Southampton at Brentford

Updated

Southampton

19.7%22.5%57.8%
WinDrawBrentford Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.86
0Final Score 3

Brentford

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Aston Villa+165
W 2-1 at Everton+230
L 1-0 vs Nottingham Forest+130
L 1-2 at Fulham+330
L 3-1 vs Brighton and Hove Albion+245
Brentford
Money Line
T 0-0 at Leeds United+195
W 0-2 vs Bournemouth-162
W 1-3 vs Liverpool+530
W 2-0 at West Ham United+280
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+309+400+400+400+347+400+400+391.8
Brentford-107-133-140-128-139-128-128-112.1
Draw+259+272+275+265+239+265+275+273.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+310-+400-+385+415+415+391.8
Brentford-110--140--170-140-140-112.1
Draw+250-+272-+240+265+272+273.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Brentford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +355 to +347
Brentford ML moved from -128 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brentford: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Brentford: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 20.0%
Brentford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Brentford ML moved from -150 to -170

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-109o2½+101o2¼-125o2½+104o2½+104o2½+104o2¼-125o2½+111
Underu2½-107u2½-119u2¼+105u2½-120u2½-119u2½-120u2½-119u2½-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+105o2½+110-o2½+100o2½+100o2½+110o2½+111
Underu2½-110u2½-125u2½-130-u2½-130u2½-120u2½-120u2½-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.0%
 
No47.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.79%
Exactly 223.50%
Exactly 415.90%
Exactly 64.30%
Exactly 80.62%
 
Exactly 116.49%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 59.06%
Exactly 71.75%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 037.22%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.18%
Exactly 35.99%
Exactly 41.48%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Brentford
Exactly 015.55%
Exactly 128.94%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 316.71%
Exactly 47.77%
Exactly 52.89%
Exactly 60.90%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.73%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 50.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 063.28%
Exactly 128.96%
Exactly 26.63%
Exactly 31.01%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brentford
Exactly 042.24%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.68%
Exactly 34.50%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.81%
Wins by 3+ goals1.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Brentford
Wins by 2+ goals33.52%
Wins by 3+ goals15.76%
Wins by 4+ goals6.10%
Wins by 5+ goals1.96%
Wins by 6+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Brentford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal12.86%
Wins by 2 goals5.01%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Brentford
Wins by 1 goal24.23%
Wins by 2 goals17.77%
Wins by 3 goals9.66%
Wins by 4 goals4.13%
Wins by 5 goals1.45%
Wins by 6 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.21%5.79%
1.577.72%22.28%
2.554.23%45.77%
3.531.91%68.09%
4.516.01%83.99%
5.56.95%93.05%
6.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.78%37.22%
1.526.00%74.00%
2.57.82%92.18%
3.51.83%98.17%

Total Goals Brentford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.45%15.55%
1.555.51%44.49%
2.528.58%71.42%
3.511.87%88.13%
4.54.10%95.90%
5.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.27%26.73%
1.538.00%62.00%
2.514.74%85.26%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Brentford
Score012345
0
5.79%
10.77%
10.02%
6.22%
2.89%
1.08%
1
5.72%
10.65%
9.91%
6.15%
2.86%
1.06%
2
2.83%
5.26%
4.90%
3.04%
1.41%
0.53%
3
0.93%
1.73%
1.61%
1.00%
0.47%
0.17%
4
0.23%
0.43%
0.40%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
Southampton
1-05.72%
2-02.83%
2-15.26%
3-00.93%
3-11.73%
3-21.61%
4-00.23%
4-10.43%
4-20.40%
4-30.25%
Draw
0-05.79%
1-110.65%
2-24.90%
3-31.00%
4-40.12%
Brentford
0-110.77%
0-210.02%
1-29.91%
0-36.22%
1-36.15%
2-33.04%
0-42.89%
1-42.86%
2-41.41%
3-40.47%
0-51.08%
1-51.06%
2-50.53%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Brentford
Score012345
0
26.73%
23.03%
9.92%
2.85%
0.61%
0.11%
1
12.23%
10.54%
4.54%
1.30%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.80%
2.41%
1.04%
0.30%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.43%
0.37%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-012.23%
2-02.80%
2-12.41%
3-00.43%
3-10.37%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-026.73%
1-110.54%
2-21.04%
Brentford
0-123.03%
0-29.92%
1-24.54%
0-32.85%
1-31.30%
2-30.30%
0-40.61%
1-40.28%
0-50.11%