Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Porto
AVS		74.9%
8.6%		16.5%
-303
+750
-335
+850
1
3		-2.19328-2.29939-2.45539
Vitoria
Sporting CP		8.7%
75.3%		16.0%
+900
-400
+815
-340
1
5		-0.28141-0.30537-0.28406
Gil Vicente FC
Rio Ave		35.8%
33.6%		30.6%
-112
+300
-110
+310
0
0		-1.33549-1.31517-1.18270
Estoril
Braga		11.9%
69.2%		18.9%
+450
-169
+500
-185
1
1		-1.47290-1.49673-1.66744
Tondela
Casa Pia AC		34.5%
36.6%		28.9%
+225
+136
+235
+135
1
0		-1.22929-1.25956-1.06465
Alverca
Porto		4.0%
85.7%		10.3%
+1300
-588
+1450
-580
0
1		-0.21911-0.20861-0.15483
Benfica
Famalicao		57.4%
20.0%		22.6%
-161
+430
-160
+425
2
2		-1.44033-1.45955-1.48528
Santa Clara
Arouca		35.0%
34.6%		30.4%
+183
+172
+180
+180
2
2		-1.15154-1.13370-1.18935
Estrela
Moreirense		21.0%
53.7%		25.2%
+152
+198
+150
+215
2
3		-1.14545-1.19693-0.62116
AVS
Nacional		21.2%
54.2%		24.6%
+500
-206
+500
-200
2
1		-1.85196-1.84124-1.55150
Tondela
Sporting CP		3.8%
86.9%		9.3%
+1700
-1200
+1900
-1000
2
2		-2.46510-2.44669-2.37033
Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC		11.1%
70.0%		18.9%
+380
-125
+420
-140
1
2		-0.63235-0.58742-0.35672
Sporting CP
AVS		79.7%
6.2%		14.0%
-690
+1200
-700
+1300
1
1		-2.29591-2.30169-1.96319
Porto
Estrela		71.7%
10.7%		17.6%
-333
+975
-335
+975
2
1		-0.31555-0.31006-0.33201
Braga
Santa Clara		36.0%
35.2%		28.8%
+205
+158
+195
+165
1
2		-0.99756-1.02304-1.04316
Famalicao
Estoril		42.7%
29.3%		28.0%
-125
+300
-125
+300
1
0		-0.64483-0.63605-0.85205
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).