Benfica at Estoril

Updated

Benfica

69.9%18.5%11.7%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.17Projected Goals 0.76
3Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Braga-260
T 2-2 at Famalicao-160
W 1-4 vs Moreirense-950
W 2-1 at Sporting CP+255
W 0-2 vs Nacional-730
Estoril
Money Line
T 1-1 at Alverca+180
T 1-1 at Braga+500
L 1-0 vs Famalicao+300
L 0-1 at Moreirense+155
L 3-1 vs Porto+700

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-335--475-435-465-435-435-326.2
Estoril+750-+1000+840+1070+840+1070+898.6
Draw+460-+575+600+610+600+610+643.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-335-----450-450-326.2
Estoril+790----+1000+1000+898.6
Draw+490----+600+600+643.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -417 to -459
Estoril ML moved from +1068 to +1060

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Estoril: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -400 to -450
Estoril ML moved from +790 to +700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line3etBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112-o3½-120o3¾-101o3¾+101o3¾-101o3½-120o3¾+108
Underu3¼-108-u3½+100u3¾-119u3¾-118u3¾-119u3¾-118u3¾-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+108
Under-----u3¾-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+103 to o3¾+103
The Under moved from u3¾-127 to u3½-123

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.34%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 416.40%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.64%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.61%
Exactly 71.97%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.38%
Exactly 124.73%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 319.47%
Exactly 410.58%
Exactly 54.60%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 70.52%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 046.89%
Exactly 135.51%
Exactly 213.45%
Exactly 33.39%
Exactly 40.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.75%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.72%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.56%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.51%
Exactly 36.21%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 070.42%
Exactly 124.69%
Exactly 24.33%
Exactly 30.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals45.67%
Wins by 3+ goals24.56%
Wins by 4+ goals11.00%
Wins by 5+ goals4.16%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals3.16%
Wins by 3+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals21.11%
Wins by 3 goals13.56%
Wins by 4 goals6.83%
Wins by 5 goals2.82%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal8.41%
Wins by 2 goals2.54%
Wins by 3 goals0.55%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.66%5.34%
1.579.02%20.98%
2.556.11%43.89%
3.533.72%66.28%
4.517.32%82.68%
5.57.71%92.29%
6.53.01%96.99%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.62%11.38%
1.563.88%36.12%
2.537.01%62.99%
3.517.54%82.46%
4.56.96%93.04%
5.52.37%97.63%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.11%46.89%
1.517.60%82.40%
2.54.15%95.85%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.25%25.75%
1.539.32%60.68%
2.515.62%84.38%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
5.34%
4.04%
1.53%
0.39%
1
11.60%
8.78%
3.33%
0.84%
2
12.60%
9.54%
3.61%
0.91%
3
9.13%
6.91%
2.62%
0.66%
4
4.96%
3.76%
1.42%
0.36%
5
2.16%
1.63%
0.62%
0.16%
Benfica
1-011.60%
2-012.60%
2-19.54%
3-09.13%
3-16.91%
3-22.62%
4-04.96%
4-13.76%
4-21.42%
4-30.36%
5-02.16%
5-11.63%
5-20.62%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.34%
1-18.78%
2-23.61%
3-30.66%
Estoril
0-14.04%
0-21.53%
1-23.33%
0-30.39%
1-30.84%
2-30.91%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Estoril
Score0123
0
25.75%
9.03%
1.58%
0.19%
1
25.91%
9.08%
1.59%
0.19%
2
13.03%
4.57%
0.80%
0.09%
3
4.37%
1.53%
0.27%
0.03%
4
1.10%
0.39%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-025.91%
2-013.03%
2-14.57%
3-04.37%
3-11.53%
3-20.27%
4-01.10%
4-10.39%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-025.75%
1-19.08%
2-20.80%
Estoril
0-19.03%
0-21.58%
1-21.59%
0-30.19%
1-30.19%
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