Chelsea at Southampton

Updated

Chelsea

60.6%21.5%17.9%
Chelsea WinDrawWin
1.95Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 2

Southampton

Last 5 Games

Chelsea
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Leicester City-245
L 0-3 at Leeds United-190
T 2-2 vs Tottenham+120
W 1-0 at Everton-190
W 1-2 vs Watford-550
Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Manchester United+310
W 2-1 at Leicester City+325
T 2-2 vs Leeds United+140
L 1-4 at Tottenham+760
L 1-4 at Leicester City+365

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-175-150-150-152-161-152-150-132.7
Southampton+460+418+400+420+408+420+420+428.9
Draw+310+305+290+315+305+315+315+315.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chelsea-175--155--215-160-155-132.7
Southampton+475-+405-+420+420+420+428.9
Draw+315-+305-+295+310+310+315.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 10.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -154 to -161
Southampton ML moved from +428 to +418

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chelsea: 0.0%
Southampton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chelsea ML moved from -158 to -165
Southampton ML moved from +435 to +405

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118o2½-129o2¾-108o2¾+104-o2¾+104o2½-129o3+148
Underu2¾-102u2½+109u2¾-112u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2¾-112u3-148
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o2½-140o2½-140-o2½-140o2½-135o2½-135o3+148
Underu2½+125u2½+120u2½+120-u2½+110u2½+115u2½+120u3-148

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.9%
 
No47.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.44%
Exactly 223.05%
Exactly 416.29%
Exactly 64.61%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.83%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.49%
Exactly 71.92%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 014.18%
Exactly 127.70%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 317.61%
Exactly 48.60%
Exactly 53.36%
Exactly 61.09%
Exactly 70.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 038.32%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.63%
Exactly 35.63%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.97%
Exactly 223.60%
Exactly 43.58%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.01%
Exactly 310.61%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 040.48%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.55%
Exactly 34.99%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 064.14%
Exactly 128.48%
Exactly 26.32%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals36.26%
Wins by 3+ goals17.70%
Wins by 4+ goals7.13%
Wins by 5+ goals2.39%
Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Chelsea
Southampton
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal24.20%
Wins by 2 goals18.56%
Wins by 3 goals10.57%
Wins by 4 goals4.74%
Wins by 5 goals1.74%
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal11.88%
Wins by 2 goals4.47%
Wins by 3 goals1.24%
Wins by 4 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.56%5.44%
1.578.73%21.27%
2.555.69%44.31%
3.533.31%66.69%
4.517.02%82.98%
5.57.53%92.47%
6.52.93%97.07%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.82%14.18%
1.558.12%41.88%
2.531.06%68.94%
3.513.45%86.55%
4.54.85%95.15%
5.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.68%38.32%
1.524.92%75.08%
2.57.29%92.71%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.03%25.97%
1.539.02%60.98%
2.515.42%84.58%
3.54.81%95.19%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chelsea
Southampton
Score01234
0
5.44%
5.21%
2.50%
0.80%
0.19%
1
10.62%
10.18%
4.88%
1.56%
0.37%
2
10.37%
9.94%
4.77%
1.52%
0.37%
3
6.75%
6.47%
3.10%
0.99%
0.24%
4
3.30%
3.16%
1.52%
0.48%
0.12%
5
1.29%
1.23%
0.59%
0.19%
0.05%
Chelsea
1-010.62%
2-010.37%
2-19.94%
3-06.75%
3-16.47%
3-23.10%
4-03.30%
4-13.16%
4-21.52%
4-30.48%
5-01.29%
5-11.23%
5-20.59%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.44%
1-110.18%
2-24.77%
3-30.99%
4-40.12%
Southampton
0-15.21%
0-22.50%
1-24.88%
0-30.80%
1-31.56%
2-31.52%
0-40.19%
1-40.37%
2-40.37%
3-40.24%

Correct Score - First Half

Chelsea
Southampton
Score0123
0
25.97%
11.53%
2.56%
0.38%
1
23.48%
10.43%
2.32%
0.34%
2
10.62%
4.71%
1.05%
0.15%
3
3.20%
1.42%
0.32%
0.05%
4
0.72%
0.32%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.06%
0.01%
0.00%
Chelsea
1-023.48%
2-010.62%
2-14.71%
3-03.20%
3-11.42%
3-20.32%
4-00.72%
4-10.32%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-025.97%
1-110.43%
2-21.05%
Southampton
0-111.53%
0-22.56%
1-22.32%
0-30.38%
1-30.34%
2-30.15%