Southampton at Newcastle Utd

Updated

Southampton

9.2%15.2%75.7%
WinDrawNewcastle Utd Win
0.77Projected Goals 2.54
1Final Score 3

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Bournemouth+155
T 3-3 at Arsenal+1340
L 2-0 vs Crystal Palace+187
L 4-1 vs Manchester City+1150
L 0-1 at West Ham United+375
Newcastle United
Money Line
W 4-1 at Everton-130
W 1-6 vs Tottenham-115
L 0-3 at Aston Villa+106
W 2-1 at Brentford-105
W 5-1 at West Ham United+123

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+654+1091+1000+1050+1149+1050+1149+1089.8
Newcastle Utd-236-380-385-385-388-385-380-329.7
Draw+389+509+500+550+542+550+550+572.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton+625-+1025--+865+1050+1089.8
Newcastle Utd-350--373---365-373-329.7
Draw+375-+470--+505+505+572.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 10.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +1092 to +1058
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -373 to -388

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Newcastle Utd: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from +880 to +865
Newcastle Utd ML moved from -385 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3-121o3-118o3-108o3-109o3-108o3-108o3+100
Underu2½+104u3+103u3-102u3-108u3-106u3-108u3+103u3+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130o3+105o3-110-o3-115o3-115o3+105o3+100
Underu2½+100u3-125u3-110-u3-115u3-105u3-105u3+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+105 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.65%
Exactly 220.00%
Exactly 418.27%
Exactly 66.68%
Exactly 81.31%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.08%
Exactly 322.07%
Exactly 512.10%
Exactly 73.16%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 046.22%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 213.76%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 07.89%
Exactly 120.04%
Exactly 225.44%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 413.67%
Exactly 56.94%
Exactly 62.94%
Exactly 71.07%
Exactly 80.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.59%
Exactly 225.37%
Exactly 44.97%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.10%
Exactly 312.96%
Exactly 51.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 069.96%
Exactly 125.00%
Exactly 24.47%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 030.86%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals2.52%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals53.70%
Wins by 3+ goals32.11%
Wins by 4+ goals16.21%
Wins by 5+ goals6.97%
Wins by 6+ goals2.56%
Wins by 7+ goals0.77%
Wins by 8+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Newcastle United
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal6.64%
Wins by 2 goals1.99%
Wins by 3 goals0.44%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal21.84%
Wins by 2 goals21.59%
Wins by 3 goals15.90%
Wins by 4 goals9.24%
Wins by 5 goals4.42%
Wins by 6 goals1.79%
Wins by 7 goals0.61%
Wins by 8 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.35%3.65%
1.584.27%15.73%
2.564.28%35.72%
3.542.21%57.79%
4.523.94%76.06%
5.511.85%88.15%
6.55.17%94.83%
7.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.78%46.22%
1.518.11%81.89%
2.54.34%95.66%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.11%7.89%
1.572.07%27.93%
2.546.62%53.38%
3.525.09%74.91%
4.511.41%88.59%
5.54.47%95.53%
6.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.41%21.59%
1.545.32%54.68%
2.519.95%80.05%
3.56.99%93.01%
4.52.02%97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
3.65%
9.26%
11.76%
9.96%
6.32%
3.21%
1
2.82%
7.15%
9.08%
7.68%
4.88%
2.48%
2
1.09%
2.76%
3.50%
2.96%
1.88%
0.96%
3
0.28%
0.71%
0.90%
0.76%
0.48%
0.25%
Southampton
1-02.82%
2-01.09%
2-12.76%
3-00.28%
3-10.71%
3-20.90%
Draw
0-03.65%
1-17.15%
2-23.50%
3-30.76%
Newcastle United
0-19.26%
0-211.76%
1-29.08%
0-39.96%
1-37.68%
2-32.96%
0-46.32%
1-44.88%
2-41.88%
3-40.48%
0-53.21%
1-52.48%
2-50.96%
3-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Newcastle United
Score012345
0
21.59%
25.38%
14.92%
5.85%
1.72%
0.40%
1
7.71%
9.07%
5.33%
2.09%
0.61%
0.14%
2
1.38%
1.62%
0.95%
0.37%
0.11%
0.03%
3
0.16%
0.19%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Southampton
1-07.71%
2-01.38%
2-11.62%
3-00.16%
3-10.19%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-021.59%
1-19.07%
2-20.95%
Newcastle United
0-125.38%
0-214.92%
1-25.33%
0-35.85%
1-32.09%
2-30.37%
0-41.72%
1-40.61%
2-40.11%
0-50.40%
1-50.14%