French Ligue 1 Predictions


All upcoming French Ligue 1 predictions are listed below which include our projections for odds to win, and total goals.

We also simulate out the entire 38 game Ligue 1 season to project who will win the league, qualify for Champions League, be relegated, etc. To see our most current simulation, scroll to the bottom of this page.

Week 1 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
8/10 Toulouse Marseille Marseille to win: 72.6% Marseille -265 2.02 2.67
Toulouse to win: 9.4% Toulouse +964 0.65
Odds to Draw: 18% Draw +456
8/11 Monaco Nantes Nantes to win: 21.7% Nantes +361 0.97 2.53
Monaco to win: 50.8% Monaco -104 1.56
Odds to Draw: 27.5% Draw +264
8/11 Nimes Angers Angers to win: 48.6% Angers +106 1.34 2.24
Nimes to win: 23.3% Nimes +330 0.90
Odds to Draw: 28.1% Draw +256
8/11 Rennes Lille Lille to win: 25.8% Lille +288 0.90 2.11
Rennes to win: 45.3% Rennes +121 1.21
Odds to Draw: 28.9% Draw +247
8/11 Dijon Montpellier Montpellier to win: 58.4% Montpellier -141 1.73 2.59
Dijon to win: 16.8% Dijon +496 0.86
Odds to Draw: 24.8% Draw +304
8/11 Reims Nice Nice to win: 53.6% Nice -116 1.55 2.44
Reims to win: 19.8% Reims +406 0.89
Odds to Draw: 26.6% Draw +276
8/11 Guingamp St Etienne St Etienne to win: 57.8% St Etienne -137 1.60 2.42
Guingamp to win: 17.2% Guingamp +482 0.82
Odds to Draw: 25% Draw +300
8/12 Amiens Lyon Lyon to win: 74.2% Lyon -288 2.20 2.86
Amiens to win: 8.7% Amiens +1050 0.65
Odds to Draw: 17.1% Draw +485
8/12 Strasbourg Bordeaux Bordeaux to win: 65.2% Bordeaux -188 1.97 2.76
Strasbourg to win: 13% Strasbourg +670 0.79
Odds to Draw: 21.8% Draw +359
8/12 Caen Paris SG Paris SG to win: 90.6% Paris SG -964 3.10 3.53
Caen to win: 2.6% Caen +3747 0.43
Odds to Draw: 6.8% Draw +1371

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Week 2 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
8/17 Lyon Reims Reims to win: 24.6% Reims +307 1.04 2.53
Lyon to win: 46.9% Lyon +114 1.49
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251
8/18 Paris SG Guingamp Guingamp to win: 7.9% Guingamp +1166 0.67 3.21
Paris SG to win: 76.2% Paris SG -321 2.53
Odds to Draw: 15.9% Draw +529
8/18 Montpellier Amiens Amiens to win: 49.5% Amiens +103 1.30 2.16
Montpellier to win: 22.7% Montpellier +341 0.85
Odds to Draw: 27.8% Draw +260
8/18 Nice Caen Caen to win: 22.5% Caen +345 0.91 2.33
Nice to win: 49.7% Nice +102 1.41
Odds to Draw: 27.8% Draw +260
8/18 Nantes Dijon Dijon to win: 44.7% Dijon +124 1.27 2.22
Nantes to win: 26.3% Nantes +281 0.95
Odds to Draw: 29% Draw +245
8/18 Lille Monaco Monaco to win: 75.4% Monaco -307 2.31 2.96
Lille to win: 8.2% Lille +1120 0.65
Odds to Draw: 16.4% Draw +510
8/18 Angers Rennes Rennes to win: 64.2% Rennes -180 1.70 2.43
Angers to win: 13.5% Angers +641 0.72
Odds to Draw: 22.3% Draw +349
8/19 St Etienne Strasbourg Strasbourg to win: 33.1% Strasbourg +203 1.02 2.10
St Etienne to win: 36.9% St Etienne +172 1.08
Odds to Draw: 30% Draw +234
8/19 Bordeaux Toulouse Toulouse to win: 37.2% Toulouse +169 1.05 2.04
Bordeaux to win: 32.9% Bordeaux +204 0.99
Odds to Draw: 29.9% Draw +235
8/19 Marseille Nimes Nimes to win: 21.5% Nimes +366 0.94 2.49
Marseille to win: 51.2% Marseille -105 1.54
Odds to Draw: 27.3% Draw +267

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Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below are the Ligue 1 table projections that we will updated throughout the season. Our projection below simulates where each team will end up in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 8/8/2018.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Paris SG
0
0
0
0
27.9
4.1
6
89.6
Lyon
0
0
0
0
20.7
9
8.3
70.3
Monaco
0
0
0
0
19.8
9.7
8.5
67.9
Marseille
0
0
0
0
18.4
10.3
9.3
64.6
Nice
0
0
0
0
15.8
12.7
9.6
56.8
Rennes
0
0
0
0
14.5
13.6
9.9
53.3
Bordeaux
0
0
0
0
14.5
13.7
9.8
53.3
St Etienne
0
0
0
0
14.3
13.3
10.5
53.3
Montpellier
0
0
0
0
13.2
14.8
9.9
49.6
Toulouse
0
0
0
0
12
15.9
10
46.1
Amiens
0
0
0
0
11.9
15.8
10.2
46.1
Lille
0
0
0
0
11.9
15.8
10.3
46
Angers
0
0
0
0
11.9
16
10.1
45.9
Reims
0
0
0
0
11.9
16.3
9.8
45.5
Guingamp
0
0
0
0
12
16.5
9.5
45.4
Nantes
0
0
0
0
11.7
16.1
10.1
45.3
Caen
0
0
0
0
11.5
16.8
9.7
44.3
Dijon
0
0
0
0
10.8
18
9.2
41.6
Nimes
0
0
0
0
10.3
18.2
9.5
40.5
Strasbourg
0
0
0
0
10.2
18.6
9.2
39.8

Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

For the 2019-2020 Champions League season, the top three teams from the 2018-2019 Ligue 1 table will be invited. Although France used to get two invites to the Europa League, a change in the format now only allows one team to make the tournament (the 4th place team).

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Paris SG
91.3%
99.6%
0.4%
0%
Lyon
4.5%
66.8%
13.4%
0%
Monaco
2.9%
53.6%
18%
0.2%
Marseille
1%
39.3%
17.3%
0.3%
Nice
0.3%
10.8%
11.9%
2.4%
Rennes
0%
5.6%
8%
4%
Bordeaux
0%
6.2%
7%
5.2%
St Etienne
0%
6.6%
7.1%
4.1%
Montpellier
0%
3.4%
3.5%
10.5%
Toulouse
0%
1.2%
1.9%
16.9%
Amiens
0%
0.9%
2.1%
19.8%
Lille
0%
1.4%
1.3%
16.5%
Angers
0%
0.5%
0.9%
17.9%
Reims
0%
1.6%
1.2%
19.4%
Guingamp
0%
0.8%
1.7%
21.3%
Nantes
0%
0.5%
1.2%
18.4%
Caen
0%
0.3%
1.4%
23.5%
Dijon
0%
0.4%
0.7%
34.2%
Nimes
0%
0.2%
0.6%
41.1%
Strasbourg
0%
0.3%
0.4%
44.3%

Also note that for our relegation computation, we only take into account the probability of falling in the bottom three of the table. In Ligue 1, there is a relegation playoff for the 18th place team against a team from Ligue 2.