Burnley at Liverpool

Updated

Burnley

3.7%9.2%87.1%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.53Projected Goals 3.10
1Final Score 1

Liverpool

Last 5 Games

Burnley
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Manchester United+390
L 0-2 at Brighton and Hove Albion+620
L 3-1 vs Newcastle United+485
T 0-0 vs Everton+300
T 1-1 at Bournemouth+610
Liverpool
Money Line
T 0-0 at Arsenal+490
T 2-2 at Fulham-110
T 0-0 vs Leeds United-205
W 1-2 vs Wolverhampton-420
W 2-1 at Tottenham+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1000+1098+1000+1225+1225+1225+1225+1272.0
Liverpool-470-435-440-445-445-445-435-372.9
Draw+575+579+550+597+597+597+597+621.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Burnley+1075-+1060--+1125+1125+1272.0
Liverpool-450--435---460-435-372.9
Draw+575-+575--+575+575+621.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 20.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1150 to +1098
Liverpool ML moved from -435 to -455

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Burnley: 0.0%
Liverpool: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Burnley: 10.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Burnley ML moved from +1140 to +1125
Liverpool ML moved from -470 to -490

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.3%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼+105o3-116o3-112o3-116o3-116o3-116o3-112o3-107
Underu3¼-125u3+102u3-108u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+102u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-115o3-115o3-120o3-120o3-110o3-110o3-107
Underu3+100u3-105u3-105u3+100u3-110u3-110u3+100u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.4%
 
No60.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.65%
Exactly 217.48%
Exactly 419.18%
Exactly 68.42%
Exactly 81.98%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.63%
Exactly 321.14%
Exactly 513.92%
Exactly 74.37%
Exactly 90.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 058.71%
Exactly 131.27%
Exactly 28.33%
Exactly 31.48%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 04.52%
Exactly 114.00%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 417.32%
Exactly 510.73%
Exactly 65.54%
Exactly 72.45%
Exactly 80.95%
Exactly 90.33%
Exactly 100.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.63%
Exactly 226.30%
Exactly 46.19%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.31%
Exactly 314.73%
Exactly 52.08%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 078.15%
Exactly 119.27%
Exactly 22.38%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 023.84%
Exactly 134.18%
Exactly 224.50%
Exactly 311.71%
Exactly 44.20%
Exactly 51.20%
Exactly 60.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals0.73%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals69.94%
Wins by 3+ goals48.61%
Wins by 4+ goals29.08%
Wins by 5+ goals15.06%
Wins by 6+ goals6.81%
Wins by 7+ goals2.71%
Wins by 8+ goals0.95%
Wins by 9+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Burnley
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal2.94%
Wins by 2 goals0.63%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal17.13%
Wins by 2 goals21.33%
Wins by 3 goals19.53%
Wins by 4 goals14.02%
Wins by 5 goals8.25%
Wins by 6 goals4.10%
Wins by 7 goals1.76%
Wins by 8 goals0.67%
Wins by 9 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.35%2.65%
1.587.72%12.28%
2.570.24%29.76%
3.549.10%50.90%
4.529.92%70.08%
5.515.99%84.01%
6.57.57%92.43%
7.53.20%96.80%
8.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.29%58.71%
1.510.02%89.98%
2.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.48%4.52%
1.581.48%18.52%
2.559.81%40.19%
3.537.44%62.56%
4.520.12%79.88%
5.59.40%90.60%
6.53.86%96.14%
7.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.37%18.63%
1.550.06%49.94%
2.523.76%76.24%
3.59.03%90.97%
4.52.84%97.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Burnley
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.65%
8.22%
12.72%
13.13%
10.17%
6.30%
1
1.41%
4.38%
6.78%
6.99%
5.41%
3.35%
2
0.38%
1.17%
1.80%
1.86%
1.44%
0.89%
Burnley
1-01.41%
2-00.38%
2-11.17%
Draw
0-02.65%
1-14.38%
2-21.80%
3-30.33%
Liverpool
0-18.22%
0-212.72%
1-26.78%
0-313.13%
1-36.99%
2-31.86%
0-410.17%
1-45.41%
2-41.44%
3-40.26%
0-56.30%
1-53.35%
2-50.89%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Burnley
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
18.63%
26.71%
19.15%
9.15%
3.28%
0.94%
0.22%
1
4.59%
6.59%
4.72%
2.26%
0.81%
0.23%
0.06%
2
0.57%
0.81%
0.58%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Burnley
1-04.59%
2-00.57%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-018.63%
1-16.59%
2-20.58%
Liverpool
0-126.71%
0-219.15%
1-24.72%
0-39.15%
1-32.26%
2-30.28%
0-43.28%
1-40.81%
0-50.94%
1-50.23%
0-60.22%