The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations). FC Porto, the champions for the 2017-18 year will defend the title in the upcoming season, which begins in August.
The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Portuguese Liga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer
Also note, that the Predictor should be used for entertainment purposes only. However, if you do wish to gamble on the Liga, then I suggest checking out our Sportsbook page: Sportsbook Reviews.
All upcoming Portuguese Liga money line predictions are listed below along with the Index’s picks for the odds to win each of the Portuguese Liga games straight-up (SU).
Portuguese Liga Computer Predictions – Donchess Inference Ratings
Portuguese Liga Game Predictions – Week 1
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/9 | Belenenses | Portimonense | Portimonense to win: 53.2% | Portimonense -114 | 1.69 | 2.67 |
| Belenenses to win: 20.1% | Belenenses +398 | 0.97 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.7% | Draw +275 | — | ||||
| 8/10 | Famalicao | Santa Clara | Santa Clara to win: 67.9% | Santa Clara -212 | 1.87 | 2.57 |
| Famalicao to win: 11.6% | Famalicao +763 | 0.70 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 20.5% | Draw +388 | — | ||||
| 8/10 | FC Porto | Gil Vicente | Gil Vicente to win: 9.8% | Gil Vicente +921 | 0.69 | 2.82 |
| FC Porto to win: 71.6% | FC Porto -253 | 2.13 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 18.6% | Draw +438 | — | ||||
| 8/10 | Ferreira | Benfica | Benfica to win: 83% | Benfica -489 | 2.67 | 3.23 |
| Ferreira to win: 5.2% | Ferreira +1824 | 0.55 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 11.8% | Draw +748 | — | ||||
| 8/11 | Aves | Boavista | Boavista to win: 52% | Boavista -109 | 1.29 | 2.10 |
| Aves to win: 20.9% | Aves +379 | 0.80 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27.1% | Draw +270 | — | ||||
| 8/11 | Sporting | Maritimo | Maritimo to win: 8.9% | Maritimo +1024 | 0.65 | 2.79 |
| Sporting to win: 73.8% | Sporting -282 | 2.14 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 17.3% | Draw +479 | — | ||||
| 8/11 | Guimaraes | Rio Ave | Rio Ave to win: 39.3% | Rio Ave +155 | 1.19 | 2.24 |
| Guimaraes to win: 30.9% | Guimaraes +224 | 1.04 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.8% | Draw +236 | — | ||||
| 8/11 | Moreirense | Braga | Braga to win: 73.5% | Braga -278 | 2.10 | 2.74 |
| Moreirense to win: 9% | Moreirense +1012 | 0.64 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 17.5% | Draw +472 | — | ||||
| 8/12 | Tondela | Setubal | Setubal to win: 49.7% | Setubal +102 | 1.40 | 2.31 |
| Tondela to win: 22.5% | Tondela +345 | 0.91 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27.8% | Draw +260 | — |
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Portuguese Liga Game Predictions – Week 2
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/18 | Maritimo | Aves | Aves to win: 58.6% | Aves -142 | 1.56 | 2.34 |
| Maritimo to win: 16.7% | Maritimo +499 | 0.78 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 24.7% | Draw +305 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Benfica | Belenenses | Belenenses to win: 15.2% | Belenenses +558 | 0.86 | 2.76 |
| Benfica to win: 61.1% | Benfica -158 | 1.89 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.7% | Draw +322 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Rio Ave | Famalicao | Famalicao to win: 27.3% | Famalicao +267 | 0.95 | 2.17 |
| Rio Ave to win: 43.5% | Rio Ave +130 | 1.22 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 29.2% | Draw +243 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Setubal | FC Porto | FC Porto to win: 87.1% | FC Porto -676 | 2.75 | 3.22 |
| Setubal to win: 3.7% | Setubal +2603 | 0.47 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 9.2% | Draw +987 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Santa Clara | Ferreira | Ferreira to win: 33% | Ferreira +204 | 1.00 | 2.07 |
| Santa Clara to win: 37% | Santa Clara +171 | 1.07 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 30% | Draw +234 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Boavista | Guimaraes | Guimaraes to win: 60.9% | Guimaraes -156 | 1.60 | 2.36 |
| Boavista to win: 15.3% | Boavista +554 | 0.75 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.8% | Draw +321 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Gil Vicente | Moreirense | Moreirense to win: 47.3% | Moreirense +112 | 1.33 | 2.25 |
| Gil Vicente to win: 24.3% | Gil Vicente +312 | 0.92 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.4% | Draw +253 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Braga | Sporting | Sporting to win: 64.5% | Sporting -182 | 2.02 | 2.84 |
| Braga to win: 13.3% | Braga +652 | 0.82 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 22.2% | Draw +351 | — | ||||
| 8/18 | Portimonense | Tondela | Tondela to win: 46% | Tondela +118 | 1.51 | 2.59 |
| Portimonense to win: 25.3% | Portimonense +296 | 1.07 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.7% | Draw +249 | — |
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Portuguese Liga Game Predictions – Week 3
| Date | Away | Home | Odds to Win | ML Prediction | Score Proj | Total Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/25 | FC Porto | Benfica | Benfica to win: 34.1% | Benfica +194 | 1.22 | 2.47 |
| FC Porto to win: 35.9% | FC Porto +179 | 1.25 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 30% | Draw +234 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Ferreira | Boavista | Boavista to win: 60.8% | Boavista -156 | 1.52 | 2.24 |
| Ferreira to win: 15.4% | Ferreira +550 | 0.72 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 23.8% | Draw +321 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Braga | Gil Vicente | Gil Vicente to win: 22.5% | Gil Vicente +345 | 0.95 | 2.44 |
| Braga to win: 49.7% | Braga +102 | 1.48 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 27.8% | Draw +260 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Famalicao | Guimaraes | Guimaraes to win: 74% | Guimaraes -285 | 2.09 | 2.72 |
| Famalicao to win: 8.8% | Famalicao +1037 | 0.63 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 17.2% | Draw +482 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Tondela | Maritimo | Maritimo to win: 46.7% | Maritimo +115 | 1.28 | 2.20 |
| Tondela to win: 24.7% | Tondela +305 | 0.91 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.6% | Draw +250 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Sporting | Portimonense | Portimonense to win: 12% | Portimonense +734 | 0.83 | 3.09 |
| Sporting to win: 67.2% | Sporting -205 | 2.26 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 20.8% | Draw +381 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Aves | Rio Ave | Rio Ave to win: 53.9% | Rio Ave -117 | 1.51 | 2.38 |
| Aves to win: 19.6% | Aves +411 | 0.86 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 26.5% | Draw +278 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Belenenses | Santa Clara | Santa Clara to win: 56.6% | Santa Clara -131 | 1.59 | 2.43 |
| Belenenses to win: 17.9% | Belenenses +459 | 0.84 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 25.5% | Draw +293 | — | ||||
| 8/25 | Moreirense | Setubal | Setubal to win: 47.7% | Setubal +110 | 1.30 | 2.21 |
| Moreirense to win: 24% | Moreirense +317 | 0.90 | ||||
| Odds to Draw: 28.3% | Draw +254 | — |