Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Estoril		69.9%
11.7%		18.5%
-435
+1070
-450
+1000
3
1		-0.24557-0.25132-0.35881
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		9.3%
74.9%		15.8%
+1308
-526
+1300
-550
0
3		-0.21405-0.21671-0.28899
Alverca
Famalicao		19.3%
59.0%		21.6%
+530
-185
+500
-190
0
1		-0.47332-0.47329-0.52692
Tondela
Arouca		39.1%
33.5%		27.3%
+136
+210
+135
+200
1
3		-1.16373-1.14621-1.09231
Rio Ave
Casa Pia AC		22.0%
48.9%		29.1%
+342
-112
+330
-115
1
1		-1.29015-1.31490-1.23350
Vitoria
Nacional		25.6%
46.8%		27.5%
+244
+118
+285
+105
0
2		-0.81864-0.76718-0.75888
Estrela
Braga		18.5%
61.0%		20.5%
+379
-137
+365
-145
2
2		-1.42816-1.46054-1.58528
AVS
Moreirense		24.1%
49.3%		26.6%
+254
+115
+260
+110
0
0		-1.28139-1.26012-1.32531
Santa Clara
Porto		12.4%
69.2%		18.3%
+1040
-389
+950
-360
0
1		-0.27233-0.29558-0.36766
Arouca
Gil Vicente FC		20.8%
53.2%		25.9%
+500
-179
+480
-170
3
1		-1.85132-1.80862-1.56820
Famalicao
Estrela		48.1%
26.0%		25.8%
+102
+290
+100
+290
0
0		-1.24698-1.27307-1.35390
Sporting CP
Rio Ave		73.9%
9.0%		17.1%
-525
+1000
-535
+1160
4
1		-0.24093-0.22263-0.30296
Casa Pia AC
Vitoria		21.8%
55.9%		22.3%
+390
-143
+400
-140
1
0		-1.65016-1.65821-1.52294
Braga
Benfica		12.4%
69.8%		17.7%
+650
-265
+680
-260
2
2		-1.64248-1.65052-1.73031
Nacional
Santa Clara		26.5%
48.0%		25.5%
+230
+131
+230
+130
0
2		-0.88455-0.88201-0.73416
Estoril
Alverca		33.0%
37.4%		29.6%
+164
+162
+180
+140
1
1		-1.30826-1.33124-1.21584
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).