French Ligue 1 Predictions


All upcoming French Ligue 1 predictions are listed below which include our projections for odds to win, and total goals.

We also simulate out the entire 38 game Ligue 1 season to project who will win the league, qualify for Champions League, be relegated, etc. To see our most current simulation, scroll to the bottom of this page.

Week 9 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/5 Nice Toulouse Toulouse to win: 38.9% Toulouse +158 1.11 2.11
Nice to win: 31.3% Nice +220 0.99
Odds to Draw: 29.8% Draw +236
10/6 St Etienne Lille Lille to win: 38.3% Lille +162 0.97 1.86
St Etienne to win: 31.8% St Etienne +215 0.89
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
10/6 Dijon Amiens Amiens to win: 55.2% Amiens -124 1.71 2.64
Dijon to win: 18.8% Dijon +432 0.93
Odds to Draw: 26% Draw +285
10/6 Strasbourg Angers Angers to win: 55.7% Angers -126 1.59 2.46
Strasbourg to win: 18.5% Strasbourg +441 0.86
Odds to Draw: 25.8% Draw +288
10/6 Montpellier Guingamp Guingamp to win: 40.6% Guingamp +147 1.19 2.20
Montpellier to win: 29.8% Montpellier +236 1.01
Odds to Draw: 29.6% Draw +238
10/6 Reims Nimes Nimes to win: 41.1% Nimes +144 1.20 2.21
Reims to win: 29.3% Reims +242 1.00
Odds to Draw: 29.6% Draw +238
10/7 Nantes Bordeaux Bordeaux to win: 61.6% Bordeaux -161 1.63 2.39
Nantes to win: 14.9% Nantes +572 0.75
Odds to Draw: 23.5% Draw +326
10/7 Caen Marseille Marseille to win: 79.8% Marseille -396 2.37 2.95
Caen to win: 6.4% Caen +1463 0.57
Odds to Draw: 13.8% Draw +625
10/7 Rennes Monaco Monaco to win: 57.6% Monaco -136 1.86 2.80
Rennes to win: 17.3% Rennes +479 0.93
Odds to Draw: 25.1% Draw +299
10/7 Lyon Paris SG Paris SG to win: 66.9% Paris SG -203 2.39 3.27
Lyon to win: 12.1% Lyon +727 0.87
Odds to Draw: 21% Draw +377

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Week 10 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
10/19 Nimes Lyon Lyon to win: 78.6% Lyon -368 2.59 3.23
Nimes to win: 6.8% Nimes +1371 0.63
Odds to Draw: 14.6% Draw +585
10/20 Amiens Paris SG Paris SG to win: 85.2% Paris SG -576 2.99 3.53
Amiens to win: 4.4% Amiens +2173 0.54
Odds to Draw: 10.4% Draw +862
10/20 Guingamp Caen Caen to win: 43.1% Caen +133 1.25 2.23
Guingamp to win: 27.6% Guingamp +263 0.98
Odds to Draw: 29.3% Draw +242
10/20 Lille Dijon Dijon to win: 55.1% Dijon -123 1.57 2.44
Lille to win: 18.8% Lille +432 0.87
Odds to Draw: 26.1% Draw +284
10/20 Toulouse Nantes Nantes to win: 51.6% Nantes -107 1.30 2.11
Toulouse to win: 21.2% Toulouse +372 0.81
Odds to Draw: 27.2% Draw +268
10/20 Angers Reims Reims to win: 57.4% Reims -135 1.49 2.27
Angers to win: 17.4% Angers +475 0.78
Odds to Draw: 25.2% Draw +297
10/20 Monaco Strasbourg Strasbourg to win: 19% Strasbourg +427 1.02 2.91
Monaco to win: 54.8% Monaco -122 1.88
Odds to Draw: 26.2% Draw +282
10/21 Bordeaux Montpellier Montpellier to win: 42.7% Montpellier +135 1.21 2.18
Bordeaux to win: 28% Bordeaux +258 0.96
Odds to Draw: 29.3% Draw +242
10/21 Rennes St Etienne St Etienne to win: 38% St Etienne +164 1.03 1.99
Rennes to win: 32.1% Rennes +212 0.95
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
10/21 Marseille Nice Nice to win: 28.4% Nice +253 1.06 2.38
Marseille to win: 42.2% Marseille +137 1.32
Odds to Draw: 29.4% Draw +241

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Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below are the Ligue 1 table projections that we will updated throughout the season. Our projection below simulates where each team will end up in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 10/2/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Paris SG
8
0
0
24
30
3.2
4.7
94.8
Lyon
4
2
2
14
20
9.4
8.6
68.5
Marseille
4
3
1
13
18.8
11.1
8.1
64.4
Monaco
1
4
3
6
16.6
11.9
9.5
59.4
St Etienne
4
1
3
15
15.5
11.4
11.1
57.6
Nice
3
4
1
10
15.2
14.3
8.5
54.2
Lille
5
2
1
16
14.9
14.3
8.9
53.5
Bordeaux
3
3
2
11
14.4
14.1
9.5
52.7
Rennes
2
4
2
8
14.1
14.3
9.6
52
Montpellier
4
1
3
15
13.6
13.5
10.9
51.7
Toulouse
3
2
3
12
12.6
14.6
10.8
48.5
Angers
3
4
1
10
12.2
16.7
9
45.7
Caen
2
2
4
10
11
15.2
11.8
44.8
Reims
2
3
3
9
11.3
15.9
10.8
44.7
Dijon
3
4
1
10
12
17.8
8.2
44.1
Amiens
2
5
1
7
11.6
18
8.4
43.2
Strasbourg
3
3
2
11
11.2
17.7
9.2
42.7
Nimes
2
3
3
9
10.5
17.1
10.4
41.9
Nantes
1
4
3
6
10.1
17
10.9
41.3
Guingamp
1
6
1
4
10.7
18.8
8.4
40.6

Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

For the 2019-2020 Champions League season, the top three teams from the 2018-2019 Ligue 1 table will be invited. Although France used to get two invites to the Europa League, a change in the format now only allows one team to make the tournament (the 4th place team).

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Paris SG
100%
100%
0%
0%
Lyon
0%
71.9%
11.1%
0%
Marseille
0%
48.9%
17.7%
0.1%
Monaco
0%
23.9%
15.4%
1%
St Etienne
0%
16%
14.1%
1.3%
Nice
0%
9.9%
7%
2.9%
Lille
0%
6.9%
7.1%
2.4%
Bordeaux
0%
7.2%
6.3%
4.4%
Rennes
0%
5.5%
6.4%
6.4%
Montpellier
0%
4.5%
5.7%
5.1%
Toulouse
0%
2.1%
2.5%
10.7%
Angers
0%
0.6%
1%
19%
Caen
0%
0.7%
1%
21%
Reims
0%
0.4%
1.4%
23.9%
Dijon
0%
0.9%
0.8%
26.4%
Amiens
0%
0.2%
0.9%
26.8%
Strasbourg
0%
0.1%
0.9%
30.8%
Nimes
0%
0.2%
0.2%
36.7%
Nantes
0%
0%
0.3%
38.2%
Guingamp
0%
0.1%
0.2%
42.9%

Also note that for our relegation computation, we only take into account the probability of falling in the bottom three of the table. In Ligue 1, there is a relegation playoff for the 18th place team against a team from Ligue 2.