French Ligue 1 Predictions


All upcoming French Ligue 1 predictions are listed below which include our projections for odds to win, and total goals.

We also simulate out the entire 38 game Ligue 1 season to project who will win the league, qualify for Champions League, be relegated, etc. To see our most current simulation, scroll to the bottom of this page.

Makeup Game French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
4/17 Paris SG Nantes Nantes to win: 8% Nantes +1150 0.64 2.99
Paris SG to win: 75.9% Paris SG -315 2.34
Odds to Draw: 16.1% Draw +522

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Week 33 French Ligue 1 Game Predictions

Date Away Home Odds to Win ML Prediction Score Proj Total Goals
4/19 Rennes Dijon Dijon to win: 22.7% Dijon +341 0.96 2.45
Rennes to win: 49.4% Rennes +103 1.48
Odds to Draw: 27.9% Draw +259
4/19 Angers Lyon Lyon to win: 80.8% Lyon -421 2.52 3.10
Angers to win: 6% Angers +1567 0.57
Odds to Draw: 13.2% Draw +658
4/20 Marseille Guingamp Guingamp to win: 20.9% Guingamp +379 0.94 2.52
Marseille to win: 52% Marseille -109 1.57
Odds to Draw: 27.1% Draw +270
4/20 Caen Nice Nice to win: 65.1% Nice -187 1.77 2.50
Caen to win: 13% Caen +670 0.73
Odds to Draw: 21.9% Draw +357
4/20 Bordeaux Nimes Nimes to win: 27.4% Nimes +265 0.99 2.28
Bordeaux to win: 43.4% Bordeaux +131 1.28
Odds to Draw: 29.2% Draw +243
4/20 Montpellier Strasbourg Strasbourg to win: 30.9% Strasbourg +224 1.04 2.23
Montpellier to win: 39.3% Montpellier +155 1.18
Odds to Draw: 29.8% Draw +236
4/21 Amiens Nantes Nantes to win: 50.2% Nantes -101 1.23 2.04
Amiens to win: 22.2% Amiens +351 0.80
Odds to Draw: 27.6% Draw +263
4/21 Lille Toulouse Toulouse to win: 47% Toulouse +113 1.20 2.05
Lille to win: 24.5% Lille +309 0.85
Odds to Draw: 28.5% Draw +251
4/21 St Etienne Reims Reims to win: 47.8% Reims +110 1.25 2.11
St Etienne to win: 23.9% St Etienne +319 0.86
Odds to Draw: 28.3% Draw +254
4/21 Monaco Paris SG Paris SG to win: 82.2% Paris SG -462 3.07 3.69
Monaco to win: 5.5% Monaco +1719 0.62
Odds to Draw: 12.3% Draw +714

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Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Wins, Losses, Points

Below are the Ligue 1 table projections that we will updated throughout the season. Our projection below simulates where each team will end up in regards to the final season table. It provides probabilities for wins, losses, ties, points, and more.

Last simulation was done on 3/22/2019.

Actual Projected
Team Wins Losses Draws Points Wins Losses Draws Points
Paris SG
25
1
2
77
32.4
2
3.5
100.9
Lyon
15
6
8
53
20
8
10
70
Lille
17
6
6
57
19.6
10
8.3
67.3
Marseille
14
10
5
47
18.8
12
7.2
63.5
St Etienne
13
9
7
46
16.7
11.8
9.4
59.6
Reims
11
5
13
46
13.7
9.1
15.2
56.4
Rennes
11
9
8
41
15
12.3
10.8
55.6
Nice
11
10
8
41
14.6
13.3
10.1
53.8
Montpellier
10
7
12
42
13.2
10.6
14.3
53.7
Strasbourg
9
8
12
39
11.5
12.3
14.2
48.8
Nimes
10
11
7
37
12.6
16
9.4
47.1
Bordeaux
8
11
10
34
11.4
14.1
12.5
46.8
Monaco
7
13
9
30
11.7
15.5
10.9
45.8
Angers
8
9
12
36
10.3
13.4
14.3
45.2
Nantes
8
13
7
31
11
17.4
9.5
42.6
Toulouse
7
11
11
32
9.7
14.9
13.4
42.5
Amiens
8
16
5
29
11.2
19.5
7.3
40.9
Guingamp
5
17
7
22
7.7
21
9.2
32.4
Dijon
5
18
6
21
8
22
8.1
32
Caen
3
15
11
20
5.5
19.2
13.3
29.8

Ligue 1 Season Prediction – Probability to win Title, Relegation

For the 2019-2020 Champions League season, the top three teams from the 2018-2019 Ligue 1 table will be invited. Although France used to get two invites to the Europa League, a change in the format now only allows one team to make the tournament (the 4th place team).

Probability to Win/Advance/Be Demoted
Team Premiership Champs Lg Europa Lg Relegation
Paris SG
100%
100%
0%
0%
Lyon
0%
90.8%
7.6%
0%
Lille
0%
75.6%
18.7%
0%
Marseille
0%
24.1%
45.5%
0%
St Etienne
0%
6.3%
14.9%
0%
Reims
0%
1.3%
4.4%
0%
Rennes
0%
1.4%
4.1%
0%
Nice
0%
0.1%
1.7%
0%
Montpellier
0%
0.4%
2.8%
0%
Strasbourg
0%
0%
0.2%
0%
Nimes
0%
0%
0.1%
0%
Bordeaux
0%
0%
0%
0.2%
Monaco
0%
0%
0%
0.4%
Angers
0%
0%
0%
0.6%
Nantes
0%
0%
0%
3.7%
Toulouse
0%
0%
0%
3.5%
Amiens
0%
0%
0%
11%
Guingamp
0%
0%
0%
90.9%
Dijon
0%
0%
0%
92.8%
Caen
0%
0%
0%
96.9%

Also note that for our relegation computation, we only take into account the probability of falling in the bottom three of the table. In Ligue 1, there is a relegation playoff for the 18th place team against a team from Ligue 2.