France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 12, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Nantes
Angers 		15.7%
63.2%		21.1%
+220
+132

0.86
1.96		2.82
o2¼-105
u2¼-115

Games for Dec 11, 2025
Games for Dec 13, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Paris Saint-Germain
Monaco		48.1%
27.2%		24.7%
-147
+365
-150
+360
0
1		-1.57118-1.56830-1.30063
Rennes
Metz		35.9%
35.7%		28.4%
-105
+272
+103
+250
1
0		-0.70453-0.75205-1.02544
Paris FC
Lille		14.0%
65.0%		20.9%
+410
-148
+385
-140
2
4		-0.54948-0.57478-0.43004
Lorient
Nantes		20.5%
56.1%		23.4%
+144
+205
+143
+200
1
1		-1.25513-1.25141-1.45350
Angers
Toulouse		13.0%
68.3%		18.7%
+490
-147
+450
-150
1
0		-1.80576-1.75210-2.04346
Metz
Brest		17.0%
61.2%		21.8%
+365
-121
+352
-130
2
3		-0.62642-0.61897-0.49075
Lyon
Auxerre		40.7%
32.7%		26.6%
+100
+315
+105
+275
0
0		-1.27083-1.29218-1.32471
Le Havre
Paris Saint-Germain		2.1%
91.1%		6.8%
+1200
-455
+1200
-500
0
3		-0.23369-0.22498-0.09337
Monaco
Rennes		49.5%
26.1%		24.4%
+179
+147
+165
+150
1
4		-0.93935-0.96635-1.34201
Strasbourg
Lens		23.1%
52.3%		24.5%
+240
+115
+225
+115
0
1		-0.80033-0.81119-0.64743
Marseille
Nice		31.7%
40.3%		28.0%
-105
+286
-110
+287
5
1		-0.70492-0.69435-1.14926
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon		62.0%
17.3%		20.7%
-127
+500
-160
+480
3
2		-0.54435-0.51671-0.47792
Nice
Metz		38.4%
32.8%		28.8%
+133
+228
+120
+210
1
2		-1.19435-1.18123-1.11602
Lille
Strasbourg		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+154
+180
+150
+170
0
2		-1.05051-1.04401-1.13834
Auxerre
Angers		36.2%
35.7%		28.1%
+207
+159
+210
+159
0
2		-0.98548-0.99282-1.03030
Toulouse
Lorient		43.9%
29.9%		26.2%
+146
+215
+145
+200
1
1		-1.22268-1.22670-1.33789
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.10184 
Sportsbooks31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.10527 
DRatings31-1-1 (0.500)0-1.02987
0.07197
0.07541

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.