We started predicting La Liga games in 2013 using data from previous games to come up with our estimates. These La Liga predictions don’t account for weather, injuries, red cards or any other factors that may be cause the result of the game to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more information about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer
As the La Liga season rolls on, we also project how the teams will finish at the end of the campaign. For our latest season projections, scroll to the bottom of this page.
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Week 15 Spain La Liga Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/29 | Valladolid | Celta Vigo | Celta Vigo to win: 52.2% | Celta Vigo -110 | 1.57 | 2.50 |
| Valladolid to win: 20.8% | Valladolid +381 | 0.93 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27% | Draw +271 | — | ||||
| 11/30 | Real Madrid | Alaves | Alaves to win: 19.7% | Alaves +408 | 0.97 | 2.70 |
| Real Madrid to win: 53.8% | Real Madrid -117 | 1.72 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.5% | Draw +278 | — | ||||
| 11/30 | Eibar | Real Sociedad | Real Sociedad to win: 61.8% | Real Sociedad -162 | 1.87 | 2.71 |
| Eibar to win: 14.8% | Eibar +576 | 0.83 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.4% | Draw +328 | — | ||||
| 11/30 | Betis | Mallorca | Mallorca to win: 43.9% | Mallorca +128 | 1.19 | 2.10 |
| Betis to win: 27% | Betis +271 | 0.91 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.1% | Draw +244 | — | ||||
| 11/30 | Villarreal | Valencia | Valencia to win: 55.9% | Valencia -127 | 1.67 | 2.57 |
| Villarreal to win: 18.3% | Villarreal +447 | 0.89 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 25.8% | Draw +288 | — | ||||
| 12/1 | Leganes | Sevilla | Sevilla to win: 69% | Sevilla -223 | 1.97 | 2.68 |
| Leganes to win: 11.1% | Leganes +801 | 0.71 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 19.9% | Draw +403 | — | ||||
| 12/1 | Granada CF | Ath Bilbao | Ath Bilbao to win: 45.5% | Ath Bilbao +120 | 1.29 | 2.25 |
| Granada CF to win: 25.7% | Granada CF +290 | 0.95 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.8% | Draw +248 | — | ||||
| 12/1 | Osasuna | Espanyol | Espanyol to win: 72.1% | Espanyol -259 | 1.94 | 2.58 |
| Osasuna to win: 9.6% | Osasuna +942 | 0.64 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 18.3% | Draw +447 | — | ||||
| 12/1 | Levante | Getafe | Getafe to win: 55.2% | Getafe -124 | 1.53 | 2.38 |
| Levante to win: 18.8% | Levante +432 | 0.85 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26% | Draw +285 | — | ||||
| 12/1 | Barcelona | Atl. Madrid | Atl. Madrid to win: 27.7% | Atl. Madrid +262 | 1.11 | 2.54 |
| Barcelona to win: 43% | Barcelona +133 | 1.42 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.3% | Draw +242 | — |
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Week 16 Spain La Liga Predictions
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/6 | Atl. Madrid | Villarreal | Villarreal to win: 41.8% | Villarreal +140 | 1.14 | 2.07 |
| Atl. Madrid to win: 28.7% | Atl. Madrid +249 | 0.93 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.5% | Draw +239 | — | ||||
| 12/7 | Espanyol | Real Madrid | Real Madrid to win: 45.5% | Real Madrid +120 | 1.62 | 2.80 |
| Espanyol to win: 25.7% | Espanyol +290 | 1.17 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.8% | Draw +248 | — | ||||
| 12/7 | Alaves | Granada CF | Granada CF to win: 62.9% | Granada CF -170 | 1.61 | 2.34 |
| Alaves to win: 14.2% | Alaves +605 | 0.72 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 22.9% | Draw +337 | — | ||||
| 12/7 | Valencia | Levante | Levante to win: 36.7% | Levante +173 | 1.17 | 2.28 |
| Valencia to win: 33.3% | Valencia +201 | 1.11 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 30% | Draw +234 | — | ||||
| 12/7 | Mallorca | Barcelona | Barcelona to win: 85% | Barcelona -567 | 2.80 | 3.32 |
| Mallorca to win: 4.5% | Mallorca +2123 | 0.52 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 10.5% | Draw +853 | — | ||||
| 12/8 | Getafe | Eibar | Eibar to win: 32.8% | Eibar +205 | 0.98 | 2.03 |
| Getafe to win: 37.3% | Getafe +169 | 1.05 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.9% | Draw +235 | — | ||||
| 12/8 | Ath Bilbao | Betis | Betis to win: 40.8% | Betis +146 | 1.22 | 2.24 |
| Ath Bilbao to win: 29.6% | Ath Bilbao +238 | 1.02 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.6% | Draw +238 | — | ||||
| 12/8 | Real Sociedad | Valladolid | Valladolid to win: 29.7% | Valladolid +237 | 1.03 | 2.26 |
| Real Sociedad to win: 40.7% | Real Sociedad +146 | 1.23 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.6% | Draw +238 | — | ||||
| 12/8 | Celta Vigo | Leganes | Leganes to win: 53.2% | Leganes -114 | 1.53 | 2.43 |
| Celta Vigo to win: 20.1% | Celta Vigo +398 | 0.89 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.7% | Draw +275 | — | ||||
| 12/8 | Sevilla | Osasuna | Osasuna to win: 34.6% | Osasuna +190 | 1.05 | 2.12 |
| Sevilla to win: 35.4% | Sevilla +183 | 1.06 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 30% | Draw +234 | — |
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