France Ligue 1 Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for December 5, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Marseille
Lille 		26.4%
47.4%		26.2%
+200
+145
+213
+130
1.03
1.47		2.50
o2¾-102
u2¾-109
o2½-118
u2½+120
Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Dec 4, 2025
Games for Dec 6, 2025

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Monaco
Brest 		48.0%
27.3%		24.7%
+103
+260
+100
+248
2.76
o3-111
u3+100
o3-113
u3+115
2nd H
64:00		0
1

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Montpellier
Brest		16.4%
63.2%		20.4%
+750
-280
+800
-325
0
1		-0.33853-0.31825-0.45918
Lens
Lyon		19.4%
58.6%		22.0%
+553
-218
+510
-220
2
1		-1.90690-1.85848-1.64150
Le Havre
Auxerre		18.6%
57.4%		24.0%
+206
+140
+190
+140
2
1		-1.14325-1.11480-1.68346
Angers
Nantes		16.0%
62.7%		21.3%
+347
-105
+350
-115
1
0		-1.52615-1.55405-1.83033
Monaco
Saint-Etienne		63.0%
16.8%		20.1%
-218
+525
-220
+500
3
1		-0.40782-0.42372-0.46137
Rennes
Toulouse		30.2%
43.4%		26.4%
+253
+117
+240
+115
1
2		-0.79640-0.81744-0.83552
Paris Saint-Germain
Strasbourg		67.6%
13.4%		18.9%
+187
+137
+175
+135
1
2		-0.89722-0.90542-2.00984
Reims
Nice		11.3%
69.7%		19.0%
+701
-252
+715
-280
0
1		-0.35981-0.35593-0.36162
Brest
Marseille		13.5%
67.5%		19.0%
+735
-270
+700
-275
1
4		-0.34276-0.35782-0.39316
Toulouse
Nantes		30.6%
42.2%		27.2%
+170
+190
+165
+185
0
0		-1.19050-1.18097-1.30114
Auxerre
Lens		14.7%
65.2%		20.1%
+477
-172
+460
-185
4
0		-1.78017-1.77384-1.91719
Reims
Montpellier		29.3%
43.9%		26.8%
-113
+328
-120
+320
0
0		-1.37172-1.37074-1.31591
Lille
Angers		60.2%
17.5%		22.3%
-205
+653
-230
+675
2
0		-0.42410-0.41048-0.50717
Rennes
Lyon		18.6%
60.0%		21.4%
+410
-155
+365
-150
1
4		-0.52364-0.55995-0.51083
Monaco
Le Havre		64.3%
14.9%		20.8%
-261
+715
-285
+730
1
1		-1.70150-1.70815-1.57200
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg		13.5%
67.8%		18.7%
+490
-182
+475
-190
1
3		-0.46085-0.46604-0.38909
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

Ligue 1 is a twenty team league that plays in the 38 game season. The top three finishers make Champions League and the 4th place team makes Europa League. The two teams that finish at the bottom of the table are relegated to Ligue 2.