Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 19, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Braga
Estoril 		46.8%
26.5%		26.7%
-164
+450
-165
+440
1.43
1.00		2.43
o2½-115
u2½+100

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sporting CP
Benfica		26.3%
47.9%		25.8%
+166
+183
+160
+190
1
1		-1.17073-1.18215-1.35635
Braga
Arouca		47.9%
25.5%		26.6%
-214
+550
-220
+575
4
0		-0.44665-0.42414-0.73672
Estoril
Porto		5.5%
81.9%		12.6%
+1300
-500
+1500
-550
0
1		-0.23929-0.21729-0.20011
Estrela
Sporting CP		3.4%
87.4%		9.1%
+1600
-714
+1750
-800
0
4		-0.18012-0.16757-0.13431
Santa Clara
Rio Ave		39.3%
30.9%		29.8%
+178
+177
+165
+190
1
1		-1.16257-1.16398-1.21150
Tondela
Gil Vicente FC		21.6%
53.1%		25.3%
+445
-149
+500
-165
1
0		-1.74997-1.84288-1.82170
Benfica
Nacional		71.0%
11.4%		17.5%
-285
+680
-240
+600
2
1		-0.36152-0.39591-0.34194
Famalicao
Moreirense		40.8%
31.5%		27.7%
+140
+212
+125
+235
2
2		-1.21164-1.22806-1.30582
Alverca
Casa Pia AC		32.9%
37.8%		29.3%
+200
+154
+195
+160
2
0		-1.15208-1.13199-1.11027
AVS
Vitoria		12.1%
68.4%		19.5%
+400
-126
+385
-130
0
4		-0.62273-0.61856-0.37948
Casa Pia AC
Benfica		3.5%
87.5%		8.9%
+1508
-548
+1350
-600
2
2		-2.11180-2.12930-2.41419
Moreirense
Braga		11.4%
70.4%		18.2%
+725
-232
+750
-260
1
2		-0.39020-0.37459-0.35027
Porto
Famalicao		59.2%
18.4%		22.4%
-154
+475
-170
+475
1
0		-0.52953-0.51184-0.52494
Nacional
Estrela		35.1%
35.8%		29.1%
+240
+136
+220
+140
1
1		-1.18211-1.18185-1.23392
Gil Vicente FC
AVS		39.4%
31.4%		29.3%
-133
+440
-165
+510
1
1		-1.32829-1.38350-1.22847
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		60.8%
16.8%		22.4%
-236
+725
-260
+750
2
1		-0.39209-0.37459-0.49719
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).