Manchester City at Brighton

Updated

Manchester City

55.2%24.2%20.6%
Manchester City WinDrawBrighton Win
1.68Projected Goals 0.92
1Final Score 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Chelsea-165
W 3-0 at Everton-275
W 1-2 vs Leeds United-685
W 0-3 vs West Ham United-585
W 2-1 at Fulham-368
Brighton and Hove Albion
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Southampton-470
L 1-4 at Newcastle United+311
W 3-0 at Arsenal+335
L 5-1 vs Everton-305
W 0-1 vs Manchester United+119

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-110-116-120-116-110-116-110-107.7
Brighton+279+285+275+290+281+290+290+303.9
Draw+296+312+310+313+314+313+314+327.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City-130--120--150-120-120-107.7
Brighton+300-+280-+270+285+285+303.9
Draw+330-+310-+290+310+310+327.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -118 to -125
Brighton ML moved from +288 to +282

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brighton: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 20.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Brighton: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from -115 to -130
Brighton ML moved from +290 to +280

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-123o3½+114o3¼-108o3¼-109o3-136o3¼-109o3-136o3¼-101
Underu3+105u3½-136u3¼-112u3¼-107u3+121u3¼-107u3½-136u3¼+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-125o3½+105o3-136-o3-135o3-135o3-135o3¼-101
Underu3+105u3½-125u3+116-u3+105u3+115u3½-125u3¼+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-130 to o3½+105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.26%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.38%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 018.61%
Exactly 131.29%
Exactly 226.31%
Exactly 314.75%
Exactly 46.20%
Exactly 52.09%
Exactly 60.58%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 039.74%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 216.92%
Exactly 35.21%
Exactly 41.20%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 045.90%
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 213.91%
Exactly 33.61%
Exactly 40.70%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brighton and Hove Albion
Exactly 065.23%
Exactly 127.87%
Exactly 25.95%
Exactly 30.85%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals30.29%
Wins by 3+ goals13.26%
Wins by 4+ goals4.74%
Wins by 5+ goals1.41%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 2+ goals6.86%
Wins by 3+ goals1.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal24.93%
Wins by 2 goals17.03%
Wins by 3 goals8.52%
Wins by 4 goals3.34%
Wins by 5 goals1.07%
Brighton and Hove Albion
Wins by 1 goal13.68%
Wins by 2 goals5.13%
Wins by 3 goals1.40%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.35%26.65%
2.548.27%51.73%
3.526.50%73.50%
4.512.32%87.68%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.39%18.61%
1.550.10%49.90%
2.523.80%76.20%
3.59.05%90.95%
4.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals Brighton and Hove Albion Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.26%39.74%
1.523.59%76.41%
2.56.67%93.33%
3.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.06%29.94%
1.533.95%66.05%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score01234
0
7.39%
6.82%
3.15%
0.97%
0.22%
1
12.43%
11.47%
5.29%
1.63%
0.38%
2
10.46%
9.65%
4.45%
1.37%
0.32%
3
5.86%
5.41%
2.50%
0.77%
0.18%
4
2.46%
2.27%
1.05%
0.32%
0.07%
5
0.83%
0.76%
0.35%
0.11%
0.03%
Manchester City
1-012.43%
2-010.46%
2-19.65%
3-05.86%
3-15.41%
3-22.50%
4-02.46%
4-12.27%
4-21.05%
4-30.32%
5-00.83%
5-10.76%
5-20.35%
5-30.11%
Draw
0-07.39%
1-111.47%
2-24.45%
3-30.77%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-16.82%
0-23.15%
1-25.29%
0-30.97%
1-31.63%
2-31.37%
0-40.22%
1-40.38%
2-40.32%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
Score0123
0
29.94%
12.79%
2.73%
0.39%
1
23.31%
9.96%
2.13%
0.30%
2
9.08%
3.88%
0.83%
0.12%
3
2.36%
1.01%
0.22%
0.03%
4
0.46%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
Manchester City
1-023.31%
2-09.08%
2-13.88%
3-02.36%
3-11.01%
3-20.22%
4-00.46%
4-10.20%
Draw
0-029.94%
1-19.96%
2-20.83%
Brighton and Hove Albion
0-112.79%
0-22.73%
1-22.13%
0-30.39%
1-30.30%
2-30.12%