We started predicting La Liga games in 2013 using data from previous games to come up with our estimates. These La Liga predictions don’t account for weather, injuries, red cards or any other factors that may be cause the result of the game to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more information about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer
As the La Liga season rolls on, we also project how the teams will finish at the end of the campaign. For our latest season projections, scroll to the bottom of this page.
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Week 17 Spain La Liga Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/13 | Leganes | Alaves | Alaves to win: 53.3% | Alaves -115 | 1.27 | 2.04 |
| Leganes to win: 20% | Leganes +400 | 0.76 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.7% | Draw +275 | — | ||||
| 12/14 | Levante | Granada CF | Granada CF to win: 54% | Granada CF -118 | 1.59 | 2.49 |
| Levante to win: 19.6% | Levante +411 | 0.90 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.4% | Draw +279 | — | ||||
| 12/14 | Barcelona | Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad to win: 18.5% | Real Sociedad +441 | 1.05 | 3.04 |
| Barcelona to win: 55.7% | Barcelona -126 | 1.99 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 25.8% | Draw +288 | — | ||||
| 12/14 | Eibar | Ath Bilbao | Ath Bilbao to win: 58.7% | Ath Bilbao -143 | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Eibar to win: 16.6% | Eibar +503 | 0.83 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.7% | Draw +305 | — | ||||
| 12/14 | Osasuna | Atl. Madrid | Atl. Madrid to win: 65.5% | Atl. Madrid -190 | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| Osasuna to win: 12.8% | Osasuna +682 | 0.68 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 21.7% | Draw +361 | — | ||||
| 12/15 | Valladolid | Getafe | Getafe to win: 67.2% | Getafe -205 | 1.76 | 2.45 |
| Valladolid to win: 12% | Valladolid +734 | 0.68 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 20.8% | Draw +381 | — | ||||
| 12/15 | Mallorca | Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo to win: 52.2% | Celta Vigo -110 | 1.45 | 2.34 |
| Mallorca to win: 20.8% | Mallorca +381 | 0.88 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27% | Draw +271 | — | ||||
| 12/15 | Betis | Espanyol | Espanyol to win: 75.9% | Espanyol -315 | 2.22 | 2.85 |
| Betis to win: 8% | Betis +1150 | 0.62 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 16.1% | Draw +522 | — | ||||
| 12/15 | Villarreal | Sevilla | Sevilla to win: 54.1% | Sevilla -118 | 1.67 | 2.61 |
| Villarreal to win: 19.5% | Villarreal +413 | 0.94 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.4% | Draw +279 | — | ||||
| 12/15 | Real Madrid | Valencia | Valencia to win: 42.8% | Valencia +134 | 1.59 | 2.83 |
| Real Madrid to win: 27.9% | Real Madrid +259 | 1.24 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.3% | Draw +242 | — |
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Makeup Gmae and Week 18 Spain La Liga Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/18 | Real Madrid | Barcelona | Barcelona to win: 63.7% | Barcelona -176 | 2.53 | 3.55 |
| Real Madrid to win: 13.8% | Real Madrid +625 | 1.01 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 22.5% | Draw +345 | — | ||||
| 12/20 | Granada CF | Eibar | Eibar to win: 34.3% | Eibar +192 | 1.05 | 2.12 |
| Granada CF to win: 35.7% | Granada CF +181 | 1.07 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 30% | Draw +234 | — | ||||
| 12/21 | Sevilla | Mallorca | Mallorca to win: 23.4% | Mallorca +328 | 0.91 | 2.28 |
| Sevilla to win: 48.5% | Sevilla +107 | 1.36 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.1% | Draw +256 | — | ||||
| 12/21 | Alaves | Barcelona | Barcelona to win: 83% | Barcelona -489 | 2.70 | 3.26 |
| Alaves to win: 5.2% | Alaves +1824 | 0.55 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 11.8% | Draw +748 | — | ||||
| 12/21 | Getafe | Villarreal | Villarreal to win: 53.2% | Villarreal -114 | 1.45 | 2.30 |
| Getafe to win: 20.1% | Getafe +398 | 0.85 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.7% | Draw +275 | — | ||||
| 12/21 | Valencia | Valladolid | Valladolid to win: 21.5% | Valladolid +366 | 0.92 | 2.42 |
| Valencia to win: 51.2% | Valencia -105 | 1.49 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27.3% | Draw +267 | — | ||||
| 12/22 | Espanyol | Leganes | Leganes to win: 15.4% | Leganes +550 | 0.77 | 2.40 |
| Espanyol to win: 60.7% | Espanyol -155 | 1.63 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.9% | Draw +319 | — | ||||
| 12/22 | Real Sociedad | Osasuna | Osasuna to win: 43% | Osasuna +133 | 1.24 | 2.22 |
| Real Sociedad to win: 27.7% | Real Sociedad +262 | 0.98 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.3% | Draw +242 | — | ||||
| 12/22 | Atl. Madrid | Betis | Betis to win: 24.6% | Betis +307 | 0.92 | 2.23 |
| Atl. Madrid to win: 46.9% | Atl. Madrid +114 | 1.30 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.5% | Draw +251 | — | ||||
| 12/22 | Celta Vigo | Levante | Levante to win: 63.5% | Levante -174 | 1.98 | 2.81 |
| Celta Vigo to win: 13.9% | Celta Vigo +620 | 0.83 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 22.6% | Draw +343 | — | ||||
| 12/22 | Ath Bilbao | Real Madrid | Real Madrid to win: 67% | Real Madrid -204 | 2.27 | 3.11 |
| Ath Bilbao to win: 12.1% | Ath Bilbao +727 | 0.83 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 20.9% | Draw +379 | — |
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