Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 8, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria 		19.4%
56.0%		24.5%
+176
+173
+175
+185
0.86
1.64		2.50
o2-122
u2+102

Games for Dec 7, 2025
Games for Dec 9, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
AVS
Vitoria		12.1%
68.4%		19.5%
+400
-126
+385
-130
0
4		-0.62273-0.61856-0.37948
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		3.5%
87.5%		8.9%
+1508
-548
+1350
-600
2
2		-2.11180-2.12930-2.41419
Moreirense
Braga		11.4%
70.4%		18.2%
+725
-232
+750
-260
1
2		-0.39020-0.37459-0.35027
Porto
Famalicao		59.2%
18.4%		22.4%
-154
+475
-170
+475
1
0		-0.52953-0.51184-0.52494
Nacional
Estrela		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+240
+136
+220
+140
1
1		-1.18211-1.18185-1.23392
Gil Vicente FC
AVS		39.4%
31.4%		29.3%
-133
+440
-165
+510
1
1		-1.32829-1.38350-1.22847
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		60.8%
16.8%		22.4%
-236
+725
-260
+750
2
1		-0.39209-0.37459-0.49719
Vitoria
Tondela		38.8%
32.6%		28.6%
+166
+198
+175
+175
1
0		-1.00398-1.06025-0.94641
Rio Ave
Alverca		32.0%
37.9%		30.0%
+250
+121
+265
+115
1
1		-1.24500-1.21345-1.20254
Arouca
Estoril		24.9%
47.2%		27.9%
+300
+100
+285
-105
3
4		-0.72054-0.71756-0.75109
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente FC		30.8%
40.1%		29.0%
+365
+102
+315
+110
0
1		-0.73424-0.79118-0.91270
Braga
Porto		12.5%
68.7%		18.8%
+550
-181
+550
-195
1
2		-0.47805-0.46291-0.37612
Moreirense
Arouca		25.8%
46.2%		28.0%
+191
+170
+190
+155
2
0		-1.08963-1.11301-1.35390
Tondela
AVS		36.8%
34.3%		28.9%
+151
+215
+145
+220
2
2		-1.18019-1.16254-1.23991
Benfica
Vitoria		55.9%
20.4%		23.6%
-208
+642
-210
+560
3
0		-0.41922-0.43936-0.58162
Estrela
Casa Pia AC		24.8%
48.3%		26.9%
+255
+126
+240
+130
5
3		-1.31264-1.27397-1.39437
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.76374 
Sportsbooks43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.74823 
DRatings43-0-1 (0.875)0-0.90296
-0.13922
-0.15473

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).