France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+106
+245
-105
+260
1.61
1.15		2.76
o3-118
u3¼-118
o3-105
u3-105
Volatility Bet Value Active
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+194
+150
+187
+140
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-102
u2¾-109
o2½-130
u2½+130
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Strasbourg
Lens		23.1%
52.3%		24.5%
+240
+115
+225
+115
0
1		-0.80033-0.81119-0.64743
Marseille
Nice		31.7%
40.3%		28.0%
-105
+286
-110
+287
5
1		-0.70492-0.69435-1.14926
Paris Saint-Germain
Lyon		62.0%
17.3%		20.7%
-127
+500
-160
+480
3
2		-0.54435-0.51671-0.47792
Nice
Metz		38.4%
32.8%		28.8%
+133
+228
+120
+210
1
2		-1.19435-1.18123-1.11602
Lille
Strasbourg		40.1%
32.0%		27.9%
+154
+180
+150
+170
0
2		-1.05051-1.04401-1.13834
Auxerre
Angers		36.2%
35.7%		28.1%
+207
+159
+210
+159
0
2		-0.98548-0.99282-1.03030
Toulouse
Lorient		43.9%
29.9%		26.2%
+146
+215
+145
+200
1
1		-1.22268-1.22670-1.33789
Lens
Monaco		9.2%
75.9%		14.9%
+265
+103
+260
-104
4
1		-1.31748-1.32716-2.38673
Nantes
Le Havre		47.4%
25.0%		27.6%
+405
-115
+385
-125
1
1		-1.26709-1.28866-1.28717
Brest
Marseille		19.9%
57.2%		22.9%
+580
-204
+600
-215
0
3		-0.42714-0.41939-0.55832
Rennes
Paris FC		35.6%
35.7%		28.8%
+213
+132
+210
+127
1
0		-1.16745-1.17522-1.03395
Lyon
Brest		34.1%
39.2%		26.7%
+120
+261
+115
+250
0
0		-1.24911-1.25713-1.32081
Metz
Nantes		23.7%
50.6%		25.8%
+252
+113
+258
+110
2
0		-1.29008-1.31576-1.44151
Angers
Lille		11.2%
70.8%		18.0%
+775
-275
+800
-275
0
1		-0.34479-0.33935-0.34504
Lorient
Lens		18.2%
59.8%		21.9%
+488
-171
+520
-180
0
3		-0.49353-0.47787-0.51361
Le Havre
Toulouse		7.4%
77.7%		15.0%
+445
-134
+390
-130
0
0		-1.34037-1.34715-1.89825
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.