9
Draw+320-+325+315+315+325+325+329.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 10.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from +350 to +340
Chelsea ML moved from -135 to -145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Aston Villa ML
Chelsea ML moved from -145 to -155

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-137o3-123o3-112o3-114o3-114o3-114o3-112o3-105
Underu3+116u3+105u3-108u3-102u3-106u3-102u3+105u3+105
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-130o3-125o3-125o3-125o3-130o3-125o3-125o3-105
Underu3+110u3+105u3+105u3+105u3+100u3+105u3+105u3+105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-117 to o3¼-104
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.7%
 
No49.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.65%
Exactly 224.43%
Exactly 414.95%
Exactly 63.66%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.03%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 58.10%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 038.89%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.34%
Exactly 35.46%
Exactly 41.29%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 017.11%
Exactly 130.21%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.69%
Exactly 46.93%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.52%
Exactly 222.45%
Exactly 42.94%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.78%
Exactly 39.39%
Exactly 50.74%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 064.58%
Exactly 128.24%
Exactly 26.17%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 044.15%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.75%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals6.72%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals31.99%
Wins by 3+ goals14.51%
Wins by 4+ goals5.39%
Wins by 5+ goals1.66%
Wins by 6+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Chelsea
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal13.20%
Wins by 2 goals5.00%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals17.48%
Wins by 3 goals9.11%
Wins by 4 goals3.73%
Wins by 5 goals1.25%
Wins by 6 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.35%6.65%
1.575.31%24.69%
2.550.88%49.12%
3.528.81%71.19%
4.513.86%86.14%
5.55.75%94.25%
6.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.11%38.89%
1.524.38%75.62%
2.57.04%92.96%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.89%17.11%
1.552.69%47.31%
2.526.02%73.98%
3.510.33%89.67%
4.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.48%28.52%
1.535.71%64.29%
2.513.26%86.74%
3.53.87%96.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score012345
0
6.65%
11.75%
10.37%
6.10%
2.69%
0.95%
1
6.28%
11.09%
9.79%
5.76%
2.54%
0.90%
2
2.97%
5.24%
4.62%
2.72%
1.20%
0.42%
3
0.93%
1.65%
1.46%
0.86%
0.38%
0.13%
4
0.22%
0.39%
0.34%
0.20%
0.09%
0.03%
Aston Villa
1-06.28%
2-02.97%
2-15.24%
3-00.93%
3-11.65%
3-21.46%
4-00.22%
4-10.39%
4-20.34%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-06.65%
1-111.09%
2-24.62%
3-30.86%
Chelsea
0-111.75%
0-210.37%
1-29.79%
0-36.10%
1-35.76%
2-32.72%
0-42.69%
1-42.54%
2-41.20%
3-40.38%
0-50.95%
1-50.90%
2-50.42%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Chelsea
Score01234
0
28.52%
23.31%
9.53%
2.60%
0.53%
1
12.47%
10.19%
4.17%
1.14%
0.23%
2
2.73%
2.23%
0.91%
0.25%
0.05%
3
0.40%
0.32%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-012.47%
2-02.73%
2-12.23%
3-00.40%
3-10.32%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-028.52%
1-110.19%
2-20.91%
Chelsea
0-123.31%
0-29.53%
1-24.17%
0-32.60%
1-31.14%
2-30.25%
0-40.53%
1-40.23%