Atletico Madrid at Villarreal

Updated

Atletico Madrid

34.9%27.6%37.5%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawVillarreal Win
1.18Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 5

Villarreal

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Girona-125
W 2-1 at Osasuna+160
L 1-0 vs Celta Vigo-120
W 2-0 at Valencia+360
W 2-3 vs Athletic Club-105
Villarreal
Money Line
L 0-2 at Rayo Vallecano+265
L 3-2 vs Sevilla+115
T 1-1 at Mallorca+195
W 1-5 vs Levante-145
W 1-2 vs Celta Vigo-108

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+148+160+153+161+153+161+161+170.1
Villarreal+148+150+153+156+153+156+156+164.9
Draw+305+285+280+283+284+283+285+296.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+170-+157--+160+160+170.1
Villarreal+145-+152--+150+152+164.9
Draw+270-+283--+275+283+296.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +160 to +152
Villarreal ML moved from +162 to +153

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 10.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Villarreal: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +170 to +160
No Steam Moves On Villarreal ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-110o3½-101o3½-108o3½-105o3½-106o3½-105o3½-101o3½+104
Underu3¼-110u3½-110u3½-112u3½-115u3½-113u3½-115u3½-110u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-145o3½+100o3½+100--o3½-105o3½+100o3½+104
Underu3+125u3½-120u3½-120--u3½-115u3½-115u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-114 to o3½-106
The Under moved from u3½-113 to u3¼-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-140 to o3½-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.02%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.59%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.71%
Exactly 320.93%
Exactly 56.05%
Exactly 70.83%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 030.85%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 221.33%
Exactly 38.36%
Exactly 42.46%
Exactly 50.58%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 029.25%
Exactly 135.96%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 42.78%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.84%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 42.10%
 
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 37.56%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 058.01%
Exactly 131.59%
Exactly 28.60%
Exactly 31.56%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 056.60%
Exactly 132.21%
Exactly 29.17%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals14.51%
Wins by 3+ goals4.66%
Wins by 4+ goals1.20%
Wins by 5+ goals0.24%
Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals16.16%
Wins by 3+ goals5.40%
Wins by 4+ goals1.44%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal20.37%
Wins by 2 goals9.85%
Wins by 3 goals3.47%
Wins by 4 goals0.95%
Wins by 5 goals0.21%
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal21.29%
Wins by 2 goals10.76%
Wins by 3 goals3.96%
Wins by 4 goals1.14%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.98%9.02%
1.569.27%30.73%
2.543.17%56.83%
3.522.24%77.76%
4.59.65%90.35%
5.53.60%96.40%
6.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.15%30.85%
1.532.87%67.13%
2.511.54%88.46%
3.53.17%96.83%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.75%29.25%
1.534.79%65.21%
2.512.69%87.31%
3.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.16%32.84%
1.530.60%69.40%
2.510.23%89.77%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score012345
0
9.02%
11.09%
6.82%
2.79%
0.86%
0.21%
1
10.61%
13.05%
8.02%
3.29%
1.01%
0.25%
2
6.24%
7.67%
4.71%
1.93%
0.59%
0.15%
3
2.45%
3.01%
1.85%
0.76%
0.23%
0.06%
4
0.72%
0.88%
0.54%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.21%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-010.61%
2-06.24%
2-17.67%
3-02.45%
3-13.01%
3-21.85%
4-00.72%
4-10.88%
4-20.54%
4-30.22%
5-00.17%
5-10.21%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-09.02%
1-113.05%
2-24.71%
3-30.76%
Villarreal
0-111.09%
0-26.82%
1-28.02%
0-32.79%
1-33.29%
2-31.93%
0-40.86%
1-41.01%
2-40.59%
3-40.23%
0-50.21%
1-50.25%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Villarreal
Score01234
0
32.84%
18.69%
5.32%
1.01%
0.14%
1
17.88%
10.18%
2.90%
0.55%
0.08%
2
4.87%
2.77%
0.79%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.88%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.12%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-017.88%
2-04.87%
2-12.77%
3-00.88%
3-10.50%
3-20.14%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-032.84%
1-110.18%
2-20.79%
Villarreal
0-118.69%
0-25.32%
1-22.90%
0-31.01%
1-30.55%
2-30.15%
0-40.14%